On April 28, the ammonium nitrate commodity index was 107.02, which was the same as yesterday. It was 9.63% lower than the cycle peak of 118.42 points (2019-01-15), and 38.32% higher than the lowest point of 77.37 on October 31, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2013-02-01 to date)

Recently, the price trend of domestic ammonium nitrate Market has maintained a low level. Affected by environmental protection control, domestic ammonium nitrate plants shut down more, and domestic ammonium nitrate plants started less. However, with the warming of the weather recently, the influence of northern air limitation disappeared. In addition, due to the complete shutdown of domestic downstream civil explosion industry, domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers have more stockpiles and the price trend in the field has declined. As of the 29th, domestic ammonium nitrate market price negotiations in 1900-2100 yuan/ton, affected by environmental protection, so now many manufacturers in many areas are forced to limit production or stop production and maintenance to accept environmental protection inspection, the price trend of ammonium nitrate on the site is weak.

Recently, the domestic nitric acid price trend is temporarily stable, the market price is 1576.67 yuan/ton on the 29th day. The stable trend of nitric acid price has little influence on the ammonium nitrate market, and the price trend of ammonium nitrate is stable. The price trend of upstream raw material liquid ammonia is oscillating, and the market price of liquid ammonia is 3460 yuan/ton on the 29th day. The fluctuation of upstream raw material price brings certain cost support to the ammonium nitrate market. Market price trend is temporarily stable. At the end of the peak season of the downstream civil explosion industry recently, the demand for ammonium nitrate has weakened and the stocks of ammonium nitrate manufacturers have increased, but the liquid ammonia market is on the rise again, and the ammonium nitrate Market is shaking at a low level due to the bad market. Ammonium nitrate analysts believe that the recent upstream raw material market price shocks, but the downstream demand is not good, ammonium nitrate market prices are expected to maintain shocks in the later period.

On April 27, the hydrofluoric acid commodity index was 95.74, unchanged from yesterday, down 31.82% from the peak of 140.43 points in the cycle (2018-02-21), and up 78.65% from the low of 53.59 points on November 30, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

According to statistics, the domestic hydrofluoric acid market price trend was temporarily stable on the 28th. Up to now, the domestic hydrofluoric acid market price is 10550 yuan/ton, and the domestic hydrofluoric acid start-up rate is less than 60%. Enterprises reflect that the supply of hydrofluoric acid on the spot has declined at present. Recently, the market situation of hydrofluoric acid is general. Due to the high raw material fluorite, some hydrofluoric acid manufacturers limit production and guarantee prices, the market price trend of hydrofluoric acid is temporary. Steady. 当前南方地区氢氟酸商谈主流为10000-10500元/吨左右，北方市场氢氟酸价格在10500-11000元/吨。 Domestic hydrofluoric acid market price trend is temporarily stable, spot supply is slightly reduced, but demand is not actually good, hydrofluoric acid market price is stable.

Recent downstream refrigerant product installations started at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, the price of hydrofluoric acid products shocks. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions are cool, R22 refrigerant facility starts at 60%, R22 market facility start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main manufacturer of bulk water factory offer price is between 18,000-18,800 yuan/ton, but the manufacturer does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipped. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery market has increased. The domestic market price trend of R134a is not good, the start-up rate of production enterprises remains low, the refrigerant market demand is general, and the manufacturers mainly export their products. However, the on-site transaction price does not change much. Businessmen buy on demand. Recently, due to the poor condition of goods, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is shaking.

Refrigerant on-site transactions are general, refrigerant industry equipment start-up rate remains low, for upstream hydrofluoric acid market demand is normal, but the spot supply of hydrofluoric acid has decreased, Business Analyst Chen Ling believes that the hydrofluoric acid market may rise slightly.

Price Trend

According to the monitoring data of business associations, as of April 24, many manufacturers suspended their quotations, and the domestic market for cyclohexanone was weakly adjusted.

II. Market Analysis

Products: Cyclohexanone market stability adjustment, Shandong Haili export of cyclohexanone plant shutdown, Luxi plant has not yet restarted, the spot supply of cyclohexanone is tight, downstream chemical fiber parking more, the demand for cyclohexanone is reduced, general market inquiries, solvent market more just need to purchase, market low-price supply, high-price goods reduced, real orders rare. The mainstream offer of cyclohexanone in North China market is delivered in cash at 10600-10700, the mainstream offer in East China market is delivered in cash at 10900-11100, and the mainstream offer in South China market is delivered in cash at 1120-11400.

Industry Chain: Pure Benzene: East China Pure Benzene prices remain stable and consolidated, and there is still a big gap between buying and selling. Purchase price in April is 4440-4530 yuan/ton and sale price is 4500-4600 yuan/ton. May buy 4500-4550 yuan/ton, sell 4550-4650 yuan/ton. In June, we bought 4500-4550 yuan/ton and sold 4600-4680 yuan/ton. Caprolactam: Caprolactam liquid spot market rose slightly. Due to the large number of caprolactam parking devices, the supply of caprolactam is on the tight side. Some factories in the north have reduced their spot sales and increased their prices. Prudent purchasing in downstream polycondensation factories was the main reason, and the load of some factories was lowered, and the consumption of raw materials decreased accordingly.

3. Future Market Forecast

Cost support is relatively stable, the price of cyclohexanone is high, manufacturers are not many spot, downstream chemical fiber factories parking more, the demand for cyclohexanone may be reduced. Cyclohexanone analysts, business associations, predict that short-term cyclohexanone market stabilization is the main adjustment.

Price Trend

Recently, the domestic butadiene market atmosphere is rather empty. As of April 23, the price of butadiene was 7895 yuan/ton, according to the monitoring of business associations.

II. Analysis of Influencing Factors

Products: Domestic butadiene market atmosphere is empty, Fushun petrochemical plant is restarted, supply resumes export, Liaotong chemical industry normal export, Northeast supply increases but transaction is not smooth, plus East China spot abundant, downstream wait-and-see and other downstream expectations, market focus downward. The delivery price in Shandong is 7750-7850 yuan/ton, and that in East China is around 7800-7900 yuan/ton. The main thing is to negotiate with each other.

Industry chain: downstream synthetic rubber, Qilu Styrene Butadiene Rubber 1502 price at 11 400 yuan/ton, Qilu Shun Butadiene Rubber market price at 11 500 yuan/ton, synthetic rubber market maintained finishing, but poor turnover, the overall trend of rubber industry chain is difficult to support the market of butadiene.

3. Future Market Forecast

Northeast plant restart, North spot supply increment, plus East China abundant supply, the domestic butadiene market supply side continues to bear pressure; Northeast supply transaction blockage led to downstream price expectations for the later period, wait-and-see, etc. mainly, market supply and demand weakness dragged down, business community butadiene analysts predict that the short-term domestic butadiene market continues to decline trend, it is recommended that attention be paid to the completion of the downward trend. Hand in the guidelines.

Price Trend

According to the data from the business associations’list, the price of domestic dry-process aluminium fluoride Market declined this week, with an average market price of 9,500 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week and 10,166 yuan/ton at the end of the week, which was 6.56% lower than that of last week.

II. Market Analysis

Aluminum fluoride prices remained stable this week: at present, the price of aluminium fluoride in Henan is 9200-9500 yuan/ton, while that in Shandong is about 9200-9500 yuan/ton. Zhengzhou Zerun Energy and Chemical Co., Ltd. quoted 8500 yuan per ton for aluminium fluoride, Shandong Luzeng Chemical Co., Ltd. for aluminium fluoride to 11500 yuan per ton, and Henan Zhongse Dongfang Shaoxing Industrial Co., Ltd. for aluminium fluoride to 9500 yuan per ton.

Industry chain: This week, the price of hydrofluoric acid rose slightly. Enterprises reported that the spot supply of hydrofluoric acid in the market has decreased, and the situation of on-site goods has improved recently. The start-up rate of hydrofluoric acid plants in some enterprises has declined, and the ex-factory price has risen slightly. However, the aluminium fluoride enterprises have not raised the ex-factory price, and still maintained a downward trend.

3. Future Market Forecast

Aluminum fluoride industry analysts from the business society chemical branch believe that the price of hydrofluoric acid, the upstream raw material, has risen steadily and moderately. Aluminum fluoride prices are also expected to rebound from the bottom next week.

Market Overview

According to the monitoring data of business associations, the price of dichloromethane in Shandong has fallen sharply in recent years. In early April, the average price of dichloromethane in Shandong Province was 3280 yuan/ton. As of April 19, the average price of dichloromethane was 2880 yuan/ton. The price of dichloromethane has been lowered by 400 yuan/ton, a drop of 12.2%.

quotations analysis

Products: After entering April, due to the continuing weak demand of downstream refrigerant market, the delivery situation of dichloromethane production enterprises in Shandong area is not good, resulting in a continuous decline in dichloromethane quotation, and the overall supply exceeds demand in the industry. At present, the quotation in Shandong is around 2880 yuan/ton, 3100-3450 yuan/ton in Jiangsu and 3350 yuan/ton in Jiangxi. In terms of start-up, at present, Jinling Chemical Plant is in full-load operation; Dongying Jinmao Full-load operation; Luxi Chemical Plant is in full-load operation; Jiangsu Science and Culture Plant is in normal operation; Jiangxi Science and Culture Plant is in normal operation, etc.

Industry chain: Upstream, the natural gas market as a whole continues to weaken, prices have been reduced to a low level, the intentions of enterprises to bid strongly, but the downstream demand is not obvious good, the overall supply of the market is sufficient, short-term domestic LNG market is still operating at a low level, currently about 3,570 yuan/ton; liquid chlorine market is high and volatile, but the overall downstream demand is limited, and enterprises are now reporting more than 500 yuan/ton. About. Domestic R410a market shocks and adjustments, the start-up rate of enterprises is low, the market demand of refrigerants downstream is weakened, mostly export orders.

Forecast for future market

Analysts of business association trichloromethane believe that the downstream market demand of domestic dichloromethane is weak, while the overall start-up of dichloromethane production enterprises is high, the spot supply is abundant and the stock is high, and the dichloromethane market is expected to remain weak in the near future.

Price Trend

According to the monitoring data of business associations, as of April 16, many manufacturers suspended their quotations and the domestic market for cyclohexanone was temporarily stable.

II. Market Analysis

Products: Cyclohexanone market is stable for the time being. Most of the manufacturers have few spot products. In addition, due to the early week, they do not offer much for the time being. The inquiries in the downstream chemical fiber market are still acceptable. Some manufacturers have good orders for chemical fibers. Solvent market just needs to be purchased. Low-price goods are scarce, and the overall market delivery atmosphere is good. The mainstream offer of cyclohexanone in North China market is delivered in cash at 10300-10500, the mainstream offer in East China market is delivered in cash at 10600-10800, and the mainstream offer in South China market is delivered in cash at 10900-11100.

Industry Chain: Pure Benzene: Eastern China Pure Benzene Shocks slightly due to the high pressure of shipment in the port reservoir area. In the morning, some spot sales in eastern China fell to 4350-4400 yuan/ton; in the afternoon, although spot offers were stable, there were sporadic low offers of 4200 yuan/ton; in the afternoon, prices in eastern China continued to be weak, and the market lacked obvious positive stimulus. Shandong Geotechnical Refining Center of gravity in 4200-4300 yuan/ton, the market is difficult to find low prices, but downstream just need to take goods, factory shipments are general. Caprolactam: The liquids spot market of caprolactam maintained a strong trend. Polymerization factories just needed to purchase. The demand atmosphere in the field was stable. In addition, the supply in the later period was still expected to decrease. The atmosphere in the field was still acceptable. The spot price of caprolactam liquids is around 14300 yuan/ton, which is accepted and delivered to the factory in the north. The spot price of caprolactam liquids is 1360 yuan/ton and it is remitted to the factory in the north. The solid market continues to be stable. The price refers to 14800-15000 yuan/ton remittance. Some low-end prices are below 14500 yuan/ton.

3. Future Market Forecast

Cost support is weak, manufacturers are not many spot, downstream chemical fiber market demand is still acceptable. Cyclohexanone analysts at business associations expect a strong short-term market for cyclohexanone.

Price trends:

According to statistics, this week’s domestic ex-factory price of p-xylene is stable, with an average weekend price of 8,400 yuan/ton, a temporary stabilization over the price of 8,400 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week, an increase of 12% over the same period last year.

2. Market analysis:

Products: This week, the domestic market price trend of p-xylene is temporarily stable, the domestic PX start-up rate maintains more than 70%, Huizhou refining and chemical plant stops, Fuhai start-up plant starts a line, Pengzhou petrochemical plant runs steadily, Yangtze petrochemical PX plant runs normally, Jinling petrochemical plant runs smoothly, Qingdao Lidong plant runs steadily at full load, Qilu petrochemical plant runs steadily, Urumqi petrochemical plant runs steadily. Starting at about 50%, Hengli Petrochemical Plant operates normally, domestic p-xylene supply is normal, recent international crude oil price shocks, domestic p-xylene market price trend is temporarily stable. The opening rate of p-xylene plant in Asia is more than 70% this week. The supply of PX in Asia is normal. The price of PX external market fluctuates this week. The closing price of this week is 1046-1048 US dollars/ton FOB Korea and 1065-1067 US dollars/ton CFR China. More than 50% of domestic products need to be imported. The closing price of PX external market remains fluctuant, and the price trend of domestic PX market is stable temporarily.

Industry Chain: Domestic crude oil prices have not changed much this week. As of November 11, the price of WTI crude oil futures market in May was $63.58 per barrel, Brent crude oil futures market in June was $70.83 per barrel, crude oil closing price shocks, which has a supporting effect on the cost of downstream petrochemical products. The price trend of PX Market is temporarily stable. This week, the downstream PTA market price trend slightly declined. As of the end of the week, the East China PTA market talks were around 6700-6800 yuan. This week, PTA prices fell. The upstream raw material PX market price trend was stable. This week, PTA plant start-up rate maintained about 80%, while downstream polyester plant start-up rate was about 90%, textile start-up rate in Jiangsu and Zhejiang increased to about 83%, downstream PTA and polyester products start-up rate increased to about 83%. Up, PTA price decline has a negative effect on the market price of p-xylene, and the market price trend of p-xylene is temporarily stable.

Industry: This week, the textile industry has been in a turbulent situation. The start-up rate of the textile industry has increased, the price of crude oil has risen slightly, and the market of raw material PX is stable.

3. Future market forecast:

Chen Ling, an analyst with business association PX, believes that crude oil prices have risen slightly in the near future, but PTA market prices have slightly declined, downstream textile industry start-up rate has not changed much, domestic p-xylene market supply is normal, and PX market prices are expected to remain volatile next week.

Price Trend

According to the data monitored by business associations (average price of SG5 manufactured by calcium carbide method), domestic PVC quoted 6300 yuan/ton on March 1, domestic PVC quoted 6445 yuan/ton on March 29, with a small price fluctuation ranging from 100 to 300 yuan/ton. This month, the fluctuation of PVC market is mainly upward.

II. Cause Analysis

Products: In early March, the weather warmed up, downstream infrastructure demand gradually recovered, and the spot market atmosphere of PVC was running smoothly. At the same time, the start-up rate of PVC manufacturers was about 60%, the supply was sufficient, and the overall market was relatively stable. In late March, the supply of goods in East China and North China was tight, the supply contracted and the demand was still acceptable, which led to a slight increase in the quotation of manufacturers. At the same time, PVC futures rose in late March, pushing up spot market prices, increasing 100-300 yuan/ton as a whole, and the mainstream domestic PVC quotation range was 6250-6650 yuan/ton as of March 29.

Raw material: The price of raw material calcium carbide in the upstream rose sharply this month, with an overall increase of 13.59%. Influenced by the support of raw materials, the price of PVC in the downstream rose by 2.30%. The demand in the downstream terminal increased, which led to the overall recovery of the market in the industrial chain and expected to be better.

Industry: On March 28, the rubber and plastic index was 733 points, unchanged from yesterday, down 30.85% from the peak of 1060 points in the cycle (2012-03-14), up 27.26% from the lowest point of 576 points on December 21, 2015. (Note: Cycle refers to 2011-12-01 to date) This month, commodity market consolidation is dominant, the overall trend of rubber and plastic industry is slightly shocked.

3. Future Market Forecast

The PVC market in March was in a recovery period and the market price was on the rise. It is expected that the demand side of infrastructure and real estate industry will gradually increase in the future, the overall stock of the market will be at a low level, the second quarter is expected to be good, and the future market is expected to oscillate upward, but the price rise will restrain the actual volume of demand side, downstream purchasing will be dominated by just demand, and supply-demand game dominates price trend. It is expected that the mainstream price of PVC 5 will be 6250-6800 yuan/ton.