With the main aniline production plant back to normal operation, aniline market supply increased. However, due to the “zone along the way” Summit opened on the 14th, in some areas hazardous chemicals line, and part of the polluting enterprises down or parking, aniline demand reduction. Supply and demand side of the balance began to favor the buyer. And the odds of pure, benzene prices began to fall from the 5th, aniline cost side of the pressure again. After adhering to the three days, 9, aniline prices finally entered the downstream channel.
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This phase of the decline in the price of aniline, from the supply and demand side and the cost of a double blow. Due to the complexity of the factors affecting the price of benzene, so the majority of aniline business hope that the supply and demand of aniline boost. According to Zhuo record, the recent maintenance of the domestic MDI factory focus: Shanghai Lianheng 5 near the parking maintenance, is expected to last 21 days; Wanhua plans to repair in late May … … and rubber additives, antioxidants, dyes and other downstream in the long Environmental protection, the device load has been running in the low. The recent performance of cyclohexylamine is still limited, but limited by its downstream in the aniline in the relatively small, weak demand for aniline support.
The domestic demand for aniline is not optimistic, some businesses will look to the export market, then, small tape with you to analyze the export situation of aniline, to explore the current stage of relying on the export of aniline can save the market.
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First, let’s look at the distribution of the 2016 aniline-exporting countries. China’s total exports of aniline in 2016 in 10.37 million tons, an increase of 19.96 million tons of aniline exports in 2015 compared with an increase of 04,100 tons. As can be seen from Figure 2, aniline exports, India ranked first, exports to India, the total amount of aniline in 43,200 tons, accounting for 42%. Followed by exports to Hungary, the total amount of 40,900 tons, accounting for 39%. This part of the Wanhua dispatch to the Hungarian MDI factory production of raw materials, so this is not as a commodity analysis. In addition, 10% of the export volume to the South Korean region, the number of 10,200 tons. US exports in the number of 0.60 million tons, 0.23 million tons in Taiwan.
It can be seen that the main exporting countries for the quantity of aniline are India, South Korea and the United States. China’s major exporters are WOCHEM and LUBON INDUSTRY CO.LTD, the other is the export of Shandong region traders also have a certain amount of exports each year. Among them, WOCHEM mainly exported to South Korea, for the amount of long. LUBON is mainly exported to India, also exported to the United States, but its poor stability.
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It is understood that the end of May there are still some export orders, the majority of factory exports and about. Because the current domestic price of aniline higher, traders speculative exports almost stagnant. But with the domestic prices lower, there may be no trade window open. However, it is worth noting that in mid to late June, India will enter the rainy season, pesticides, dyes and other downstream industries into the off-season, aniline demand will be significantly reduced. Therefore, whether the trade surplus can be opened in time, is the most critical issue.
It is certain that, after late May, the existing export orders are basically completed, relying solely on a small amount of goods sent to South Korea and the United States, it will be difficult to supply and demand of aniline to form a strong support.
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