The price of aluminum fluoride rose sharply in October

According to the data of business agency, the price of aluminum fluoride rose sharply in October. As of October 28, the domestic price of aluminum fluoride was 11950 yuan / ton, up 18.32% from 10100 yuan / ton on October 1 at the beginning of the month; In October, the aluminum fluoride market continued to rise sharply in September.

The price of hydrofluoric acid rose sharply in October

According to the monitoring of business society, the price of hydrofluoric acid in 21 years has been relatively stable since February, with monthly rise and fall of less than 4%. The price of hydrofluoric acid is stable, the cost of aluminum fluoride is relatively stable, and the stable hydrofluoric acid market ushered in an outbreak in October.

According to the monitoring of business agency, the hydrofluoric acid market broke out suddenly in October, and the price soared by 17.73%; The price of hydrofluoric acid soared, the cost of aluminum fluoride rose, and the rising power of aluminum fluoride increased. In the near future, the market of downstream refrigerants has maintained a high level, mainly on-site procurement on demand, with various advantages superimposed. It is expected that the price of hydrofluoric acid may rise in the future.

High level drop of aluminum ingot

According to the monitoring of business society, the aluminum commodity index on October 19 was 135.49 points, a record high in the cycle (Note: the cycle refers to the period since September 1, 2011). After that, the aluminum price plunged from a high level, and the aluminum price fell sharply. With the national macro-control, the aluminum price fell continuously, with a decline of 14.82% in October. The high price of electrolytic aluminum fell, the demand for aluminum fluoride decreased, the rising power of aluminum fluoride weakened, and the falling risk increased.

Market overview and forecast

Analysts of aluminum fluoride industry of business agency believe that in October, the price of hydrofluoric acid, the raw material of aluminum fluoride, soared, the cost pressure of aluminum fluoride increased, and the driving force for the rise of aluminum fluoride price increased; However, the high price of downstream electrolytic aluminum fell, and the short-term price is expected to continue to decline. The demand for aluminum fluoride may be low in the short term, and the risk of decline of aluminum fluoride is increased. Overall, the cost of aluminum fluoride is high and the demand is relatively flat. It is expected that the price of aluminum fluoride will rise slightly in the future.

(Figure: P value curve of epichlorohydrin product)

2、 Market analysis

According to the bulk list data of business society, as of October 27, the average quotation price of epichlorohydrin enterprises was 20066.67 yuan / ton, a decrease of 5.49% compared with the price on October 1, and a year-on-year increase of 45.06% in a three-month cycle.

In October, the market price of epichlorohydrin fluctuated downward. After returning from the National Day holiday, the price of raw propylene was high, the price of glycerol was strong, and the cost support was strong. However, some factories accumulated stocks during the holiday, and mainly reduced prices after the holiday. In addition, due to the news of the restart of devices in large factories in East China, the focus of market negotiation decreased. In the second half of the month, the price of raw material propylene weakened, the price of glycerol operated at a high level, and the cost side was still under pressure. In addition, some enterprises had parking plans, the supply expectation was reduced, and the news supported the price. The quotation of enterprises was mainly stable, with ups and downs, the price fluctuated and sorted out, and the overall decline. The downstream epoxy resin operated weakly, and the epichlorohydrin just needed to be followed up.

For upstream propylene, as of the 26th, the propylene market in Shandong continued to decline by 250 yuan / ton. The propylene price in Shandong was 8350-8400 yuan / ton. The downstream just needed, and the trading atmosphere was general. The main downstream polypropylene started at a low level, the demand follow-up was slow, and the profit space was upside down.

Downstream epoxy resin, on October 26, the liquid epoxy resin Market in East China was sorted out, and the offer was negotiated and delivered in barrels of 33500-34000 yuan / ton. Double raw materials were stable. First, the decline of raw material bisphenol a stopped and stabilized, and the actual single negotiation was held at 20500-20800 yuan / ton. Another important raw material epichlorohydrin was weakly adjusted. Generally speaking, the cost range was adjusted. The downstream just needs inquiry, and the actual order is limited.

3、 Future forecast

According to the epichlorohydrin analysts of business society, in general, the price of raw glycerol is high, the price of propylene continues to decline, the cost support is weakened, and some devices at the supply end are overhauled, but the demand side support is weak. It is expected that the epichlorohydrin market will be dominated by weak adjustment in the short term.

According to the data monitored by the business society, as of October 26, the comprehensive price of PC market was 24550.00 yuan / ton. This week, the PC market was mainly stable. Compared with the same period last week, the price had no significant change, and the overall trend was stable. At present, the supply side was normal, the downstream procurement atmosphere was general, the storage side was normal, there was no pressure, the shipment was slow, the contract customers were the main, and the number of new orders was limited.

This week, the overall domestic PC market price is running smoothly, the demand follow-up is average, and there is a lack of favorable support. The mainstream price is about 24500 yuan / ton. The cost pressure still exists. At present, the supply side is normal, the logistics is smooth, the unit operating rate is normal, the manufacturer’s willingness to ship is strong, the aftermarket mentality is confused, and the operation mentality is cautious.

The center of gravity of upstream bisphenol A is declining, the transaction atmosphere is flat, and the demand is weak. At present, the mainstream price range is around 22500-22800 yuan / ton. Merchants actively ship goods and give up profits. Bisphenol a commodity index: on October 25, the bisphenol a commodity index was 196.31, up 0.79 points from yesterday, down 30.68% from the highest point 283.19 in the cycle (2021-04-16), and up 172.31% from the lowest point 72.09 on April 6, 2020. (Note: the period refers to the period from March 1, 2020 to now).

Business community PC analysts believe that in the short term, the PC market will remain stable and operate in a narrow range. (to get more information about goods and to grasp the price of goods, welcome to subscribe to the business community through the official account of the business community).

1、 Price trend

According to the data monitored by the business society (the average ex factory price of carbide SG5), the average price of domestic PVC mainstream was 12475 yuan / ton on October 25, with a daily decrease of 4.59%, a decrease of 0.89% compared with the beginning of the month and an increase of 77.58% compared with the same period last year.

2、 Market analysis

On October 25, the PVC market continued to move downward. The highest price of the main contract 2201 was 10480 and the closing price was 10195. The disk weakened, driving the sharp decline in the spot market price. Taking Lutai chemical as an example, the ex factory price has been reduced to 11600 yuan / ton, and the market focus continues to move downward. Looking back last week, the macro policy was launched, the market weakened, and there was no lack of PVC in the green situation of futures varieties. In 01, the main contract fell by the limit, bad news suppressed the market sentiment, and the spot market price also decreased significantly. Some enterprises may adjust the price twice, the mentality of the operators is negative, while the demand of the downstream product industry is flat, and the purchasing sentiment is flat, More people are in a wait-and-see attitude, and the overall trading atmosphere of the market is not good. At present, the market is dominated by bad conditions, and the PVC market is dominated by weak operation.

In terms of spot goods, at present, the quotation range of domestic pvc5 electric stone enterprises is mostly around 11000-12500 yuan / ton, and the manufacturer’s quotation is slightly higher than the market price. The pvc5 electric stone range in Hangzhou is 11180-11300 yuan / ton; Changzhou pvc5 electric stone mainstream 11000-11300 yuan / ton; The mainstream price of PVC ordinary electric stone in Guangzhou is 11350-11600 yuan / ton, and the market price in various parts of China has fallen sharply.

On October 22, the international oil price rose. The settlement price of the main contract of WTI crude oil futures in the United States was US $83.76/barrel, an increase of US $1.26 or 1.50%, and the settlement price of Brent crude oil futures was US $85.53/barrel, an increase of US $0.92 or 1.10%. The shortage of coal, natural gas and other fuels in the world’s major economies boosted the oil price. In addition, the low crude oil inventory still worsened the supply, and the oil price shock was strong.

Ethylene, according to the monitoring data of the business agency, the external price of ethylene fluctuated and rose last week. The average price of ethylene at the beginning of the week was US $1154.75/t, and the average price of ethylene at the weekend was US $1177.00/t, up 1.93%. The current price rose 4.51% month on month, and the current price rose 52.86% year-on-year. At present, in terms of crude oil: inventory continues to decline, tight supply pushes up the crude oil market, and ethylene cost support is strong. Therefore, data analysts of business society predict that the external price of ethylene will mainly rise next.

Calcium carbide, in early November, the market of calcium carbide may fluctuate slightly. The price of raw material blue carbon was adjusted at a high level, and the cost of calcium carbide was well supported. However, the downstream PVC market fell sharply and the downstream demand weakened. It is predicted that the price of calcium carbide in Northwest China may fluctuate slightly in early November.

3、 Future forecast

PVC analysts of business society believe that at present, the disk is weak, the PVC futures price continues to decline, the news suppresses the market sentiment, and the enterprise quotation decreases sharply, while the downstream demand still maintains the rigid demand, bargain hunting procurement, and the market trading atmosphere is general. It is expected that the PVC price will continue to decline in the short term, and we need to pay attention to the trend of raw material price and the information guidance of macro policy.

According to the bulk list data of business society, the price of boric acid was stable this week. The average price of boric acid was 6900 yuan / ton on October 18 and 6900 yuan / ton on October 22.

Domestic boric acid ushered in the finishing stage after a slight rise in the first half of the month. The manufacturer’s quotation did not fluctuate significantly this week and was in the high finishing stage. The price of imported Russian boric acid increased slightly on the basis of the beginning of the month, and the price was more than 10000 yuan. The price of boric acid in Turkey has a slight correction trend, and manufacturers with demand can purchase on demand

According to the data monitoring of the business agency, the price of boric acid in some enterprises in the near future (for reference only, the actual transaction prices of different brands, different specifications and products are mainly negotiated)

The boric acid analyst of business society believes that the recent boric acid is a period of fluctuation. The import price fluctuates slightly. It is suggested that buyers just need to purchase and pay more attention to the market information guidance.

1、 Price trend

2、 Market analysis

According to the data of business agency, the recent domestic potassium sulfate Market is weak and stable, and the spot price is stable and small. As of October 21, the average price of 50 particle samples of domestic potassium sulfate was 4000.00 yuan / ton, a decrease of 3.23% compared with the average price at the beginning of the month.

Recently, the potash fertilizer market has improved from the weak operation after the festival, and the market in the field has stabilized. At present, the recovery of market momentum takes time, and the shipping resistance of traders has eased. It is said that the current shipment situation of potassium sulfate enterprises is generally to digest the early inventory, the operating rate of processing potassium sulfate enterprises has increased slightly, and the overall load is stable at 60%. The upstream potassium chloride fell steadily, and the support for the spot price of potassium sulfate weakened. The mentality of the industry is general, and the spot of potassium sulfate in the market has a steady trend of stopping the decline. At present, the ex factory reference price of 52% potassium sulfate powder of Shijiazhuang hehe Chemical Co., Ltd. is reported as 4100 yuan / ton. Shijiazhuang Haofang 50% potassium sulfate powder factory reference price is quoted as 4000 yuan / ton.

3、 Future forecast

The potassium sulfate analyst of the business agency believes that the domestic potassium fertilizer market has warmed up recently, and the potassium chloride market fell sideways. The cost support of domestic potassium sulfate is poor, the demand follow-up of downstream users has improved slightly, and the market mentality is still wait-and-see. It is expected that the domestic potassium sulfate price may stop falling and run smoothly in the near future.

Trade name: ammonium sulfate

Latest price: 1840 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: on October 20, the price of ammonium sulfate increased by 23.49% compared with the previous trading day. At present, the demand at home and abroad is good, the supply of ammonium sulfate is reduced, and the supply of goods is tight. The enterprise increases according to the situation, and the inventory is low. The downstream compound fertilizer enterprises followed up the demand for ammonium sulfate, and the atmosphere in the site was good.

Future forecast: the price of ammonium sulfate will continue to rise in the short term.

Trade name: PC

Latest price (October 19): 24550.00 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: the overall domestic PC market price is narrow and weak, the demand follow-up is lack, the favorable support is general, the mainstream price is about 24700 yuan / ton, the cost pressure remains, the current supply side is normal, the logistics is smooth, the unit operating rate is normal, the manufacturer’s willingness to ship is strong, the post market mentality is pessimistic and the bearish atmosphere is strong.

Future forecast: in the short term, the PC market will remain stable, stable and weak.

On October 17, the hydrobenzene commodity index was 96.47, the same as yesterday, down 5.43% from the highest point of 102.01 in the cycle (2014-01-09), and up 221.67% from the lowest point of 29.99 on April 7, 2020. (Note: the period refers to the period from December 1, 2013 to now).

Price rise and fall of main domestic hydrogenated benzene market from October 8 to October 18 (unit: yuan / ton)

Region, price on October 8, price on October 18, weekly rise and fall

East China, 8250., 8475., + 225

Shandong Province, 8000., 8350., + 350

This week (October 8 to October 18), the market price of hydrogenated benzene in Shandong increased, from 8000 yuan / ton last weekend to 8350 yuan / ton this weekend, up 350 yuan / ton.

Summary of price adjustment of Sinopec pure benzene in 2021 (unit: yuan / ton)

Date., adjusted price., adjusted amount

September 2, 7650., + 100

September 6, 7750., + 100

September 8, 7850., + 100

September 10, 8000., + 150

September 13, 8200., + 200

September 14, 8500., + 300

September 16, 8600., + 100

September 18, 8400. – 200

September 22, 8200. – 200

September 24, 8000. – 200

September 26, 7700. – 300

October 8, 8000., + 300

October 11, 8400., + 400

On October 11, 2021, the listing price of Sinopec pure benzene was increased by 400 yuan / ton, 8400 yuan / ton, of which Qilu Petrochemical implemented 8350 yuan / ton.

This week, pure benzene fell after a broad rise, crude oil rose broadly, the bulk commodity market rose generally, the pure benzene market rose positively, and the price rose broadly. As styrene stopped rising and turned down, and bulk commodities generally fell, the pure benzene market took profits and the price followed the downward trend. In terms of demand, there are many restart plans for downstream units in East China, and the maintenance plans in North and South China increase, so the overall demand trend is weak. The price of crude benzene in the upstream is rising, the cost pressure of benzene hydrogenation enterprises is increasing, and the overall operation is acceptable at present.

In terms of crude oil, global natural gas prices have soared, crude oil supply is expected to be tight, energy supply is in short supply in winter, international oil prices have risen continuously, WTI oil prices have exceeded US $80 / barrel, good fundamentals support the strength of pure benzene and hydrogenated benzene, and it is expected that hydrogenated benzene prices will be stable, medium and strong in the short term. In the future, we will focus on the dynamics of domestic pure benzene units and the impact of the trend of crude oil and external market on market sentiment.

Price trend

According to the bulk list data of business society, domestic vitamin C operated smoothly this week, and the average price of food grade vitamin C was 48.67 yuan / kg, with no rise or fall.

According to the monitoring of business society, the domestic vitamin C market is running smoothly. At present, the mainstream price of food grade is 46-48 yuan / kg, and that of feed grade is 42-44 yuan / kg. Reduce the impact of double income. Factory starts decreased, some factories stopped reporting, and prices tended to rise.

Upstream: the price of corn fluctuated and fell. In October, the listing volume of corn in the main domestic production areas will continue to increase. Traders have high price pressure and weak enthusiasm for building libraries, resulting in weak downward trend of corn price.

The average price of feed grade vitamin A was 289 yuan / kg at the beginning of the week and 286 yuan / kg at the end of the week, a decrease of 0.92%. News of enterprises’ production reduction continued to spread in the market, but the reduction in supply did not significantly boost prices. The weak overall demand has not improved significantly, especially the continuous loss of pig breeding industry and the obvious lack of buying gas for feed additives.

The vitamin E market continued to rise this week, with an average price of 79 yuan / kg at the beginning of the week and 82 yuan / kg at the weekend, an increase of 2.92%. It is understood that Zhejiang Pharmaceutical Changhai biological industrial park has maintained maintenance for 45 days since July 25. At the same time, foreign enterprises also rumored that there was a maintenance plan in September. The downstream demand is stable. Affected by maintenance, the factory has a strong willingness to support the price, and the market is stable and strong.

Future forecast

Vitamin analysts of the chemical branch of business society believe that: Overall, the overall market of vitamins has a warming trend, and enterprises have a strong willingness to push up. In the future, they pay close attention to the opening and parking status and delivery of enterprises, and it is expected that the short-term market of vitamins may rise steadily.