1、 Price trend

According to the monitoring data of the business association, the price of caustic soda is mainly stable for the time being. From the beginning of this week to Shandong, the average market price is about 460 yuan / ton, down 9.36% compared with the same period last year. On April 24, the commodity index of caustic soda was 66.19, which was the same as yesterday, decreased by 68.00% compared with 206.87 (2017-11-14), the highest point in the cycle, and increased by 1.66% compared with 65.11, the lowest point on October 9, 2020（ Note: period refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now

2、 Market analysis

Caustic soda fluctuates in a narrow range, and the market operation is dominant. The price of caustic soda in Shandong is weak, and the mainstream ex factory price of 32% caustic soda is 390-490 yuan / ton. The company’s shipment is tepid, the downstream receiving situation is light and stable, and the wait-and-see atmosphere is strong. It is expected that caustic soda will continue to operate with small fluctuation in the future. In Hebei area, the market of caustic soda fluctuates mainly in a narrow range. At present, the mainstream ex factory price of 32% caustic soda is 460-590 yuan / ton. The company’s shipment is general, and the downstream receiving situation is light and stable, with a strong wait-and-see atmosphere. It is expected that caustic soda will continue to operate with small fluctuation in the future.

Upstream: the overall performance of domestic liquid chlorine market is strong this week, and the liquid chlorine market is still strong supported by the strong demand of downstream. Downstream: from the downstream of caustic soda to the end of demand, aluminum, paper and other industries adhere to the demand-based procurement, a strong wait-and-see attitude. The price of caustic soda lacks strong support, and the price of caustic soda is weak.

According to the price monitoring of business association, in the price rise and fall list of chlor alkali industry in the 16th week of 2021 (4.19-4.23), there are 2 kinds of commodities rising, 0 kinds of commodities falling and 3 kinds of commodities falling to 0. The main commodities rising were calcium carbide (2.87%) and PVC (0.28%); The average rise and fall this week was 0.63%.

Business analysts believe that in the near future, the caustic soda enterprises are not warm in shipment, and the downstream receiving situation is weak and stable, with a strong wait-and-see atmosphere. It is expected that caustic soda will continue to fluctuate slightly in the future, depending on the downstream market demand.