1、 Price trend

According to the monitoring data of the business agency, the average ex factory price of domestic chlorinated paraffin 52 grade I products was 4766 yuan / ton on May 18, and 4766 yuan / ton on May 22, maintaining a stable price this week. The commodity index of chlorinated paraffin on May 22 was 70.97, which was the same as yesterday, 35.15% lower than the highest point of 109.43 (2013-12-03), and 11.15% higher than the lowest point of 63.85 on September 26, 2016. (Note: cycle refers to 2012-06-01 to now)

2、 Market analysis

Product: chlorinated paraffin market is stable this week. The ex factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Jiangsu Province is 4600-5100 yuan / ton, that of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Hebei Province is 3700-4500 yuan / ton, and that of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Henan Province is 4000-5300 yuan / ton. The ex factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Northeast China is 4300-5200 yuan / ton. The ex factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Shandong Province is about 4800 yuan / ton. The ex factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Northwest China is 4800-5400 yuan / ton. The ex factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in East China is 4500-5400 yuan / ton. The factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in North China is 4000-5000 yuan / ton. The factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in South China is 4500-5000 yuan / ton.

Industrial chain: the current raw material market is running steadily at a high price. The price of upstream raw material wax is stable and the volume is average. The price of raw material liquid chlorine remained high due to the decrease in the supply of maintenance goods for some factories. However, the lower reaches mostly hold a wait-and-see attitude, and the enthusiasm for receiving goods is not high.

Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, in the 20th week of 2020 (5.18-5.22), there are 32 kinds of commodities in the list of rise and fall of bulk commodity prices in the chemical industry sector, including 5 kinds of commodities with a rise of more than 5%, accounting for 5.6% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top three commodities are crude benzene (11.37%), chloroform (9.52%) and hydrogen peroxide (7.11%). There are 24 kinds of commodities with a decline in the aspect ratio, and the top three products are polysilicon (- 4.49%), light soda (- 3.75%) and aniline (- 3.60%). This week’s average was 0.74%.

3、 Future forecast

The chlorinated paraffin analyst of business association thinks that the current transaction of chlorinated paraffin is not good, and the downstream mainly depends on rigid demand. The cost side price of raw materials remains unchanged and at a high level. It is expected that in the later stage, the chlorinated paraffin Market as a whole will be stuck in operation and the price will be stable.