1、 Price trend

 
According to the monitoring of bulk data from the business agency, the price of trichloromethane in Shandong Province rose sharply this week. The average price at the beginning of the week was about 1900 yuan / ton, and it rose to 2100 yuan / ton at the end of the week, up 10.53% in the week.

2、 Cause analysis

Product reason: at present, the trichloromethane market in Shandong Province is producing normally, the inventory pressure of enterprises is not great, and the shipment of enterprises is smooth. Therefore, the enterprise has a good attitude of price fixing, but it is in the traditional off-season of trichloromethane, the downstream demand is flat, and the demand end support is insufficient. At present, the quotation in the region is about 2100 yuan / ton, that in Jiangxi Liwen is about 3150 yuan / ton, and that in Jiangsu is 3400 yuan / ton About.

Industrial chain: in the upstream, the weak market of methanol fell by 0.83% in a week, and at present, it is about 2045 yuan / ton; the supply of liquid chlorine market is sufficient, but the demand of the downstream market is poor, and the enterprise’s quotation continues to decline, and it is about 400-550 yuan / ton. In the downstream, the supply of domestic refrigerant market is tight, the inventory is low, and the price rises slightly, but the overall construction is still low; the pharmaceutical and agricultural market and solvent industry just need to be flat, and the price of chloroform is generally supported.

Industry: social price monitoring: on December 26, 2019, there were four commodities in the list of commodity price rise and fall in chemical industry sector, the top three commodities were crude benzene (2.15%), ethyl acetate (0.85%) and butadiene (0.54%). There are 11 kinds of commodities falling on a month on month basis, and the top three products are n-propanol (- 1.85%), propylene (- 1.84%) and 1,4-butanediol (- 1.47%).

3、 Future forecast

According to the data analyst of methane chloride of business association, it is difficult for the downstream market demand to improve significantly. In the absence of large fluctuations in the production of enterprises, the market is abundant and the actual price is slightly lower. It is expected that the price of trichloromethane will decline.