The demand follow-up is slow, and the price rise of PA6 is difficult to appear

1、 Price trend:

 

PVA 1788 (PVA BP17)

According to the bulk list data of business society, in early December, the domestic market of PA6 fluctuated and fell, and the spot prices of various brands decreased. As of December 10, the mainstream offer price of 2.75-2.85 of China viscosity by the sample enterprises was about 15500 yuan / ton, with an increase or decrease of – 1.90% compared with the average price at the beginning of the month.

 

2、 Analysis of influencing factors:

 

Industrial chain: raw material caprolactam is affected by the decline of pure benzene in the early stage, and the current cost support is insufficient. Some enterprise devices were restarted, and the supply increased. The downstream slice Market is light, and the demand side has not improved. Under the dual pressure of cost and demand, caprolactam is expected to continue its weak downward operation.

 

PVA

The price of upstream caprolactam stabilized after the recent decline, and the cost side support of PA6 is still poor. The overall operating rate of domestic PA6 polymerization plants is more than 60%. Recently, the maintenance of some enterprises is good, and the spot price has warmed up, but the profitability of polymerization plants is still general. In terms of demand, at present, the inventory position of PA6 of downstream users is acceptable, the purchase intention is not high, and there is a lot of wait-and-see atmosphere in the venue.

 

3、 Future forecast:

 

Business analysts believe that: PA6 spot price continues to decline, caprolactam begins to stabilize, PA6 cost support is still insufficient, terminal demand is weak, on-site transactions are poor, buyers are mainly in wait-and-see mood, and it is expected that PA6 spot price may still be difficult to rise in the short term

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