Monthly Archives: May 2022

Insufficient demand and supply recovered, and zinc prices stabilized after falling this week

Zinc prices fell sharply this week

 

According to the data monitoring of the business agency, the zinc price fell sharply this week, and the zinc market fell back. As of May 16, the price of zinc was 25530 yuan / ton, down 2.94% from 26304 yuan / ton on May 9 at the beginning of the week; Compared with May 1 at the beginning of the month, the price of zinc was 27742 yuan / ton, down 7.97%. The supply of zinc market recovered and the demand was poor, and the zinc price fluctuated and fell this week.

 

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Zinc ingot inventory in LME market continued to decline

 

Time, LME zinc inventory, Increase or decrease, Proportion of change, Register warehouse receipt, cancelled warrants

April 29, 95350., – 925., – 0.96., 33700., sixty-one thousand six hundred and fifty

May 3, 95350., 0 0 34475., sixty thousand eight hundred and seventy-five

May 4, 94075., – 1275., – 1.34., 34475., fifty-nine thousand and six hundred

May 5, 93175., – 900., – 0.96., 34475., fifty-eight thousand and seven hundred

May 6, 94375., 1200., 1.29., thirty-six thousand and fifty ., fifty-eight thousand three hundred and twenty-five

May 9, 92575., – 1800., – 1.91., 36050., fifty-six thousand five hundred and twenty-five

May 10, 89300., – 3275., – 3.54., 36125., fifty-three thousand one hundred and seventy-five

May 11, 88475., – 825., – 0.92., 36625., fifty-one thousand eight hundred and fifty

May 12, 86375., – 2100., – 2.37., 36000., fifty thousand three hundred and seventy-five

May 13, 86550., 175., 0.2., 37900., forty-eight thousand six hundred and fifty

May 16, 86225., – 325., – 0.38., 38325., forty-seven thousand and nine hundred

From the zinc ingot inventory data of LME market, it can be seen that the zinc ingot inventory in LME market stopped falling and stabilized this week, the number of registered warehouse receipts increased significantly, and the number of cancelled warehouse receipts decreased significantly. The supply of zinc is expected to increase, the rising power of zinc price is weakened, and the downward pressure is great.

 

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Zinc supply increases

 

In April, the average daily output and total monthly output of zinc sheet of Yunnan Copper Zinc Industry Company reached 303444 tons and 9406764 tons respectively, a new high in six years. The supply of zinc increased and the demand recovered slowly. It is expected that the zinc price will fluctuate and fall in the future.

 

Future forecast

 

In terms of zinc ingot supply, analysts believe that the zinc market is expected to recover this week, but the supply of zinc ingots is lower than that of the global zinc market, and the supply of zinc ingots is expected to recover this week. However, analysts believe that the zinc market is expected to recover, while the supply of zinc ingots is expected to recover this week. In the future, the supply growth and demand of zinc market were lower than expected, and the zinc price stabilized after falling.

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The rise of asphalt Market slowed down

According to the monitoring data of business agency, from May 6 to 13, the rise of domestic asphalt Market slowed down, and the average spot price rose from 4377 yuan / ton to 4421 yuan / ton. During the cycle, the price rose by 0.99%, 11.44% month on month and 36.73% year-on-year.

 

Recent asphalt price trend chart of business agency:

 

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Comparison chart of asphalt price trend of business society from 2018 to 2022:

 

This week, the domestic asphalt market price stabilized after rising. In terms of regions, the price increase in South China is the most obvious, mainly driven by the shortage of resources in the region and the rise of main prices; The second is East China, mainly due to Sinopec’s price increase of 100-140 yuan / ton during the week; Then, in the northwest, northeast and southwest, mainly the quotation of some brands rose, and the transaction range rose slightly; The price increase in Shandong and North China was relatively small, mainly affected by the wide range of crude oil shocks, and some low-cost goods sources still existed, so the overall increase was limited.

 

As of May 13, the factory quotation summary of major asphalt manufacturers in Shandong:

 

Enterprise, Device, Price

HSBC petrochemical, A 2.3 million T / a atmospheric and vacuum distillation unit was started, with a daily output of 2000 tons, 5030 yuan / ton

Jincheng petrochemical, 1500 tons per day ., 4250 yuan / ton

Kelida., There are two sets of atmospheric and vacuum distillation, one set of 3.2 million T / a atmospheric and vacuum distillation and one set of 1.2 million T / a atmospheric and vacuum distillation ., 4100 yuan / ton

Dongming Petrochemical, A set of 3 million T / a atmospheric and vacuum distillation unit is currently converted to residue, and the inventory will not be shipped temporarily, with a daily output of 2500-3000 tons, 5050 yuan / ton

Shenchi chemical ., Normal shipment, 4650 yuan / ton

Comparison chart of crude oil and asphalt price trend of business society:

 

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Price rise and fall chart of asphalt industry chain of business society:

 

Price rise and fall list of asphalt industrial chain products of business society:

 

List of price rise and fall of asphalt products of business society:

 

In the future, heavy rainfall in South China will affect the construction of downstream terminals, increase the scope of rainfall across the country, and the demand may be hindered. Asphalt analysts of business society expect that the domestic asphalt market is dominated by high-level consolidation.

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Lithium carbonate prices continue to decline, and may fluctuate in the short term

According to the data monitoring of business agency, the price of industrial grade and battery grade lithium carbonate continued to decline this week. On May 12, the average price of industrial grade lithium carbonate in East China was 451000 yuan / ton, a decrease of 2.17% compared with the average price at the beginning of the week (the average price of industrial grade lithium carbonate in East China was 461000 yuan / ton on May 8). On May 12, the average price of battery grade lithium carbonate in East China was 468000 yuan / ton, down 1.68% from the average price at the beginning of the week (the average price of battery grade lithium carbonate in East China was 476000 yuan / ton on May 8).

 

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According to the observation of market changes, the price of lithium carbonate continued to decline this week. In terms of supply, the market supply rose steadily. With the gradual decline of the impact of epidemic control on production, some new production capacity is still being released, and the output of salt lake continues to rise. In terms of demand, affected by the epidemic, the commencement of downstream enterprises is still poor, and the market demand is still in a wait-and-see state. However, at the beginning of the month, some enterprises still have the willingness to purchase. There are more market inquiries, but relatively few transactions.

 

The downstream lithium hydroxide Market is stable. Recently, the upstream spodumene price is strong, and there is some support on the cost side. However, the price of lithium carbonate is still reduced, so the market wait-and-see mentality is strengthened. The foreign lithium hydroxide market price is relatively strong, the domestic downstream procurement enthusiasm is general, the market trading atmosphere is light, and the negotiation focus of lithium hydroxide market runs smoothly.

 

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The price of lithium iron phosphate in the downstream remained stable, the supply of manufacturers was tight, the focus of negotiation was general, the overall market negotiation atmosphere was acceptable, the focus of the upstream market was high, the rise slowed down, the cost pressure of lithium iron phosphate market remained, and the overall market was under pressure.

 

Lithium carbonate analysts of business society believe that at present, with the gradual decline of the impact of epidemic control on production, the total supply of the industry is up month on month. The start-up of the downstream market is also gradually recovering, the market procurement atmosphere may be improved, the market trading atmosphere will be improved, and the short-term lithium carbonate price is expected to continue to fluctuate.

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Weak demand, tin price fluctuated and fell (4.29-5.7)

This week, the spot tin market price (4.29-5.7) fell as a whole. The average price in the domestic market was 336130 yuan / ton last weekend and 335130 yuan / ton this weekend, down 0.30% this week.

 

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The K-bar chart of commodity price uses the concept of K-line of price trend to reflect the weekly or monthly price changes in the form of bar chart. Investors can buy and sell investment according to the changes of K-bar chart. Red means: rising; Green means: falling; The height of K column indicates the range of rise and fall. As can be seen from the above figure, the market price of tin ingots has continued to decline recently.

 

According to the price monitoring of the trading society, there are six commodities in the list of commodity prices rising and falling in the 18th week of 2022 (5.2-5.6). The top three commodities are magnesium (2.29%), praseodymium neodymium oxide (1.77%) and praseodymium neodymium alloy (1.45%). A total of 9 kinds of commodities decreased month on month, and 1 kind of commodities decreased by more than 5%, accounting for 4.3% of the monitored commodities in this sector; The products with the top three declines were nickel (- 5.36%), silver (- 2.74%) and aluminum (- 2.48%). The average rise and fall this week was – 0.36%.

 

Situation of tin futures market on May 6, 2022

 

varieties., Closing price, Compared with the same period last week, Inventory (ton)

Hu Xi, 333000 yuan / ton- 2350 yuan / ton, one thousand seven hundred and forty

London tin, US $39450 / ton- $1150 / ton, three thousand one hundred and twenty

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Futures market: this week coincides with the May Day holiday, with few actual opening days. The overall trend of Shanghai tin this week is weak and volatile, the US dollar index continues to rise, the basic metals are generally under pressure, most of the metal markets are falling, and the futures market is under pressure. Inventory data show that LME London Metal Tin inventory fluctuated last week, and the overall inventory rebounded compared with the previous period. At present, it is the highest inventory in nearly half a year. Shanghai tin inventory fell slightly to 1740 tons this week. As of this week, it has declined for three consecutive weeks, which is the low level of new inventory in recent March.

 

In terms of the spot market, the trend of the futures market continued to follow closely this week, mainly downward, with a weekly decline of 0.30%. From a fundamental point of view, affected by the improvement of the import situation at the mine end, at present, the operation of domestic refineries is basically normal, the domestic output has rebounded to a certain extent, which is significantly improved compared with the early stage, and most market people are optimistic about the future market. In the downstream, the production in the Yangtze River Delta is still weak recently, the demand for tin ingots is suspended, and the local tin ingot inventory has picked up to a certain extent, reflecting that most manufacturers currently consume the pre holiday stock, and their purchasing enthusiasm is low recently. The recent supply increase and downstream demand are suspended. At present, the main factor supporting tin ingots is low inventory. It is expected that the tin price will remain weak and volatile in the future.

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The demand expectation was insufficient, and the zinc price fell sharply after the festival

Zinc prices fell sharply after the festival

 

According to the data monitoring of business society, the zinc price fell sharply after the festival, and the high level of zinc market fell back. As of May 10, the price of zinc was 25720 yuan / ton, down 7.29% from 27742 yuan / ton on May 1 at the beginning of the month. The supply and demand of zinc market recovered after the festival, but the supply recovered faster than the demand, and the zinc price fell sharply after the festival.

 

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Zinc ingot inventory in LME market continued to decline sharply

 

Time, LME zinc inventory, Increase or decrease, Proportion of change, Register warehouse receipt, cancelled warrants

April 29, 95350., – 925., – 0.96., 33700., sixty-one thousand six hundred and fifty

May 3, 95350., 0 0 34475., sixty thousand eight hundred and seventy-five

May 4, 94075., – 1275., – 1.34., 34475., fifty-nine thousand and six hundred

May 5, 93175., – 900., – 0.96., 34475., fifty-eight thousand and seven hundred

May 6, 94375., 1200., 1.29., 36050., fifty-eight thousand three hundred and twenty-five

May 9, 92575., – 1800., – 1.91., 36050., fifty-six thousand five hundred and twenty-five

From the zinc ingot inventory data of LME market, it can be seen that after the festival, the decline of zinc ingot inventory in LME market slowed down, the number of registered warehouse receipts increased slowly, and the number of cancelled warehouse receipts decreased. The supply of zinc increased, the rising power of zinc price weakened, and the downward pressure increased.

 

Inventory increase in Shanghai Futures Market

 

Time, Futures inventory, Increase or decrease

April 29, 126411., – one thousand and twenty-seven

May 5, 122380., – four thousand and thirty-one

May 6, 122907., five hundred and twenty-seven

May 9, 123332., four hundred and twenty-five

May 10, 123266., – sixty-six

It can be seen from the inventory data of Shanghai futures market that after the May Festival, the futures zinc inventory of Shanghai futures market accumulated, the supply of zinc market increased, and then the market demand anxiety continued, the supply-demand balance of zinc market moved down, and the downward pressure on zinc price increased.

 

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European supply or recovery

 

Europe is in the off-season of energy demand and natural gas prices are weak. The processing fee of imported zinc concentrate continues to rise, the supply of outer zinc concentrate tends to be loose, the profits of European smelters have been repaired, the operating rate of smelters may rise, and the tension of outer supply may be alleviated. The supply of zinc in Europe has increased, and the pressure of zinc price decline has increased.

 

Future forecast

 

Business analysts believe that the supply of zinc market has picked up after the festival, the zinc ingot inventory in Shanghai futures market has accumulated, the registered warehouse receipts of zinc ingot inventory in LME market have increased, and the cancelled warehouse receipts have decreased. In terms of demand, the supply of global zinc market has increased. In terms of domestic production and work resumption, the recovery of zinc market demand is less than expected. In the future, the supply of zinc recovered, the growth of demand was less than expected, and the zinc price stabilized after a slight decline.

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Domestic market dynamics of mixed xylene on May 9

1、 Price summary of mixed xylene on May 7:

 

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Qingdao refinery offers 7450 yuan / ton, and Shijiazhuang Refinery offers 7300 yuan / ton,

 

Jiujiang Petrochemical offers 7600 yuan / ton, and Yangba offers 7450 yuan / ton,

 

Guangzhou Petrochemical quoted 7750 yuan / ton, Maoming Petrochemical quoted 7700 yuan / ton,

 

Changling refinery offers 7700 yuan / ton,

 

Xinhai Petrochemical offers 7600 yuan / ton and Hongrun Petrochemical offers 7500 yuan / ton.

 

2、 Fluctuation trend:

 

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3、 Analysis and comments:

 

In terms of crude oil, the European Union plans to gradually stop Russian oil imports. The market is worried about the shortage of crude oil supply, and the international oil price has risen for three days in a row.

 

Gasoline prices fell, the downstream demand for mixed xylene did not follow up significantly, market negotiations were light, and the focus weakened.

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Rare earth prices gradually returned to rational, and the market rose slightly

According to the monitoring of business agency, the domestic rare earth market price index began to change little in late April, and the domestic rare earth industry gradually returned to rationality. The domestic praseodymium neodymium price rose slightly, and the heavy rare earth market price was mainly stable. The rare earth index was 790 on May 6, up 2 points from yesterday, down 21.55% from the highest point 1007 in the cycle (2022-02-24), and up 191.51% from the lowest point 271 on September 13, 2015. (Note: the period refers to the period from December 1, 2011 to now).

 

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In the past half month, the price trend of domestic light rare earth market rose slightly, and the trend of some mainstream praseodymium neodymium products in the rare earth market rose slightly. In terms of products:

 

As can be seen from the product price trend chart, the prices of domestic metal neodymium, neodymium oxide, praseodymium oxide, praseodymium neodymium alloy and praseodymium neodymium oxide increased slightly. As of July 7, the price of neodymium oxide in rare earth in China was 895000 yuan / ton, with a half month increase of 1.13%; The price of neodymium was 1.095 million yuan / ton, with a half month price increase of 0.46%; The price of praseodymium oxide was 900000 yuan / ton, with a price increase of 4.0%; The price of praseodymium neodymium oxide was 862500 yuan / ton, up 1.47% in the first half of the month; The price of praseodymium neodymium alloy was 1.05 million yuan / ton, an increase of 0.96%; The price of metal praseodymium is 1185000 yuan / ton, the price trend is temporarily stable, and the domestic rare earth market rises slightly.

 

The domestic rare earth market price has gradually returned to rationality. The on-site price has not changed much, and the market has increased slightly. Recently, the downstream procurement is normal. In addition, affected by the epidemic, some upstream and downstream production is affected, and the downstream purchase is mainly on demand, and the on-site price has increased slightly. The inventory of downstream magnetic material enterprises in the field is not high, but the demand for spot procurement is weak, and the increase of rare earth market is small. Due to the normal supply of mainstream products such as praseodymium and neodymium oxide in some large groups, some small waste recycling enterprises reduce production due to insufficient raw material inventory due to the shortage of waste supply. Magnetic material enterprises are mostly distributed in Zhejiang. Affected by the epidemic situation in the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta, the demand for orders of downstream new energy vehicles and electric two wheeled vehicles is reduced, the demand for spot procurement is weak, and the increase of on-site prices is limited. In addition, the rare earth metal factory was more cautious in purchasing without lock orders, and the market price of rare earth in the field increased slightly.

 

The national environmental protection supervision is still continuing, and rare earths are purchased on demand. At present, the inventory of neodymium praseodymium oxide has not changed much. Affected by the mood of buying up or not, the price trend in the market has increased slightly. According to statistics, the demand for new energy vehicles has increased. According to the data released by China Automobile Industry Association, in March 2022, China’s automobile production and sales reached 1.422 million and 1.43 million respectively, up 4 times and 3.6 times month on month, down 44.5% and 43.3% year-on-year. Automobile production and sales have declined. Recently, the demand in the field of new energy has been normal, the domestic light rare earth market has increased slightly, and the domestic heavy rare earth market price has remained stable.

 

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It can be seen from the trend chart that the price of dysprosium Series in China has not changed much. As of July 7, the price of dysprosium oxide was 2.615 million yuan / ton, an increase of 0.38% this month; The price of dysprosium ferroalloy is 2.595 million yuan / ton, and the trend is temporarily stable; The price of dysprosium metal is 3.315 million yuan / ton, with a stable trend; The price of terbium Series in China has increased slightly. The price of terbium oxide in China is 14.5 million yuan / ton, and the price of metal terbium is 18.2 million yuan / ton. The price of heavy rare earth rose slightly, and the leading magnetic material factory purchased on demand, which led to the stable trend of the domestic heavy rare earth market. The raw material inventory of separation enterprises in the areas where light rare earth mines are used in Sichuan and other places is still sufficient. The reduction of this part of supply has little impact on the operating rate of separation plants in the areas where light rare earth mines are used. In addition, Myanmar’s export is limited, and the global rare earth supply is relatively concentrated. Myanmar is one of the production areas second only to China and the United States. Myanmar has a great impact on the products in the domestic heavy rare earth market, and the price trend of heavy rare earth in the venue rose slightly.

 

In addition, the national policy supports the rare earth market. The first batch of Rare Earth total amount control indicators in 2022 are in line with expectations, and the industry pattern continues to be optimized. On the 28th, the Ministry of industry and information technology and the Ministry of natural resources issued the first batch of Rare Earth total amount control indicators in 2022, of which the ore indicators and smelting separation indicators were 100800 tons and 97200 tons respectively. The increase of the index is in line with expectations, and the state is still relatively restrained in releasing the rare earth supply index. The first batch of ore indicators / smelting separation indicators in 2022 are + 20% year-on-year, and the growth rate is lower than that of the first batch in 2021 (year-on-year + 27.3% / 27.6%). It is expected that the overall supply and demand of rare earth will remain tight in 22 years. The index increment is still focused on light rare earths. Among the mining indicators in 2022, the rock ore type rare earths (mainly light rare earths) were 89310 tons, with a year-on-year increase of + 23.2%, and the ionic rare earths were 11490 tons, with a year-on-year balance. It is expected that the increment concentrated on light rare earths will be a long-term trend, and the domestic rare earth market will still be supported in the long run.

 

The sustainable development of new energy vehicles, wind power and variable frequency air conditioning in the downstream of rare earth has been guaranteed in terms of long-term demand. In addition, the recent news of resumption of work and production has increased the enthusiasm of downstream procurement. With the continuous change of the global supply pattern of rare earth raw materials, the deepening of the requirements of innovation driven green development, the continuous strengthening of the standardized governance of the domestic rare earth industry and the further deepening of the understanding of resource scarcity, Chen Ling, an analyst at business news agency, expects the domestic rare earth market price to rise slightly in May.

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The price of paraformaldehyde decreased this week (4.22-4.29)

Polyoxymethylene market price trend chart

 

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Price curve of paraformaldehyde

 

According to the monitoring of business agency, the average production price of paraformaldehyde in Shandong was 5666 yuan / ton on April 28, and the average production price of paraformaldehyde in Shandong was 5700 yuan / ton on April 22, down 0.58%.

 

On April 25, Linyi Shengyang Chemical Co., Ltd. had an annual output of 9000 tons of paraformaldehyde. The ex factory quotation of paraformaldehyde (96) including tax was 5700 yuan / ton, and the price fell by 100 yuan / ton compared with last week. Due to the epidemic situation, the market shipment was blocked. Shandong aldehyde Industry Chemical Co., Ltd. has an annual output of 30000 tons of paraformaldehyde. The quotation of 96 paraformaldehyde is 5800 yuan / ton, which is the same as that at the beginning of the month. The manufacturer’s quotation is strong, and the goods in the paraformaldehyde market are acceptable. Zibo Qixing Chemical Technology Co., Ltd. has an annual output of 10000 tons of paraformaldehyde. The ex factory quotation of paraformaldehyde (96) including tax is 5500 yuan / ton. The manufacturer’s quotation is firm, and the goods can be delivered this week.

 

Methanol market price trend chart

 

According to the monitoring data of business agency, the average price of domestic methanol producers was 2745 yuan / ton on April 28 and 2835 yuan / ton on April 22, down 3.17%.

 

The methanol market continues to weaken. Due to the epidemic, the polyoxymethylene market is not smooth, and the polyoxymethylene analysts of the business community expect that polyoxymethylene may be weak and downward.

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In April, the domestic fluorite market price rose slightly

According to statistics, the price trend of domestic fluorite rose slightly in April. By the end of the month, the average price of domestic fluorite was 2583.33 yuan / ton, up 1.42% from 2547.22 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month, down 2.92% year-on-year.

 

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In April, the price trend of fluorite rose slightly, and the on-site operation was general. Due to the obstruction of fluorite supply transportation in some areas, the spot of fluorite on the site was tight, the operating rate of fluorite devices in the North rose slowly, the trading atmosphere on the site rose, and the price trend of fluorite rose slightly. Some units of domestic Southern fluorite manufacturers started and restarted, the start-up of mines and flotation units in the site increased, the delivery of goods in the fluorite site was in good condition, some small factories were shut down, and the market price of fluorite increased slightly. In April, the market price of downstream hydrofluoric acid rose, but the downstream of the terminal was mainly purchased on demand. By the end of the month, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Inner Mongolia was 2450-2550 yuan / ton, the mainstream of 97 fluorite wet powder negotiation in Fujian was 2550-2600 yuan / ton, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Henan was 2500-2600 yuan / ton, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Jiangxi was 2500-2700 yuan / ton, and the domestic fluorite price was mainly higher in April.

 

The market price of hydrofluoric acid in the downstream of fluorite rose this month. By the end of the month, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid was 11560 yuan / ton, with an increase of 1.23% in April. The rising market price of hydrofluoric acid had a certain positive impact on the upstream fluorite market, and the price of fluorite rose slightly.

 

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The prices of downstream refrigerant products rose and fell, and the operating rate of the refrigerant industry in the field remained low. Recently, the sales of the automobile industry were normal, and the refrigerant market changed little. In terms of demand, it was mainly purchased on demand, and the refrigerant industry market fluctuated slightly. On the whole, the refrigerant market is mainly stable, and the price trend of chloroform is rising, which makes the cost of the refrigerant industry pick up. At present, the price trend of refrigerant R22 is rising. The start-up of major mainstream refrigerant manufacturers is still not high, and the market supply is normal, but the demand is mainly on demand. The demand in R22 market application field has increased slightly. Some manufacturers have raised the ex factory price, and the price of mainstream manufacturers has changed little. Up to now, the market quotation of R22 is in the range of 17500-18500 yuan / ton. The price trend of R134a in China has declined, the price of trichloroethylene has maintained, the cost is under pressure, the phenomenon of closing and stopping the report of R134a has increased, the market price is temporarily stable, and the focus of trading is low. At present, the market quotation of R134a is in the range of 24000-27000 yuan / ton, the high price transaction is weak, the market sentiment is poor, the actual transaction is mostly profitable, and the downstream refrigerant market is still weak. Affected by this, the price of fluorite has little increase.

 

On the whole, the market of the downstream refrigerant industry remains depressed, but there are many restart of enterprise devices in the later stage. In addition, the market price of hydrofluoric acid in the field is slightly higher, which is affected by the combination of long and short. Recently, the manufacturers reflect the increase of orders. Chen Ling, an analyst of business society, believes that the price trend of fluorite market may rise slightly in the short term.

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In April, the price of calcium carbide in Northwest China fell by 10.15%

As can be seen from the above figure, the factory price of calcium carbide in Northwest China fell slightly this month. This month, the average ex factory price of mainstream calcium carbide manufacturers in Northwest China fell from 4433.33 yuan / ton on April 1 to 3983.33 yuan / ton at the end of the month, down 10.15%, down 11.81% year-on-year compared with the same period last year.

 

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On April 28, the calcium carbide commodity index was 104.37, unchanged from yesterday, down 50.82% from the highest point of 212.23 in the cycle (2021-10-26), and up 88.09% from the lowest point of 55.49 on March 14, 2016. (Note: the period refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now)

 

According to the k-pillar chart of calcium carbide week, the price of calcium carbide fell slightly in April, with the largest decline in the second week, with an increase of 4.89%.

 

Upstream support is generally weakened downstream demand

 

From the downstream market, the ex factory price of PVC fell slightly this month. The quotation of PVC this month fell from 9040.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month to 8700.00 yuan / ton at the end of the month, a decrease of 3.76%, a year-on-year decrease of 2.93%. The price of 1,4 butanediol fell slightly this month, and the quotation fell from 27240.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month to 24460.00 yuan / ton at the end of the month, a decrease of 10.21%. On the whole, the downstream market of calcium carbide fell slightly this month, and the downstream enthusiasm for calcium carbide procurement weakened, which had a negative impact on the price of calcium carbide.

 

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Price details of shenmulan charcoal in April

Specifications., April 1, April 16, April 29th

Little stuff, 1750 yuan / ton, 1780 yuan / ton, 1700 yuan / ton

Medium material, 1800 yuan / ton, 1820 yuan / ton, 1750 yuan / ton

Big stuff, 1800 yuan / ton, 1830 yuan / ton, 1750 yuan / ton

From the upstream raw material market, the ex factory quotation of blue carbon fell slightly this month. The quotation of Shenmu small materials at the end of this month is 1700 yuan / ton, which is 50 yuan / ton lower than that at the beginning of this month; The quotation of Shenmu Zhongliao at the end of this month is 1750 yuan / ton, which is 50 yuan / ton lower than that at the beginning of this month; The quotation of Shenmu bulk material at the end of this month is 1750 yuan / ton, which is 50 yuan / ton lower than that at the beginning of this month. Shanxi coke market price rose slightly this month. The quotation rose from 3338.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month to 3738.00 yuan / ton at the end of the month, an increase of 11.98%. On the whole, the price of upstream raw materials rose slightly and the cost support was good, which had a positive impact on the price of calcium carbide.

 

The upstream support is insufficient, the downstream procurement is weakened, and calcium carbide is bearish in the future

 

In the middle and early days of May, the calcium carbide market fluctuated slightly and fell, dominated by consolidation. The price of upstream raw material blue carbon has fallen slightly recently, and the cost support of calcium carbide is insufficient. The downstream 1,4 butanediol and PVC market fell slightly, and the downstream demand weakened. In the future, it is predicted that the price of calcium carbide in Northwest China may fluctuate slightly in the middle and early ten days of May.

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