Monthly Archives: June 2025

The domestic acetone market first suppressed and then rebounded (6.16-23)

The domestic acetone market first suppressed and then rose, and last week’s fluctuations in international oil prices drove up the market price of raw material pure benzene. The acetone market in East China has been trading at an average price of 5350 yuan/ton since June 16th, but has dropped to 5300 yuan/ton on June 23rd. During this period, the transaction price has dropped to 5200-5250 yuan/ton, and the overall market is hovering at a low level.
In terms of supply, the operating rate of the phenol ketone factory is at 80%. During the week, Yangzhou Shiyou will be shut down for maintenance, while Tianjin Zhongsha will be in operation; In terms of imports, last week’s shipment statistics were nearly 30000 tons, indicating a relatively high supply.

PVA 1799 (PVA BF17)

In terms of demand, downstream bisphenol A has reduced its demand for acetone, but the demand for MIBK and isopropanol has increased. However, the demand for high-temperature avoidance of solvent chemicals has decreased in summer.
The acetone offers in major mainstream markets across the country on June 23rd are as follows:
Region./Quotation on June 23rd /Weekly increase and decrease
East China region / 5300./ -50
Shandong region / 5450./ 0
Yanshan region / 5450./ 0
South China region / 5420./ -30

From the perspective of Business Society, the short-term acetone market is unlikely to be favorable, with relatively loose supply and demand following up on demand. Recently, attention has been paid to the impact of cost, and it is expected that the acetone market in East China will be negotiated around 5300-5350 yuan/ton.

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Baking soda prices are consolidating this week (6.16-6.20)

1、 Price trend

PVA

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the average market price of baking soda at the beginning of the week was 1272.4 yuan/ton, and the average market price of baking soda at the end of the week was 1272 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.03% and a decrease of 46.19% compared to the same period last year. On June 19th, the Business Society Baking Soda Index was 84.37, a decrease of 0.03 points from yesterday, setting a historical low for the cycle, and a decrease of 64.23% from the highest point of 235.84 points on November 10, 2021. (Note: Cycle refers to September 1, 2020 to present)
2、 Market analysis
According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the price of baking soda is running weakly, and the company’s shipments are still acceptable. The price of baking soda in Henan region is running weakly, with a factory price of 1200-1300 yuan/ton in Henan region and 1300-1400 yuan/ton in Shandong region. Due to downstream demand driven procurement, it is expected that weak operations will be the main focus in the later stage. Upstream: According to the commodity analysis system of Shengyi Society, the price of soda ash has remained stable this week. The average market price from the beginning of the week to the end of the week is 1304 yuan/ton, a decrease of 38.05% compared to the same period last year. Downstream buyers tend to purchase on demand.
Business Society analysts believe that the price of baking soda has been weak in recent times, while the upstream raw material soda ash has been generally operating. Downstream industries such as pharmaceuticals, textiles, and food have been purchasing on demand, with average demand enthusiasm. Overall, it is expected that the price of baking soda will mainly fluctuate in the later stage, depending on downstream market demand.

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Cost impact: DOP prices stop falling and rebound

Plasticizer DOP prices stop falling and rebound

PVA

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of June 13th, the DOP price was 8250.83 yuan/ton, which rebounded and increased by 0.10% compared to the June 11th DOP price of 8242.50 yuan/ton; Compared to June 6th, the DOP price of 8267.50 yuan/ton first fell and then rose, with a decrease of 0.20%. This week, DOP prices rebounded and rose, plasticizer companies’ operating loads decreased, DOP production decreased, and DOP prices fluctuated and fell; As the price of raw material isooctanol rebounded and stopped falling, the price of phthalic anhydride fluctuated and rose, and the cost of plasticizers rebounded and stopped falling, the price of plasticizers first fell and then rose.
The price of raw material isooctanol has stopped falling and rebounded
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of June 13th, the price of isooctanol was 7390 yuan/ton, a fluctuating decrease of 2.12% compared to the price of 7550 yuan/ton on June 6th; Compared to June 11th, the price of isooctanol rebounded and rose by 0.09% to 7383.33 yuan/ton. This week, the price of isooctanol fluctuated and fell, downstream plasticizer production decreased, demand for isooctanol decreased, and the price of isooctanol fluctuated and fell. The price of crude oil continues to rise, and the cost of raw materials for isooctanol has significantly increased. The support of raw material costs for isooctanol has increased, and the price of isooctanol has rebounded and stopped falling.
Raw material phthalic anhydride prices fluctuate and rise
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of June 13th, the price of phthalic anhydride from neighboring countries was 6916.67 yuan/ton, which rebounded and increased by 0.97% compared to the price of phthalic anhydride of 6850 yuan/ton on June 6th; The price of phthalic anhydride fluctuated and fell by 0.48% from 6950 yuan/ton on June 1st. This week, the price of phthalic anhydride remained stable, while the price of industrial naphthalene fluctuated and rose. The cost support for phthalic anhydride increased, and the operating rate of phthalic anhydride enterprises decreased to 6.50%. The supply of phthalic anhydride decreased, and the downstream plasticizer market rose. The demand support for phthalic anhydride still exists. The price of phthalic anhydride has risen, and the cost of DOP raw materials has increased.
Future expectations
According to the data analyst of Shengyi Society’s plasticizer products, in terms of cost, the price of isooctanol has rebounded and stopped falling, while the price of phthalic anhydride has fluctuated and risen. The cost of plasticizer DOP first fell and then rose; In terms of demand, the demand for plasticizers has decreased. In the future, with cost support, it is expected that the price of plasticizer DOP will stop falling and rebound.

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Demand is light, MDI prices are weak and falling

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, from June 9th to 13th, the domestic aggregated MDI market experienced a weak decline, with an average price of 16133 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week and 15916 yuan/ton at the end of the week, a decrease of 1.34% during the period and a year-on-year decrease of 11%. The restart and maintenance of the maintenance enterprise coexist within the week, and the supply side remains stable. Downstream demand is weak, entering the market at a low price, and there is no obvious positive guidance in the market, causing the price of aggregated MDI to continue to decline.

PVA

On the supply side, BASF and Huntsman plants in Shanghai have restarted. Fujian Wanhua underwent maintenance on June 5th, lasting approximately 45 days. The 70000 ton/year MDI plant in Tosa, Japan will undergo maintenance and overhaul in early May, with a duration of approximately 40 days; The 130000 tons/year MDI plant will be shut down for maintenance in mid May, with a duration of approximately 40 days. The 200000 ton/year MDI plant in Jinhu, South Korea is scheduled for maintenance on May 20th, with a duration of approximately one month.
In terms of cost, both pure benzene and aniline raw materials have increased, with pure benzene rising by 3.55% and aniline rising by 1.38% this week.
On the demand side, downstream is currently in the off-season of consumption, with a focus on essential needs and a high volume of small orders, creating a strong wait-and-see atmosphere.
In the future forecast, the supply side support of the current aggregated MDI market is still acceptable, and large factories in the north are operating at a reduced load. It is expected that the aggregated MDI market will stop falling and stabilize in the short term. We will closely monitor the progress of enterprise maintenance and changes in market supply and demand.

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DMF market lacks favorable conditions, with prices fluctuating at low levels

1、 Price trend

PVA

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of June 9th, the average quotation price of domestic high-quality DMF enterprises was 4080 yuan/ton. In June, the domestic DMF market remained stable, with downstream entering the off-season and demand continuing to decline. The focus of negotiations remained low, and there was a lack of good news. The market was calm, and the mentality of operators was stable, with a strong wait-and-see atmosphere and cautious operations. Profits fell and weak stability was digested.
2、 Cause analysis
Cost: Today’s methanol market is mainly stable, with inventory at a low level and relatively firm prices. Last week, the methanol market was mainly strong, with the methanol market at the bottom price. Traders’ willingness to hold goods was strengthened. The industry has an obvious attitude of boosting, positive attitude, increased gas buying on the market, and increased the number of traders’ orders. At present, the traditional downstream has entered the high temperature season, and there is a significant lack of demand. Port: After the Loong Boat Festival holiday, the information about ship age restrictions supports the market trend, port prices continue to rise, spot talks have improved, recent arrival is concentrated in the port, and inventory has accumulated.
In terms of demand: Recently, the DMF market demand has been poor, and the overall market is weak with a wait-and-see attitude. This week, the operating rate of enterprises has remained stable, and there has been no news of new device maintenance. Currently, the overall inventory is running at a high level, and the supply of spot goods exceeds the demand. The pressure on the demand side is high, and it is difficult to alleviate in the short term. The wait-and-see atmosphere is obvious, and prices are fluctuating weakly. In terms of market mentality, the supply and demand are deadlocked. Business operators have a general mentality in the future and.
In terms of inventory: Since June, the DMF market has entered a traditional off-season, with gradually accumulating inventory and high inventory pressure. The inventory is high, but there is sufficient stock available. There has been no significant improvement in demand, and the overall market is weak and stable, with a state of supply-demand competition and slow inventory digestion.
3、 Future forecast
DMF analysts from Shengyi Society believe that the DMF market has entered a low season, with little positive news. The overall market is in a quiet and wait-and-see state, and currently the market is maintaining a weak and stable operation, with weak and stable digestion being the main focus.

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Poor demand, isooctanol price first fell and then rose

This week, the price of isooctanol first fell and then rose

PVA

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of June 6th, the price of isooctanol was 7550 yuan/ton, which first fell and then rose compared to the price of 7550 yuan/ton on June 1st, and the price has stabilized; The price of isooctanol has increased by 1.12% from 7466.67 yuan/ton on June 4th. In June, the price of isooctanol did not continue its upward trend from May and fell slightly. With downstream customers replenishing their inventory at low prices and the demand for isooctanol recovering, the price of isooctanol first fell and then rose.
Downstream plasticizer DOP prices first fell and then rose
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of June 6th, the DOP price was 8267.50 yuan/ton, a decrease followed by an increase of 0.20% compared to the June 1st DOP price of 8250.83 yuan/ton; Compared to June 3rd, the DOP price of 8192.50 yuan/ton fluctuated and rose by 0.92%. The operating rate of plasticizer DOP enterprises has temporarily stabilized at a low level. After the Dragon Boat Festival, the demand for plasticizer has temporarily warmed up, the output of plasticizer has stabilized, the demand for isooctanol has temporarily warmed up, and the price of isooctanol first fell and then rose.
Future expectations
According to the data analyst of Shengyi Society’s octanol product, plasticizer companies have stable production, with a brief rebound in demand for plasticizers, stable output of plasticizer companies, and stable downstream demand for isooctanol. In the future, both supply and demand are weak, and it is expected that the price of isooctanol will first fall and then rise.

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The price range of domestic acetic acid fluctuated in May

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the price trend of acetic acid in May fluctuated within a range. As of May 31st, the price was 2700 yuan/ton, which was the same as the acetic acid price of 2700 yuan/ton at the beginning of the month, with a maximum amplitude of 3.03% during the month.

PVA

As of the end of the month, the market price details of acetic acid in various regions of China in May are as follows:
Region /On May 1st /May 15th /May 30th
South China region /2625 yuan/ton /2525 yuan/ton /2550 yuan/ton
North China region /2625 yuan/ton /2520 yuan/ton /2540 yuan/ton
Shandong region /2640 yuan/ton /2550 yuan/ton /2570 yuan/ton
Jiangsu region /2500 yuan/ton /2400 yuan/ton /2490 yuan/ton
Zhejiang region /2700 yuan/ton /2600 yuan/ton /2700 yuan/ton
In the first half of May, the price of acetic acid fell weakly, mainly due to the high utilization rate of on-site production capacity and sufficient supply of market goods. However, downstream stocking was not active, resulting in significant pressure on enterprise shipments and a continuous shift in the focus of acetic acid transactions; In the second half of the month, prices first rose and then fell. News of equipment maintenance in the early stage was released one after another, and the mentality of the industry was optimistic. Acetic acid prices rose, while enterprise shipments increased, inventory pressure weakened, and the market trend continued to rise. Due to the obvious intention of enterprises to rise, downstream sentiment towards high prices gradually increased, and the enthusiasm for entering the market weakened. At the end of the month, some areas did not sell their products, and prices fell.
The methanol market on the raw material side is weak and declining. As of May 31st, the average price in the domestic market was 2250 yuan/ton, a decrease of 7.79% compared to the beginning of the month price of 2440 yuan/ton. The domestic methanol supply is high, and there is an expectation of incremental growth in the import market. The lack of confidence in the spot market has suppressed prices. Although downstream external procurement and equipment start-up have provided some support to the market, overall demand is weak, and the domestic methanol market is under pressure and declining.
Market forecast: Business Society analysts believe that the current acetic acid market is mainly stable, with poor shipments from enterprises, weak mentality of industry players, low enthusiasm for downstream market entry, limited market trading, and an increase in capacity utilization in the future. On site supply will continue to exceed demand, and it is expected that the acetic acid market will operate weakly in June. Specific attention should be paid to downstream follow-up situations.

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The ethanol market saw a unilateral upward trend in May

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the domestic ethanol market saw a unilateral upward trend in May. From May 1st to 30th, the average price of domestic ethanol producers increased from 5233 yuan/ton to 5438 yuan/ton, with a price fluctuation of 3.93% and a year-on-year decrease of 8.86%.
In the first half of the month, some enterprises in certain regions continued to conduct inspections on their equipment, resulting in limited ethanol supply and strong prices of raw material corn, leading to significant cost pressures. As a result, enterprises showed a clear willingness to raise prices.

PVA

In mid month, the ethanol market continued to rise, with some regions facing significant cost pressures for enterprises. Orders were shipped, production was not high, inventory pressure was not significant, and there was a clear intention to increase prices. However, new orders were limited in transactions.
At the end of the month, the domestic ethanol market prices stabilized at a high level. Enterprises in the Northeast region continue to undergo rotation inspections, with low production rates and a clear willingness to raise prices. In the short term, without inventory pressure, prices may remain stable. The transaction situation in Henan region is still acceptable, with prices maintaining a high level of consolidation.
On the cost side, in the first half of the month, corn prices remained relatively firm, and the purchase prices for deep processing have also increased. Prices in production areas have continued to rise recently, and traders’ shipping mentality has slightly changed. Overall, there is not much corn surplus in the production area, and the quotation is firm. The price of corn fluctuated in the second half of the month. The arrival volume of deep processed corn in Shandong and Hebei is still acceptable, and some enterprises have seen a narrow reduction in corn prices. Henan’s deep processing enterprises have generally received goods and prices have increased. Before the wheat harvest, grassroots grain points were able to monetize their shipments, but overall supply pressure was not significant. The cost of ethanol is influenced by favorable factors.
There are unlikely to be significant favorable factors in the supply of ethanol.
On the demand side, from the demand side, the demand for Baijiu fluctuates little, and the downstream stock of chemical industry needs to be replenished. The short-term demand for ethanol has a moderate impact.
Future forecast: Limited supply, partial orders shipped, downstream stocking nearing completion. The ethanol analyst from Shengyi Society predicts that the domestic ethanol market will remain strong and stable in the short term.

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The nylon filament market continued to be weak in May, with prices declining

In May 2025, the upstream cost support of nylon filament was insufficient, and the purchasing power of downstream enterprises was poor, resulting in an overall increase in inventory levels in the industry. There was a lack of positive news to boost the market, leading to a weak decline in nylon filament market prices.

PVA

Price trend of nylon filament in May
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the monthly average price of nylon filament will continue to decline in May 2025. As of May 30, 2025, DTY (premium product) of nylon filament in Jiangsu region; 70D/24F) quoted 14760 yuan/ton, a decrease of 280 yuan/ton from the previous month, a monthly decrease of 1.86%; Nylon POY (premium product; The quotation for 86D/24F is 12300 yuan/ton, a decrease of 200 yuan/ton from the previous month, with a monthly decrease of 1.60%; The price of nylon FDY (premium: 40D/12F) is reported at 15400 yuan/ton, a decrease of 250 yuan/ton or 1.60% compared to the previous month.
Since the beginning of the month, the weekly closing price of Sinopec’s caprolactam has been continuously lowered, and the market for high-speed spinning of nylon PA6 chips has been under pressure and downward, with weak cost support; The demand in the terminal market is showing signs of fatigue, downstream yarn factories are experiencing poor shipments, and their enthusiasm for raw material procurement has declined, resulting in a significant increase in inventory in the nylon filament market. Under multiple negative factors, the price of nylon filament market continues to decline.
Until the end of the month, the market price of nylon filament rebounded slightly. The strong upward trend in crude oil and pure benzene market prices has driven the continuous rise in the spot market of caprolactam and the market for nylon PA6 chips. Subsequently, the weekly closing price of caprolactam by Sinopec has been raised, and cost support has been strengthened; Individual downstream factories stocked up on dips, resulting in a slight increase in demand. Amidst mixed market news, the nylon filament market price saw a narrow rise before consolidating and operating.
As of the end of the month, there has been no significant improvement in terminal demand, and the demand side has constrained the raw material market from bottom to top. The price of nylon filament market has entered a downward channel.
The raw material market continues to weaken and decline
In terms of cost, the weekly settlement price of Sinopec Caprolactam first fell and then rose, with a significant decrease in monthly settlement price. The market for high-speed spinning of nylon PA6 slices slightly fell, and the price center of the raw material market shifted downwards, with weak support on the cost side. As of May 30, 2025, the benchmark price of caprolactam in Shengyi Society was 9190 yuan/ton, with a monthly decline of 0.77%. Nylon PA6 experienced a monthly decline of 3.04%.
Supply and demand: In May, there was little fluctuation in the overall supply of nylon filament market. Starting from the May Day holiday, some nylon filament manufacturers have reduced their load operation or stopped for vacation, resulting in a decrease in on-site supply. By mid month, the early parking inspection devices in Zhejiang have gradually resumed, and with the continuous release of new production capacity in the industry, the supply has gradually increased. The demand in the terminal market has not improved, foreign trade orders are insufficient, domestic demand is limited, downstream manufacturers’ finished product inventory continues to accumulate, and the demand for nylon filament market is gradually decreasing, making it difficult to find favorable support on the demand side.

Future forecast
Cost aspect: In terms of caprolactam, pure benzene is expected to be weak, and the supply of caprolactam may recover next month. Slice manufacturers have low enthusiasm for purchasing caprolactam, and it is expected that the caprolactam market will continue to decline next month; In terms of PA6 slicing, cost support is limited, and the supply level of PA6 slicing market may continue to improve. Downstream market demand is weak, and it is expected that the PA6 slicing market price will decline next month. Therefore, it is expected that the market price trend of nylon filament raw materials will be poor next month, and the cost support will be insufficient.
Supply and demand: June is a transitional period from the market to the traditional off-season, coupled with the lack of signs of improvement in terminal market demand and low purchasing enthusiasm in downstream markets. Therefore, it is expected that the demand for nylon filament market may decrease next month. If there is no significant improvement in demand, under the pressure of large inventory, some nylon filament manufacturers may have the possibility of reducing production capacity, while the industry continues to release new production capacity. Therefore, it is expected that the supply of nylon filament market will decrease next month.
Overall, both the upstream raw material caprolactam spot market and the nylon PA6 chip market are likely to decline, with a lack of cost support and difficulty in improving downstream market demand. The demand side is dragging down the market trend, and under the dual negative factors, analysts from Shengyi Society predict that the nylon filament market price will continue to be weak next month, with a decline of 100-300 yuan/ton.

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