1、 Price trend

According to the data monitored by the business agency, this week’s domestic price of industrial grade first-class potassium nitrate was 4350.00 yuan / ton, with the current price down 1.69% year-on-year.

2、 Market analysis

Product: this week, the domestic potassium nitrate declined slightly, the domestic potassium chloride production of upstream raw materials was normal, and the large factories still maintained the preliminary policy of minimum guarantee, and the actual transactions in various regions were discussed. Weak support for potassium nitrate Market, the trading atmosphere of potassium nitrate Market is relatively flat, the actual trading volume is low, the downstream purchase volume just needs replenishment, and the potassium nitrate Market is stable. This week, the main domestic manufacturers of potassium nitrate offered 4200-4500 yuan / ton.

3、 Future forecast

Potassium nitrate analysts of the business association think: the domestic potassium fertilizer market has maintained a stable situation in the near future, and it is expected that the market situation of potassium nitrate will be consolidated and operated in the short term.

1、 Price trend

Price: the main quotation of GPPS is 7800-8900 yuan / ton, and that of hips is 8700-9700 yuan / ton.

2、 Market analysis

The market trend was light, with some quotations down. At present, the downstream continues to purchase on demand, and the overall market trading performance is poor. Businesses are short of the market, and the actual operation is more stable and lower.

3、 Future forecast

PS market weak operation, downstream buyer demand is not high, in the case of low shipments, adhere to short-term prudent operation. On the other hand, due to the continuous reduction of some petrochemical ex factory offers, the support of the spot market is insufficient. PS market is still expected to adjust downward.

1、 Price data:

According to the data monitoring of the business club’s bulk list, the domestic bromine market was in a weak and stable operation this week. At the beginning of the week, the average factory price of bromine was about 30055 yuan / ton, and at the end of the week, it was about 30111 yuan / ton, up 0.18% slightly in the week, down 13.97% from the same period last year.

2、 Cause analysis

Products: at present, domestic bromine production enterprises have basically resumed production. Affected by the temperature and environmental protection, the overall market operating rate is about 50%, the inventory of enterprises is low, and the market supply is gradually recovering. However, due to the relatively slow resumption of work in the downstream market and the rigid demand for purchase, the overall market supply and demand is still weak and stable. At present, the quotation of mainstream enterprises is about 29500-30000 yuan / ton.

Industry chain: the upstream market of bromine is up and down in different ways this week, among which the sulfur market is down 8.33%, at present about 550 yuan / ton; the sulfuric acid market is up 11.4%, at present about 317 yuan / ton; the caustic soda market is down 4.25%, at present about 507 yuan / ton; the soda ash market is down 1.13%, at present about 1463 yuan / ton. The market recovery of bromine main downstream flame retardants is relatively slow, with rigid purchase as the main demand, limited trading and investment of traders, flat start of pharmaceutical and pesticide intermediates and other industries, and weak rigid demand as a whole.

3、 Future forecast

According to the bromine industry analysts of business association, the overall performance of domestic bromine market is weak and stable at present. Due to the impact of the epidemic, the imported bromine has declined to a certain extent, which is good for domestic bromine, but the downstream market is not well started and the price of bromine is not enough. It is expected that the domestic bromine market will operate stably in a short time.

On April 21, the price of caustic soda in Shandong fell. After, the overall price of caustic soda is weak, and the price has been showing a downward trend. The start-up of caustic soda industry is maintained at more than 70%, the market turnover is light and stable, and the trading willingness of caustic soda market is not high, and the transaction is not warm and hot. On April 20, the purchase price of liquid caustic soda of Shandong’s largest alumina enterprise was lowered again, with a reduction range of 20 yuan / ton to 460 yuan. The price was a new low since 2010. On April 21, Shandong caustic soda manufacturers lowered their prices one after another. At present, the main factory price of 32% caustic soda in Shandong is 460-530 yuan / ton,. The demand side is not good, the downstream alumina support for caustic soda is limited, the terminal demand is low, and the overall start-up of chlor alkali enterprises is normal.

Analysts of the business community think that the overall weak operation of the liquid alkali market is dominated by wait-and-see. The overall demand side of domestic caustic soda market continues to be weak, and the price of alumina continues to be low, with general demand for caustic soda. It is expected that the price of caustic soda will be dominated by weak operation in the short term. See the downstream market demand for details.

1、 Price trend

According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the ex factory price of urea in Shandong Province rose slightly this week, with the quotation rising 0.58% from 1716.67 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 1726.67 yuan / ton at the end of the week, down 15.93% year on year. Overall, the urea market rose slightly this week, with the urea commodity index at 80.31 on April 17.

2、 Market analysis

Product: the main urea factory price in Shandong Province rose slightly this week. The quotation of Yangmei plain urea this week is 1700 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable; Shandong Ruixing urea this weekend is 1720 yuan / ton, which is 20 yuan / ton higher than that at the beginning of the week; Mingshui chemical urea this weekend is 1760 yuan / ton, which is 10 yuan / ton higher than that at the beginning of the week.

Market demand: the agricultural demand is relatively low, and some areas need to make up for the shortage; the industrial demand is general, and the production load of rubber plate factories and compound fertilizer enterprises is acceptable, so follow up the order making up as required. Supply side: at present, some urea plants are under maintenance or short-term shutdown, and the spot market supply is slightly tight. The short-term urea market is expected to rise slightly.

Industry chain: the upstream products overall look down this week: the price of natural gas is down, the quotation is down 2.24% from 3280.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 3206.67 yuan / ton at the end of the week, down 10.34% compared with the same period of last year; the price of liquid ammonia is temporarily stable, the quotation is 3216.67 yuan / ton, down 9.05% compared with the same period of last year, overall, the urea cost support this week is weak. The quotation of melamine in the downstream of urea fell slightly this week, from 5200.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 5133.33 yuan / ton at the end of the week, a decrease of 1.28%. The downstream rubber plate factory had general enthusiasm for urea procurement, which had a negative impact on the urea price.

3、 Future forecast

In late April, the urea market in Shandong Province was mainly up slightly. Urea analysts of business club believe that at present, agricultural demand is weak, and downstream industry has general enthusiasm for urea procurement. It is expected that the short-term urea market will fluctuate slightly.

1、 Price trend

According to the data in the business club’s large list, the average ex factory price of powdered monoammonium on April 1 was 2083 yuan / ton, and the average ex factory price of powdered monoammonium on April 16 was 2066 yuan / ton, with the price down 0.80%. On April 16, the monoammonium phosphate commodity index was 69.18, unchanged from yesterday, down 31.40% from the highest point in the cycle of 100.84 (2011-09-13), and up 11.42% from the lowest point of 62.09 on September 19, 2017. (Note: cycle refers to 2011-09-01 to now)

According to the data in the business club’s large scale list, the average ex factory price of 64% diammonium on April 1 was 2225 yuan / ton, while the average ex factory price of 64% diammonium on April 16 was 2217 yuan / ton, down 0.34%. On April 16, DAP commodity index was 66.14, unchanged from yesterday, down 35.77% from 102.98 (2011-10-08), the highest point in the cycle, and up 0.79% from 65.62, the lowest point on March 4, 2020. (Note: cycle refers to 2011-09-01 to now)

2、 Market analysis

Monoammonium: since April, the market of monoammonium phosphate in China has been in a downturn, with few new single products in China. The factory quotation of 55% powdered ammonium in Anhui Province is 1950-2050 yuan / ton, and the commencement is stable. In Hubei Province, the ex factory price of 55% powdered ammonium is about 1950-2000 yuan / ton, and that of 60% mainstream powdered ammonium is 2150-2200 yuan / ton. The market in Henan Province has maintained stable operation, and 55% of ammonium powder has been quoted about 1950 yuan / ton, with stable start-up. The ex factory quotation of 55% powdered ammonium in Shandong Province is 1950-2050 yuan / ton, and the price is stable. The ex factory quotation of 55% powdered ammonium in Sichuan is about 2000 yuan / ton.

Diammonium: since April, the market trend of diammonium phosphate in China has been weak, most enterprises have delivered goods normally, and export orders have increased. At present, 64% of mainstream diammonium in Hubei Province offers 2200-2250 yuan / ton, 64% of mainstream diammonium in Shandong Province 2250-2350 yuan / ton, 64% of mainstream diammonium in Yunnan Guizhou Province 2300-2450 yuan / ton, and 64% of mainstream diammonium in Anhui Province 2200-2350 yuan / ton. The price of 64% mainstream diammonium in Gansu Province is 2300-2400 yuan / ton.

Industrial chain: in April, the domestic market of raw phosphate rock is still dominated by low and stable operation, and the market is mostly in a state of consolidation. The new orders in the market are generally closed, and the on-site construction continues to improve slowly. The domestic market of raw sulfur is cold, the enthusiasm of the downstream market is not high, the port inventory is high, and the consumption is slow. In the end of spring ploughing, the export of phosphate fertilizer is not clear, the market is stagnant and wait-and-see atmosphere is strong, and the attitude of the industry towards the future market is unstable. At present, the domestic supply and demand performance is stagnant, and the downstream follow-up is insufficient.

Industry: according to the price monitoring of business agency, in the 14th week of 2020 (4.6-4.10), there are 0 rising commodities, 3 falling commodities, and 2 rising and falling commodities. The main commodities falling were phosphoric acid (- 3.47%), monoammonium phosphate (- 0.80%), yellow phosphorus (- 0.61%). This week’s average was – 0.98%.

3、 Future forecast

Analysts of business association ammonium phosphate think that the peak season of phosphate fertilizer is over, the supply of ammonium phosphate is sufficient, and the downstream demand is weakened. In the environment of strong supply and weak demand, the price of Monoammonium slowly fell. The price of diammonium continued to be depressed as it shifted from domestic to export. It is expected that the trend of Monoammonium will still be lowered in the later period, and diammonium is still weak. It is recommended to pay attention to real-time market changes.

1、 Price trend

According to the bulk data monitoring of the business agency, the trichloromethane market in Shandong increased slightly this week. At the beginning of the week, the price of trichloromethane was about 1600 yuan / ton, and at the end of the week, it rose to 1650 yuan / ton, up 3.12% in the week.

2、 Cause analysis

Product reason: due to the high volatility of upstream liquid chlorine market, which has a certain supporting effect on the cost of trichloromethane, the price of trichloromethane in Shandong has increased slightly, the downstream market just needs less trichloromethane, traders and users are not in a high mood to receive goods, and the operators are more cautious. At present, the quotation in Shandong is about 1650-1750 yuan / ton, Jiangxi Liwen is about 2200 yuan / ton, and Jiangsu is about 2800 yuan / ton.

Industry chain: in the upstream, the domestic methanol market has a fair delivery situation, a small storage pressure, some enterprises have a good mentality, and the current price is about 1725 yuan / ton; due to tight supply and other factors in the liquid chlorine market, the week’s price is high and fluctuating, at present, some enterprises are starting to increase the load, but the market is still in a downturn, and the current price is about 500-700 yuan / ton. In the downstream, the domestic refrigerant market is in poor demand, the export is blocked, and the production remains normal; in the recovery of the pharmaceutical agricultural market and solvent industry, the demand is weak, and the price support for chloroform is insufficient.

3、 Future forecast

According to the data analyst of methane chloride of business association, at present, the start-up situation of trichloromethane production enterprises has been increasing, the downstream market demand has not been improved, the enterprise inventory pressure is gradually increasing, and it is expected that the operation will be weak in a short time.

On the 13th, the domestic liquid ammonia market was flat at the end of last week, with most manufacturers reporting stability and some Shandong manufacturers slightly higher due to the reduction of inventory pressure. From the early trend, the domestic liquid ammonia market continued to rebound in March, mainly due to the resumption of work in the downstream after the festival, the demand has recovered, and the increase in the northern region once exceeded 15%. However, from the end of the month to the first ten days of April, the liquid ammonia market first fell back to its peak. At present, the price range has gradually stabilized, and the price range has further narrowed. Today, the prices of some manufacturers in the northern region are slightly higher, with a range of 100 yuan / ton. On the one hand, the inventory pressure of the manufacturers at the early stage is not large, and the downstream fertilizer replenishment leads to the continuous stable delivery of the manufacturers, but most of the manufacturers are stable today, mainly in the peak season of spring ploughing After that, the downstream has ended the centralized preparation of goods, and the strength of taking goods has declined. Most of the purchases are on demand. At present, the supply and demand of the market is in the balance stage. According to the monitoring of the business agency, the current price of liquid ammonia in the northern region is 3000-3100 yuan / ton.

In the future, the business community believes that at the end of the peak season, the demand may continue to decline, which does not exclude the periodic downward trend of the market, but it should not be overly pessimistic. At present, the demand for downstream nitrogen fertilizer will remain rigid and stable, and the price will go down in time, with a limited range.

According to the price trend chart of fluorite, it is clear that the price trend of fluorite is falling. According to statistics, the average price of domestic fluorite as of April 13 is 2988.89 yuan / ton, and the price trend of domestic fluorite is falling. According to statistics, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Inner Mongolia is 2700-3000 yuan / ton, that of 97 fluorite wet powder in Fujian is 2800-3000 yuan / ton, and that of 97 fluorite wet powder in Henan is 2800-3100 yuan / ton The price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Jiangxi is 2800-3100 yuan / ton.

In recent years, the price trend of fluorite in China has declined. First, with the gradual warming of the temperature, domestic fluorite enterprises have started to work gradually, the operating rate of fluorite has increased, and the operation of domestic mines and flotation units has increased, which has increased the spot supply of fluorite in the field, sufficient supply of goods in the field, and the price of fluorite in China has fallen. In addition, the northern fluorite manufacturers started construction gradually, the domestic supply of fluorite increased, and the price trend of fluorite in the field fell. Secondly, in the near future, the price of hydrofluoric acid and the market of refrigerants in the downstream are weak, which has a certain negative impact on the domestic fluorite market, and the price of fluorite in China has dropped. Recently, the price of hydrofluoric acid Market and refrigerant industry has declined, and it is expected that fluorite prices will continue to decline in the later period.

Fluorite prices gradually fell, and hydrofluoric acid market prices fell.

As of the 13th, the average price of domestic hydrofluoric acid market is 10690 yuan / ton. Recently, the domestic hydrofluoric acid market continues to decline. The mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiation in Fujian is 9000-10500 yuan / ton, in Shandong is 9500-11000 yuan / ton, in Jiangxi is 9000-11000 yuan / ton, in Inner Mongolia is 9000-10000 yuan / ton, and the supply of hydrofluoric acid market is full Enough, the market price fell sharply.

In the near future, the operation rate of hydrofluoric acid in China is about 60%. The enterprises report that the spot supply of hydrofluoric acid in the site is sufficient at present, but the downstream market is not good, and the demand for hydrofluoric acid market is weak. In the near future, due to the price drop in the downstream market, and the price of fluorite in the upstream, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid continues to decline. In the near future, most of the manufacturers report that the loss of hydrofluoric acid is serious, Affected by the bad news, the price of domestic hydrofluoric acid market fell sharply. In the near future, the trading market of downstream refrigerants of the terminal has fallen. In the near future, the global health events have seriously affected the import and export industries. The market of refrigerants has declined. The domestic R22 operating rate is relatively low. The market price of domestic refrigerants R22 has fallen. The manufacturer’s production unit is still at a low level. The market supply capacity is normal. The downstream air conditioning manufacturers are not active in purchasing , the demand has decreased, and the price mainstream of domestic large enterprises has declined to 15000-18000 yuan / ton. The price trend of R134a market in China is declining, and the unit operating rate of production enterprises remains low. At present, the production of automobile industry is declining, and the demand for R134a is weakening. At present, the supply of R134a in the market is normal, the price trend remains low, the downstream market is declining, and the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is dropping sharply. In addition, the supply of fluorite in the north is gradually increasing. It is expected that the market price of hydrofluoric acid in the later period will be lower It will continue to decline.

1、 Price trend

Business agency: the market price of MTBE remained stable this week (April 5-10)

According to the data of business agency, the price of MTBE this weekend was 3466 yuan / ton, 1.46% higher than that of last week.

2、 Market analysis

Product: this week, the international crude oil price fell, the gasoline market price remained stable as a whole, and the domestic MTBE price rose steadily in this cycle.

Industry chain: the crude oil futures market price improved at the beginning of the week. The output reduction rate of OPEC + meeting on September 9 was lower than expected. The crude oil market price fell again. In the near future, the operating rate of domestic refining and chemical equipment rose gradually, and the gasoline price remained stable.

On the MTBE Market: weekly international oil prices rose, MTBE manufacturers delivered goods smoothly, market prices pushed up, and the lower MTBE price was supported by the periodic replenishment in the downstream after the Qingming Festival. In addition, the starting load of the refinery gradually increased, and the domestic MTBE demand was in an increasing trend. Therefore, the MTBE price this week slightly recovered, not affected by the 9-day WTI crude oil price drop.

3、 Future forecast

According to MTBE product analyst of energy branch of business society, MTBE price is still at a low level at present, and the price of refined oil tends to be stable. It is expected that the market price of MTBE will fluctuate in a narrow range in the near future.