Commodity index: the commodity index of polyaluminum chloride on September 29 was 86.87, up 1.16 points compared with yesterday, 20.31% lower than 109.01 point (2019-08-28), and 3.02% higher than the lowest point of 84.32 on August 18, 2020. (Note: cycle refers to the period from April 1, 2019 to now)

Commodity market: according to the data, in September, the mainstream quotation of polyaluminum chloride with solid content ≥ 28% first stabilized and then rose, stable in the first half of the month and fluctuated in the second half. On the 1st day, the mainstream price was 1571.43 yuan / ton, and on the 29th, it was 1607.14 yuan / ton, with a monthly increase of 2.27%. This month, the price of calcium powder remained at the price of August, and the price of raw material hydrochloric acid increased significantly, and it was necessary to queue up for goods. However, for polyaluminum chloride in August, the quotation of polyaluminum chloride with solid content ≥ 28% showed a slight rise. Although the increase was only 0.64%, the monthly highest point was about 1582.86 yuan / ton on August 25, with the maximum amplitude of 1.19%. The main influencing factor was the price rise of calcium powder.

Upstream raw material: hydrochloric acid: according to the introduction of polyaluminum manufacturers in Henan Province, the price of hydrochloric acid in August did not rise significantly. However, in September, the purchase price of hydrochloric acid in Henan Province rose to 180 yuan / ton, which was not available at any time, but had to queue up. The rising price of hydrochloric acid caused great cost pressure on the poly aluminum chloride in September, and the export price of polyaluminum chloride rose immediately. Calcium powder: according to polyaluminium manufacturers, the price of calcium powder did not rise significantly in September, but only in August, the price of calcium powder increased by about 80-100 yuan / ton. In terms of time sequence, calcium powder and hydrochloric acid in August and hydrochloric acid in September rose in turn, prompting the price of polyaluminum chloride to continue to rise for two months. Although the price increase did not exceed 3%, the price continued well.

Downstream demand: in the traditional peak season of “Jinjiu Yinshi”, the price of polyaluminum chloride has increased obviously, which is mainly due to the continuous rise of the cost of raw materials such as calcium powder and hydrochloric acid. The demand for polyaluminum in water treatment projects is gradually increasing with the strict requirements of environmental protection inspection.

Industry: in September, the price of raw materials such as calcium powder purchased by some enterprises increased, which affected the ex factory price of polyaluminum chloride; generally speaking, the downstream demand of water treatment industry did not enter the actual sales peak season, and the market rise was mainly subject to the pressure of cost side, and the market had certain expectations for the future trend of water treatment industry.

Aftermarket forecast: according to the analysis of the business agency, firstly, the rising prices of different raw materials put pressure on the cost side of polyaluminum chloride, which prompted the manufacturers to raise the ex factory prices; secondly, the traditional seasonal characteristics of “gold nine silver ten” are obvious, which is also the time when the market is most likely to rise in a year. For the future market, the manufacturers believe that under the influence of the following heating and environmental protection factors, the demand for water treatment will have a certain support, and the trend of polyaluminum chloride will be mainly raised steadily.