Monthly Archives: August 2018

China’s domestic acetic anhydride market fell on August 28

According to the data monitoring of business organizations, on August 28, the average price of acetic anhydride enterprises was 7437.50 yuan/ton, which was 1.33% lower than the previous trading day and up 54.88% year-on-year.

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On August 27th, the acetic anhydride commodity index was 149.38, which was the same as yesterday. It was 9.87% lower than the highest point of 165.73 points (2018-06-19) in the cycle, which was 80.89% higher than the lowest point of 82.58 points on September 20, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2013-02-01 to date).

On August 28, the domestic acetic acid anhydride factory price fell, and the market transaction price fell. In most areas, the factory price is 6900-7500 yuan / ton, the actual transaction price fell, the actual transaction price is about 6850-7200 yuan / ton, the market price is the reference price, the actual transaction price is subject to actual negotiation.

Recently, the price of raw material acetic acid fell, the price of raw material methanol fluctuated, and the cost of acetic anhydride manufacturers fell, which made the price of acetic anhydride a negative. Recently, the equipment of acetic anhydride plant has resumed driving, the operating rate of equipment has increased, and the inventory of acetic anhydride enterprises is at a low level. The operating rate of downstream customers has rebounded, and the demand for acetic anhydride is favorable. Raw material prices are at a high level and downstream purchases are picking up, which provides support for the increase in acetic anhydride prices. However, with the increase in the operating rate of acetic anhydride equipment, the supply of acetic anhydride has increased, while the demand for acetic anhydride has recovered slowly, and it is difficult to support the price of acetic anhydride. Continue to rise, the price of acetic anhydride lost momentum, and the price of acetic anhydride in the market is expected to fall. In some regions, prices will stabilize in the short term, and the overall price of domestic acetic anhydride will fall.

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Ammonium chloride price is stable (8.13-8.17)

Products: Domestic agricultural ammonium chloride prices have risen slightly this week: the mainstream price of agricultural ammonium ammonium is ranging from 600-750 yuan/ton, and the mainstream price of wet ammonium is 500-600 yuan/ton. The spot supply of ammonium chloride market is tight, and some enterprises are expected to receive the price increase in North China, Southwest China and other places in early September.

ammonium persulfate

Industry chain: The upstream liquid ammonia is in a slight increase this week. Due to the environmental protection and the rising price of natural gas upstream of liquid ammonia, the liquid ammonia price is now rising. For the rise of upstream raw materials, the later stage of ammonium chloride will cause a serious shortage of operating rates. Affected by environmental protection and reducing carbon emissions, manufacturers in many regions are now forced to stop production and undergo environmental inspections. At present, the mindset of ammonium chloride manufacturers is mostly cautious. Urea and ammonium chloride are both nitrogen fertilizers. Before the second, there is an alternative. Due to the sales of compound fertilizer in summer this year, the urea price of the nitrogen fertilizer series is slightly warmer, the price of ammonium chloride is affected to some extent, and the price of ammonium chloride may be later. Stable or rising.

Forecast: The demand for chemical fertilizers has dropped sharply. At the same time, due to the overall trend of compound fertilizers, the market continues to be better, and the price of ammonium chloride may stabilize or rise later.

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Last week, the crude benzene market rose slightly (8.6-8.10)

First, the price trend:

According to the price monitoring of the business community, the domestic crude benzene market price increased slightly this week, and the quotation closed at 5,070 yuan / ton, an increase of 1.97%.

Second, the market analysis:

Product: Domestic crude benzene prices have risen steadily this week. As of Friday, the mainstream price in Shandong was around 5,100 yuan / ton; the mainstream price in Shanxi was around 5,200 yuan / ton; the mainstream price in Inner Mongolia was around 4,900 yuan / ton.

Industry chain: The crude benzene market rose slightly this week. The price of downstream hydrogenated benzene soared to around 7,000 yuan / ton, but the profit fell, the crude benzene continued to rise in the late resistance, the early stage of good digestion gradually digested, there has been a trend of correction. Expected to be sorted out next week, there may be a callback

Third, the trend forecast:

The crude benzene analyst of the business community believes that the downstream conflict is serious, the price is actively lowered, and the price of the downstream poultry is also loose. It is expected that the domestic crude benzene market may have a correction in the short term.

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In July, the domestic bromine market was stable and have a trend of increaing

First, the price analysis

According to the monitoring data of the business community’s big list, the domestic price of bromine rose slightly this month. The price at the beginning of the month was around 28,107 yuan/ton, and the price at the end of the month was around 28,571 yuan/ton. It was slightly increased by 1.65% during the month, up 12.41% from the previous year.

Second, the cause analysis

Products: This month, the domestic bromine production enterprises are still at a low level, and the factory prices are stable and firm. In terms of start-up, such as Shouguang Haoyuan’s 100 million tons/year installation, Shouguang Luyuan’s 3,000 tons/year installation, and other companies in Shandong’s other areas have reduced operation, such as Longmao 3-5 tons/year, and the daily output is about 5 tons. Shandong Haihua’s 5,000 tons/year plant has a daily output of about 15 tons, Shandong Haiwang Chemical has a capacity of 100,000 tons/year, and 50% of it is installed. Tianjin Changlu has a capacity of about 4,000 tons per year and a daily output of about 20 tons.

Industry chain: This month, the upstream industry of bromine has been mixed, such as sulfur rose by 3.51% this month, currently quoted at 1,113 yuan / ton; caustic soda fell slightly by 0.33% in the month, currently quoted at 997 yuan / ton; soda ash this month A sharp drop of 10.35%, the current price of 1880 yuan / ton; sulfuric acid prices rose by 5% during the month, the current offer is around 472 yuan / ton. This month, the market performance of the main downstream flame retardants of bromine was weak, the overall demand of the industry was poor, and the market was light; the pesticides and pharmaceutical intermediates started to work smoothly, and the purchases were just needed.

Third, the market outlook

The bromine industry analysts of the business community believe that although the supply of bromine is at a low level in the near future, there is not much market spot. However, due to weak demand in the downstream industry, it is difficult to support the price of bromine. It is expected that the price of bromine will increase in a short period of time. Mainly.

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In July, the zinc market was filled with panic, and the price of zinc fluctuated.

First, the price trend

According to data from the business community, the zinc price fluctuated in July, and the zinc price fell by 8.38% in July. As of July 31, the price of zinc was 21,597.50 yuan / ton, compared with the price of 23,572.50 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month (July 1), the price fell 8.38%, down 8.04%.

Second, the market trend analysis

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Product aspects:

On July 31, London LME market zinc futures closing price of 2,625 US dollars / ton, compared with the beginning of the month (July 2) zinc closing price of 2,822 US dollars / ton, the price fell 197 US dollars / ton, July 31, London LME market spot price 2629.50 – 2630.00 US dollars / ton, compared with the beginning of the month 2914-2915 US dollars / ton price fell 285 US dollars / ton. On July 31, the futures price of Shanghai futures market closed at 21,640 yuan / ton, compared with the opening price of 23,355 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month, the price fell by 1715 yuan / ton. Futures zinc prices fell sharply, driving spot zinc prices down and zinc prices falling. However, from the price trend in July, it can be seen that since the end of July, the zinc price has stopped falling and fluctuated, and the zinc market has shown a warming trend.

Policy and regulation:

The United States sought public comment on the list of proposed products with a tariff of US$200 billion on the evening of July 10, local time. The United States intends to impose a 10% tariff on imports of goods worth $200 billion from China. Following the start of the Sino-US trade war on June 15, the US$200 million tariff plan introduced by the United States in July made the Sino-US trade war continue to heat up, causing market panic. The non-ferrous sector plummeted in July, but due to China’s zinc exports. Smaller, the trade war has limited impact on the zinc industry. After the market calms down, it begins to oscillate and adjust, and at the end of the month there is a rebound trend.

The “Opinions of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council on Strengthening Ecological Environment Protection and Resolutely Fighting Pollution Prevention and Control” was officially released, which marked the full launch of the pollution prevention and control battle directly deployed by the Party Central Committee and the State Council. The State Council has taken the lead in intensifying efforts to prevent and control air pollution, which means that the mines producing zinc concentrates are reduced and the smelting of refined zinc is declining, which will lead to a decline in zinc stocks in China, which will benefit the rise in zinc prices.

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Overseas company

The Vancouver-based Trevali Mining Company’s zinc production in the second quarter more than tripled from the same period last year, mainly due to the increase in production of the two African zinc mines acquired by the company last year. The company said in a production report that zinc production in the quarter increased from 31.6 million pounds in the same period last year to 103.9 million pounds. Although there is a new acquisition of zinc minerals, the increase in global zinc supply cannot be ignored, and global zinc supply is in an oversupply state, which is a negative for the zinc market.

Third, the outlook outlook

The market panic caused by the Sino-US trade war is the main reason for the sharp fall in zinc prices in July. However, as time progressed, the market viewed trade wars becoming more rational. For the zinc market, China’s zinc exports were small, and the US’s tariff increase was difficult to influence the zinc market in China. The change in the zinc market is more Move with the direction of the international market. Business community analysts believe that the warming of the Sino-US trade war has increased the pressure of zinc price decline, the market panic has been bearish on the zinc market, but as the market psychology tends to be rational, the zinc market began to pick up. The exchange rate of the renminbi against the US dollar has risen, the purchasing power of the renminbi has declined, and the import cost of zinc ingots has increased, resulting in an increase The increase in costs and the warming of the market may increase the price of zinc in the market. However, as the overall zinc market is still in an oversupply situation, it is difficult for zinc prices to rise sharply. It is expected that the zinc price in the market will fluctuate and adjust, or there will be a slight increase. Over 23,000 yuan / ton.

 

 

July market analysis of potassium chloride market

First, the price trend

According to the monitoring of the price of potassium chloride in the business community, the market for potassium chloride has stabilized after the market price rise this month. At present, the mainstream price of the potassium chloride market is 2,300 yuan/ton.

Second, the market analysis

Product: The price of potassium chloride in July has been firm. Qinghai Golmud Tibetan Potassium Chloride is currently ex-factory price 2200 yuan / ton, Shandong Yantai Qifeng Chemical has no quotation, Qinghai Salt Lake potassium chloride ex-factory price 2300 yuan / ton, Tangshan Huixin Guardian Energy Saving and Emission Reduction Technology Co., Ltd. , Jiangsu Lianyungang Lianrui agricultural material price 2,310 yuan / ton and Liaoning Xinshui price of potassium chloride quoted 2,300 yuan / ton, Anhui Badou chemical potassium chloride offer 2,350 yuan / ton. Although the rise of potassium chloride is obvious, the high price is not very satisfactory. Most manufacturers think that the price is too high.

Industry chain: There has always been a strong price in domestically produced potassium, but the transaction is deserted. With the increase in high-end quotations in potassium sulphate, the mainstream prices are constantly adjusting and gradually stabilizing. At present, the operating rate of the potassium sulphate plant is also low and unstable, and the raw materials of the original low-cost reserves are gradually consumed.

Third, the market outlook

The KCl analyst of the business community believes that the current market for potassium chloride should be in a state of temporary stability in the short term, and it can continue to wait and see in the short term.

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