1、 Price trend

According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the ex factory price of octanol in Shandong Province was temporarily stable this week. This week, the average ex factory price of main octanol in Shandong was 6966.67 yuan / ton, down 12.92% year on year. Overall, this week’s octanol market was temporarily stable, with the January 3 octanol commodity index at 51.23.

2、 Market analysis

（1） Products:

At present, the operating rate of domestic octanol plant is acceptable; Hualu Hengsheng’s 80000 T / a octanol plant is operating normally, and this week’s offer is firm; the annual capacity of Jiangsu Huachang Chemical octanol plant is 80000 tons, and there is no maintenance plan.

This week, the ex factory quotation of Shandong main octanol manufacturers is temporarily stable: hualuhengsheng’s ex factory quotation of octanol this weekend is 7000 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; Jianlan chemical’s quotation of octanol this weekend is 7000 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; lihuayi’s quotation of octanol this weekend is 6900 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week.

（2） Industrial chain:

Upstream raw material Market: propylene market rose slightly this week. The quotation increased from 6607.69 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 6848.42 yuan / ton at the end of the week, up 3.64%, down 16.99% year on year. The price of raw materials in the upstream market rose slightly, which had a positive impact on the price of octanol due to the impact of supply and demand.

Downstream market: DOP factory price fell this week. DOP’s quotation dropped from 7416.67 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 7316.67 yuan / ton at the end of the week, down 1.35%, down 15.09% year on year. Downstream customers are less active in purchasing octanol, and the demand for octanol is general. The decline of DOP price has a negative impact on octanol market. The aftermarket operators mostly wait and see the trend of DOP.

3、 Future forecast

In the first ten days of January, the trend of Shandong octanol market may fluctuate and fall. After the adjustment in December, the capital return of each plant is in good condition, the equipment maintenance is completed, and the production capacity is increased. The upstream propylene price rose slightly and the cost support was good, but the downstream DOP market was low and consolidated, and the downstream procurement enthusiasm was weak. According to the octanol analysts of the business agency, in the early January, under the influence of supply and demand and raw materials, the octanol market in Shandong may fluctuate and fall.

1、 Market Overview

According to statistics, the price trend of domestic fluorite market is stable this week, with the weekend price of 2894.44 yuan / ton, which is the same as the price of 2894.44 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week, with a year-on-year decline of 20.34%. Fluorite prices are mainly volatile in the near future.

2、 Market analysis

Product: the price trend of fluorite in China has been fluctuating this week. Recently, the supply of fluorite in China has decreased. However, the demand for fluorite in the downstream hydrofluoric acid and refrigerant industries has not improved significantly. The price of fluorite has been fluctuating, and the price has not changed much. The price of fluorite in the fluorite market is average. The downstream is purchased on demand. The spot supply of fluorite in the market is normal, and the price trend of fluorite in the market is stable 。 By the end of the week, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Inner Mongolia was 2700-3000 yuan / ton, that of 97 fluorite wet powder in Fujian was 2800-3000 yuan / ton, that of 97 fluorite wet powder in Henan was 2800-3100 yuan / ton, that of 97 fluorite wet powder in Jiangxi was 2800-3000 yuan / ton, and the price trend of fluorite was stable temporarily.

Industry chain: the market price of hydrofluoric acid in the downstream of fluorite is stable this week. As of the end of the week, the ex factory price of hydrofluoric acid is 10240 yuan / ton. The price trend of hydrofluoric acid in the downstream is stable this week. The stability of the market price of hydrofluoric acid in the downstream is a good factor in the fluorite market, and the market price of fluorite in China remains volatile. In the near future, the trading trend of the downstream refrigerant market of the terminal is stable, mainly because the quota of enterprises at the end of the year is limited, the supply is tight, and the market is out of stock, most manufacturers do not accept new orders basically, and the orders before the main supply, the price is high and stable. The transaction price of bulk water market of traders is chaotic, and the supply of goods in their hands is tight. The terminal’s demand for refrigerant R22 has not been improved, and the main price of domestic large enterprises is 15500-18500 yuan / ton. The price trend of domestic R134a market remains high, and the unit operating rate of production enterprises remains low. At present, the automobile industry has entered the stock cycle, and the demand for R134a has slightly improved. At present, the supply of R134a in the market is slightly tight, and the price trend remains high. The downstream is still on-demand procurement, and the price trend of fluorite market is mainly stable.

Industry: this week, the fluorite industry started to operate generally, and the price trend of hydrofluoric acid did not change much. The spot supply of fluorite products was normal, and the market price of fluorite remained volatile.

3、 Future forecast

In the future, the installation of domestic fluorite manufacturers has declined recently, and the market price of downstream hydrofluoric acid industry has remained stable. In addition, the market price of downstream refrigeration industry has not changed much. Chen Ling, an analyst of fluorite in the business agency, thinks that the price of fluorite may remain stable in the later stage, and the price may be around 2900 yuan / ton.

1、 Price trend

 
According to the monitoring of bulk data from the business agency, the price of trichloromethane in Shandong Province rose sharply this week. The average price at the beginning of the week was about 1900 yuan / ton, and it rose to 2100 yuan / ton at the end of the week, up 10.53% in the week.

2、 Cause analysis

Product reason: at present, the trichloromethane market in Shandong Province is producing normally, the inventory pressure of enterprises is not great, and the shipment of enterprises is smooth. Therefore, the enterprise has a good attitude of price fixing, but it is in the traditional off-season of trichloromethane, the downstream demand is flat, and the demand end support is insufficient. At present, the quotation in the region is about 2100 yuan / ton, that in Jiangxi Liwen is about 3150 yuan / ton, and that in Jiangsu is 3400 yuan / ton About.

Industrial chain: in the upstream, the weak market of methanol fell by 0.83% in a week, and at present, it is about 2045 yuan / ton; the supply of liquid chlorine market is sufficient, but the demand of the downstream market is poor, and the enterprise’s quotation continues to decline, and it is about 400-550 yuan / ton. In the downstream, the supply of domestic refrigerant market is tight, the inventory is low, and the price rises slightly, but the overall construction is still low; the pharmaceutical and agricultural market and solvent industry just need to be flat, and the price of chloroform is generally supported.

Industry: social price monitoring: on December 26, 2019, there were four commodities in the list of commodity price rise and fall in chemical industry sector, the top three commodities were crude benzene (2.15%), ethyl acetate (0.85%) and butadiene (0.54%). There are 11 kinds of commodities falling on a month on month basis, and the top three products are n-propanol (- 1.85%), propylene (- 1.84%) and 1,4-butanediol (- 1.47%).

3、 Future forecast

According to the data analyst of methane chloride of business association, it is difficult for the downstream market demand to improve significantly. In the absence of large fluctuations in the production of enterprises, the market is abundant and the actual price is slightly lower. It is expected that the price of trichloromethane will decline.

1、 Price trend

According to the data of business agency, the average price of maleic anhydride as of the end of the week was 7700.00 yuan / ton (including tax), up 0.87% from 7633.33 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week.

On December 27, the maleic anhydride commodity index was 72.54, unchanged from yesterday, down 41.34% from 123.67 (December 26, 2017), the highest point in the cycle, and up 29.14% from 56.17, the lowest point on February 16, 2016. (Note: cycle refers to 2011-09-01 to now)

2、 Analysis of influencing factors

Product: the domestic market price of maleic anhydride rose this week. This week, most of the major domestic maleic anhydride plants are in normal operation, and the main domestic production plants are in high price operation. The main production areas are limited in stock, driving the domestic maleic anhydride market price.

Industrial chain: the international crude oil continues to rise, the downstream unsaturated resin operates stably, and the terminal demand is general. According to the monitoring of the business society, the price of pure benzene rose first and then fell this week. Sinopec’s listing price increased by 200 yuan / ton to 5950 yuan / ton in the week, which led other enterprises to follow the rise. The listing price of pure benzene on Friday was 5700-5950 yuan / ton. This week, the hydrogenated benzene market is slightly lower. The operating rate of the hydrogenated benzene enterprises is lower than that of the earlier stage. The price difference between crude benzene and hydrogenated benzene is narrowed. The loss of the hydrogenated benzene enterprises is increased. There are many maintenance plans in the near future. Some units may reduce the operating rate. By Friday, the price of hydrogenated benzene in East China is 5750-5800 yuan / ton. High price consolidation of n-butane. The price of domestic main production plants is relatively high, and the spot goods in main production areas are limited, which drives the market price of domestic maleic anhydride.

Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, in the 51st week of 2019 (12.23-12.27), there are 22 kinds of commodities in the list of commodity price rise and fall in the chemical industry sector, including 1 kind of commodity with an increase of more than 5%, accounting for 1.2% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top three commodities are respectively trichloromethane (10.53%), epichlorohydrin (4.42%) and propane (3.82%). There are 21 kinds of commodities falling on a month on month basis, and one kind of commodities falling by more than 5%, accounting for 1.2% of the number of commodities monitored in this sector; the top three products falling are sulfur (- 5.63%), phosphate rock (- 3.20%), lithium carbonate (- 3.06%). This week’s average was 0.11%.

3、 Future forecast

According to analysts of maleic anhydride products of business association, at present, maleic anhydride stock is limited, but there is a strong wait-and-see mood in the downstream. In addition, the market of maleic anhydride is expected to decline slightly in the short term due to the proximity of resin parking cycle.