According to the monitoring data of business society, as of January 17, 2022, the average price of organosilicon DMC market quotation in mainstream areas was 32340 yuan / ton. Compared with the price on January 14, 2022 (organosilicon DMC reference price 30600 yuan / ton), the average price increased by 1740 yuan / ton, or 5.69%. Compared with January 1, 2022, the average price increased by 6540 yuan / ton, or 25.35%.
| PVA 1788 (PVA BP17) |
In early January, supported by tight supply and good demand, the domestic silicone DMC market rose steadily, with an increase of 18.60% in early January.
At the beginning of this week, the domestic organosilicon DMC market continued to rise. At the beginning of the week (17th), the large organosilicon DMC factories in Shandong continued to raise the ex factory price of organosilicon DMC by 1000 yuan / ton. After the adjustment, the ex factory price of organosilicon DMC rose to 32000 yuan / ton. Many other monomer factories also began to receive orders in limited quantities, and the price actively followed the rise, The ex factory price of domestic silicone DMC is 31000-32000 yuan / ton. In late January, the early preparation of downstream products was completed one after another. However, supported by the tight supply of organosilicon DMC factories, the market price remained high, more factories had the right to speak, and the spot market price was stronger. On Tuesday (18th), some organosilicon DMC suppliers in Shandong significantly increased the ex factory price of organosilicon DMC, After the adjustment, the high-end price of silicone DMC reached 35000 yuan / ton, with an increase of more than 3000 yuan / ton. The limited order receiving price of other factories also continued to rise, with an increase range of about 500 yuan / ton. As of the 18th, the ex factory price of domestic silicone DMC was around 31500-32000 yuan / ton, the high-end price was around 35000 yuan / ton, and the average price was 32340 yuan / ton, with an increase of more than 5% in two days and more than 25% since the beginning of the month. At present, the downstream demand has slowed down, the trading atmosphere on the floor is OK, and the overall market still has good expectations.
In terms of index, the organosilicon DMC commodity index on January 17 was 163.20, up 5.47 points from yesterday, down 50.43% from the highest point of 329.21 in the cycle (2021-10-10), and up 131.82% from the lowest point of 70.40 on July 27, 2016. (Note: the period refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now)
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In terms of upstream metal silicon, on the 17th, 44# metal silicon prices remained stable, with an average price of 20790 yuan / ton in the domestic market. At present, the trading of metal silicon market is slightly calm, the quotation of silicon factory has been relatively stable, and the downstream silicone has increased steadily, which has a positive impact on metal silicon to a certain extent. However, the social inventory accumulated in the early stage is rich, and the silicone enterprises mainly consume the existing inventory, As a result, the operating rate of silicon plants is low. Recently, some factories plan to reduce production. It is expected that the price of metal silicon will run smoothly before the Spring Festival.
Future trend forecast of silicone DMC Market
At present, the good pre-sale orders in the early stage continue to support the confidence of the silicone DMC industry. Although the downstream goods preparation has been completed one after another, it has little impact on the price support confidence of the main factories. The silicone DMC data division of the business society believes that in the short term, the domestic silicone DMC market will continue to operate at a high level, and the downward space of the market is limited. More attention needs to be paid to the basic changes in supply and demand.
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