The propylene oxide market fluctuated and fell in 2021. According to the bulk list data of business society, the average price of domestic propylene oxide enterprises was 18900 yuan / ton on January 1, 2021. As of December 31, the average price of domestic propylene oxide enterprises was 11100 yuan / ton, and the market fell by 41.27% during the year. In 2022, after new year’s day, the market price of propylene oxide increased, and then it was deadlocked and fell.

According to the monthly rise and fall chart of propylene oxide from January to December 2021, the monthly price rise of propylene oxide in 2021 was small, the decline was large, and the overall price fell sharply. The market rose in February, March, April, July and September, with the largest decline in December (23.97%) and the largest increase in February (12.1%).

In the first quarter (January March), the price of propylene oxide rose slightly, with an increase of 0.18%. In January, prices rose first and then fell. The main reasons for the decline were: the mainstream of the willingness to lower prices in the middle and lower reaches, the reduction of raw materials, the slowdown of the overall pace of the market, the slow increase of factory inventory, the supplier’s profit making shipment, and the price reduction. The price rose steadily in February, mainly due to the rising price of propylene in the upstream, no pressure on factory inventory, steady follow-up in the downstream, smooth overall market transmission, boost of raw materials and support from the supply and demand side. In March, the price rose to a high level, the price of polyether cyclopropane hung upside down, the willingness of the middle and lower reaches to lower the price was obvious, and the factory accumulated inventory and hit the top.

In the second quarter (April June), the price of propylene oxide fell by 18.86%. Propylene oxide rose steadily after falling in April, and new production capacity was released, but the market just needs to be traded smoothly. The main reasons for the weak operation of the market in May: limited cost support, incremental supply, insufficient demand follow-up, strong wait-and-see mood of terminal enterprises, and the market is under pressure and declining. In June, the market first fell and then rose. In the first half of the month, the propylene oxide market was weak. From the second half of the month, due to the impact of logistics and commencement policies, the supply of propylene oxide decreased, the factory shipment was pressureless, the price was quoted, and the market rose steadily.

In the third quarter (July September), the price of propylene oxide increased by 16.33%. In July, the market rose sharply and fell slightly. In the middle and early ten days, the impact of cost is limited. Supply and demand dominate the market, the market supply is tight, and the middle and lower reaches follow up actively, driving the market rise. In the late ten days, it represents that the factory slowly accumulates the warehouse, the market supply tends to be loose, coupled with the obvious pressure on prices in the middle and lower reaches, the focus of market negotiations gradually decreases. The market fell slightly in August. Under the influence of the “double control” policy in September, the manufacturers reduced the load or stopped the car in varying degrees, the overall market supply was reduced, and the tight balance between supply and demand led to a slight rise in the market.

In the fourth quarter (October December), the price of propylene oxide fell by 35.96%. In October, the market fluctuated and fell slightly. In the first ten days of November, the cost support was insufficient, the downstream procurement enthusiasm was not high, the cost support continued to weaken in the middle of November, the supply side was loose, the demand side was weak, and the price pressure fell sharply. In the second ten days, with the rise of the price of raw propylene, the cost support gradually increased, the downstream terminal followed up and picked up, and the price of propylene oxide stopped falling and rose. The demand side was cold in the first ten days of December, the cost support weakened in the middle of December, the factory inventory increased slowly, the demand was still cold, the downstream Reduction Purchase followed up in the second ten days, the factory inventory was under pressure, and the market price of propylene oxide decreased steadily.

In 2022, after the return of new year’s day, the market price of propylene oxide rose and fell. After the new year’s Day holiday, with the gradual rise of cost support, the centralized release of downstream orders, the improvement of factory shipments, the rise of propylene oxide prices, and the low inventory support manufacturers’ prices, but the weak demand side restrained the rise of the market, the market stalemate stabilized, the insufficient demand side performance on the 13th, and the weak market operation. On the 13th, the mainstream quotation of propylene oxide Market in Shandong was around 10450-10600 yuan / ton.

For upstream propylene, on January 12, 2022, the rise of propylene (Shandong) market slowed down, and the offers of individual enterprises were adjusted sporadically. The mainstream price of propylene in Shandong was 7750-7850 yuan / ton. The delivery of goods by enterprises was stable, the inventory was ok, and the downstream demand was dominated. Near the Spring Festival, some downstream factories had parking plans, and the market trading did not decrease significantly temporarily.

According to the monitoring data of downstream propylene glycol, as of January 12, 2022, the average ex factory price of domestic industrial propylene glycol is 15700 yuan / ton. Compared with the price on January 9, 2022 (the ex factory reference price of propylene glycol is 16033 yuan / ton), the average price is reduced by 333 yuan / ton, a decrease of 2.08%; Compared with the price on January 1 (propylene glycol ex factory reference price of 16400 yuan / ton), the average price was reduced by 700 yuan / ton, a decrease of 4.27%.

The propylene oxide analyst of business society believes that the current price rise of raw propylene and liquid chlorine has some support on the cost side, but the follow-up on the demand side is insufficient. It is mainly wait-and-see, and the market atmosphere is light. It is expected that the propylene oxide market may operate weakly and stably in the short term, and more attention should be paid to the market information guidance.

According to the monitoring data of business society, as of January 12, 2022, the average ex factory price of n-butanol in Shandong Province was 9066 yuan / ton, which was 666 yuan / ton lower than that on January 9 (9866 yuan / ton); Compared with the price on January 1 (the reference average price of n-butanol was 8300 yuan / ton), the average price increased by 766 yuan / ton, an increase of 9.24%.

It can be seen from the data monitoring chart of business society that after new year’s day, the domestic n-butanol market in Shandong increased significantly. At the end of last week, the average ex factory price of n-butanol in Shandong rose to 9866 yuan / ton, and some high prices exceeded 10000 yuan / ton. At the end of last week, downstream users’ enthusiasm for purchasing high price raw materials decreased, resistance grew, and the transaction at high prices in the market was slow. Since the beginning of this week (the 10th), the market price of n-butanol has dropped, the factory quotation has been reduced one after another, and the market focus has been under pressure. As of the 12th, it has been running down for three consecutive days. The ex factory price of n-butanol in Shandong is around 9000-9200 yuan / ton, which has been reduced by 800-1000 yuan / ton in three days, with a decrease of 6.76% in three days. At present, after the sharp decline in the market price of n-butanol, the downstream demand has not increased significantly, the execution of orders is cautious, and the overall transaction on the floor is still cold.

In terms of index, the commodity index of n-butanol (industrial grade) on January 11 was 76.09, the same as yesterday, down 42.26% from the highest point of 131.79 in the cycle (2021-05-16), and up 154.57% from the lowest point of 29.89 on November 30, 2015. (Note: the period refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now)

In terms of upstream propylene, the propylene market in Shandong rose last week. In this week, the propylene market in mountainous areas fluctuated. On the 10th, after the overall decline of propylene market in Shandong, the market had a correction on the 11th. As of the 11th, according to the monitoring data of business agency, the average ex factory price of propylene in Shandong was 7800.80 yuan / ton, an overall increase of 3.34% compared with the beginning of the month.

Future analysis of n-butanol

At present, the n-butanol plant has a strong willingness to take the initiative to receive orders, downstream users mainly purchase on demand, the difference between high and low prices in the field is gradually reduced, and the supply and demand side does not show much support for the n-butanol market. The n-butanol data division of business society believes that in the short term, the n-butanol market in Shandong is weak, and it is not ruled out that the prices of individual high quotation factories are still possible to explore. Specifically, we need to pay more attention to the basic changes in supply and demand.

According to the monitoring data of business society, as of January 11, 2022, the average ex factory price of domestic industrial grade propylene glycol is 15900 yuan / ton. Compared with the price on January 1, 2022 (the ex factory reference price of propylene glycol is 16400 yuan / ton), the average price is reduced by 500 yuan / ton, a decrease of 3.05%.

It can be seen from the data monitoring chart of business society that in January 2022, the focus of domestic propylene glycol market is under pressure. After the festival, propylene glycol plants in some parts of China resumed operation, and the expected supply on site increased. The downstream had a small stock before New Year’s day. The demand after the festival was general, the follow-up was insufficient, and the supply and demand support was insufficient. On the 5th, the propylene glycol factory reduced the ex factory price of propylene glycol by 200-300 yuan / ton. There was a strong wait-and-see mood in the downstream. On the 6th, The focus of propylene glycol market continued to move downward. The overall new order transactions in the venue were limited, the game between supply and demand appeared, and the propylene glycol market was in a stalemate. On the 11th, the ex factory price of propylene glycol in Shandong decreased slightly again, the downstream demand was cautious, and the transactions were cold. As of January 11, the average ex factory price of domestic propylene glycol was 15500-16500 yuan / ton and 15900 yuan / ton, a decrease of 3% compared with the beginning of the month.

In terms of index, the propylene glycol commodity index on January 10 was 205.56, the same as yesterday, 34.11% lower than the highest point 311.97 in the cycle (2021-10-27), and 105.56% higher than the lowest point 100.00 on September 2, 2020. (Note: the period refers to the period from September 1, 2020 to now)

In terms of upstream propylene oxide, recently (1.4-1.10), the market price of propylene oxide rose first and then stabilized. After the new year’s Day holiday, the price of raw propylene rose steadily, the cost support gradually increased, the downstream orders were released, the factory shipment improved, the inventory pressure was reduced, and the focus of market negotiation gradually increased. Near the weekend, the inventory was low, which supported the manufacturer’s mentality and supported the price offer. However, the demand end performance was cold, the market price was frozen and sorted out, and the operation was stable temporarily, On the 10th, the mainstream quotation of propylene oxide Market in Shandong was around 10700-10800 yuan / ton.

Future trend analysis

At present, the supply side devices have been restarted one after another, the on-site supply pressure has increased, and the downstream demand side is calm. The propylene glycol data division of business society believes that in the short term, most of the domestic propylene glycol market will continue to operate weakly, and more attention should be paid to the specific changes at the supply and demand side.

1、 Price trend

According to commodity data monitoring, titanium dioxide prices remained stable this week. The average price of titanium dioxide in China is 20733.33 yuan / ton.

2、 Market analysis

The titanium dioxide market was basically stable this week. The titanium dioxide market is mainly export-oriented, and the domestic titanium dioxide market demand is general. Traders are more cautious in taking goods, more wait-and-see, and mainly purchase on demand. Up to now, the factory quotation including tax of domestic rutile titanium dioxide is 19800-21500 yuan / ton; The ex factory quotation of anatase titanium dioxide including tax is between 17800-19500 yuan / ton.

In terms of titanium concentrate, the titanium concentrate Market in Panxi area is strong and upward. The overall market situation of titanium ore market is acceptable, the price is relatively strong, and the downstream titanium dioxide enterprises mainly purchase on demand. Up to now, the tax free quotation of 38 grade titanium ore is about 1500-1530 yuan / ton, that of 46 grade 10 titanium ore is about 2160-2220 yuan / ton, and that of 47 grade 20 ore is about 2500-2550 yuan / ton. The increase is about 50 yuan / ton. It is expected that the high price of titanium concentrate will be strong in the short term, and the actual transaction price will be mainly negotiated.

In terms of sulfuric acid, the prices of mainstream domestic sulfuric acid manufacturers increased slightly this week. According to the monitoring of bulk commodity data, the domestic sulfuric acid market price increased slightly this week, and the quotation increased from 645 yuan / ton last weekend to 646.67 yuan / ton this weekend, an increase of 0.26%. Sulfuric acid market fluctuated slightly this week. The upstream sulfur market was consolidated at a high level. Although there was an upward trend, the increase was small, mainly consolidation. The downstream phosphate fertilizer market fell and the demand was insufficient. In addition, the Spring Festival is coming, and the upstream and downstream construction is insufficient. On the whole, the sulfuric acid market may decline slightly. Sulfuric acid analysts of business society believe that under the influence of supply and demand and raw materials in the short-term domestic sulfuric acid market, the market price of sulfuric acid may rise slightly.

3、 Future forecast

Titanium dioxide analysts of business society believe that at present, the titanium dioxide market is mainly stable. In terms of raw materials, the prices of titanium concentrate and sulfuric acid are relatively strong, and the support is acceptable. It is expected that the titanium dioxide market will be stable temporarily in the short term, and the market will gradually improve.

The price of orthobenzene rose after the festival

According to the price trend chart of orthobenzene in business society, the price of orthobenzene rose after the festival. As of January 7, the price of orthobenzene was 6400 yuan / ton, up 1.59% from 6300 yuan / ton on January 1. After the festival, the market of orthobenzene industrial chain recovered.

The price of raw material mixed xylene fluctuated and rose

According to the trend chart of mixed xylene in business society, the price of mixed xylene increased by 2.56% after the festival. Affected by the rise of crude oil price, the price of mixed xylene fluctuated and rose. The cost of o-xylene increases, and the driving force of o-xylene increases.

Downstream phthalic anhydride prices rise

It can be seen from the price trend chart of phthalic anhydride in business society that the price of phthalic anhydride rose and the market of phthalic anhydride recovered after the festival. Since mid December, the price of phthalic anhydride has fluctuated all the way. The downstream market recovered, the demand for o-xylene increased, and the driving force for the rise of o-xylene increased.

Outlook

After the festival, the price of o-xylene rose. Affected by the sharp rise of crude oil price, the price of raw material mixed xylene rose, and the price of downstream phthalic anhydride rose. Overall, the cost of o-xylene is rising, the demand is good, and the driving force of o-xylene rise is increased. It is expected that the price of o-xylene will be strong and stable in the future.

The price of aluminum fluoride soared unilaterally in 2021

According to the data of business agency, the price of aluminum fluoride soared unilaterally in 21 years. As of December 31, the average price of domestic aluminum fluoride quotation was 14366.67 yuan / ton, a record high in the cycle (the cycle refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now). Compared with the average price of aluminum fluoride quoted on January 1 at the beginning of the year, it soared by 56.73%; The market of aluminum fluoride soared in the past 21 years, and the risk of future decline increased. It can be seen from the 21-year aluminum fluoride trend chart that the 21-year trend of aluminum fluoride is obvious, which can be divided into two parts: the first half of the year and the second half of the year: the aluminum fluoride market fluctuated and adjusted slightly in the first half of the year; The aluminum fluoride market soared all the way in the second half of the year.

The market of aluminum fluoride fluctuated and adjusted in the first half of the year

According to the monitoring of the business community, the price of aluminum fluoride fluctuated and fell in the first half of the year, the market of aluminum fluoride was weak in the first half of the year, the prices of fluorite and hydrofluoric acid first rose and then fell in the first half of the year, and the overall prices of fluorite and aluminum fluoride fluctuated and fell slightly. The price of raw materials fell, the cost of aluminum fluoride fell, and the price of aluminum fluoride fell in the first half of the year.

The price of aluminum fluoride soared all the way in the second half of the year

According to the monitoring of the business agency, the price of aluminum fluoride soared all the way in the second half of the year, the price of raw materials fluorite and hydrofluoric acid rose sharply, the price of fluorite rose by 8.21% in the second half of the year, the price of hydrofluoric acid rose by 40% from July to the end of November, and the cost of aluminum fluoride soared; The price of electrolytic aluminum in the lower reaches reached new highs repeatedly. In mid October, the price of aluminum reached a 10-year high. The strong performance in the lower reaches obviously supported aluminum fluoride. In addition, due to the impact of film restrictions, the start-up of aluminum fluoride enterprises was low, and the price of aluminum fluoride soared all the way. After November, the price of raw materials fluctuated and fell, the cost of aluminum fluoride decreased, the high price of aluminum fluoride remained stable, and there was a great risk of future decline.

Market overview and forecast

The aluminum fluoride industry analyst of business agency believes that the aluminum fluoride market soared all the way in 21 years. In the first half of the year, the price of raw materials fluctuated and fell slightly. In the second half of the year, with the sharp rise in the price of raw material fluorite hydrofluoric acid, the price of aluminum fluoride soared all the way to a record high. However, since late November, the prices of fluorite and hydrofluoric acid began to fall, and the cost of aluminum fluoride decreased. Although the short-term high price of aluminum fluoride remained stable, the risk of future decline increased. After the festival, the price of aluminum fluoride fell. It is expected that the high decline risk of aluminum fluoride price in the future is large, and the price of aluminum fluoride in the future is expected to fall.

In 2021, the domestic polyethylene spot market showed an “m” trend as a whole. The three varieties fluctuated frequently during the year, and the market fluctuated from high to low, but the increase was greater than the decrease. The three varieties rose in varying degrees, among which LLDPE increased significantly compared with the other two varieties. Looking back on 2021, there were two prominent highs in the polyethylene spot market, respectively in March and October, and also ushered in the highest point of the year in October. Overall, the trend of polyethylene spot market in the second quarter and the end of the year is weak, as shown below.

According to the monitoring data of business agency, the average price of LLDPE in East China market was 7883.33 yuan / ton on January 1 and 8710.00 yuan / ton on December 31, with an increase of 10.49% during the year. The lowest point of the year occurred on January 13. The average price of LLDPE in East China market was 7750.00 yuan / ton, and the highest point occurred on October 19. The average price of LLDPE in East China market was 9983.33 yuan / ton, with a maximum amplitude of 28.82%.

According to the monitoring data of business agency, the average price of LDPE in East China market was 11125.00 yuan / ton on January 1 and 11825.00 yuan / ton on December 31, with an increase of 6.29% during the year. The lowest point of the year occurred on June 17, the average price of LDPE in East China market was 9425.00 yuan / ton, the highest point occurred on October 13, the average price of LDPE in East China market was 13975.00 yuan / ton, and the maximum amplitude was 48.28%.

According to the monitoring data of business agency, the average price of HDPE in East China market was 8166.67 yuan / ton on January 1 and 8800.00 yuan / ton on December 31, with an increase of 7.76% during the year. The lowest point of the year occurred on January 18. The average price of HDPE in East China market was 8000.00 yuan / ton, and the highest point occurred on October 12. The average price of HDPE in East China market was 10133.33 yuan / ton, with a maximum amplitude of 26.67%.

It can be seen from the monthly k-column chart of business society that the polyethylene market will go up for 5 months and down for 7 months in 2021. Among them, the increase was relatively obvious in February and September, and the decrease was relatively small in January and July.

Looking back on 2021, there were two roller coaster trends in the polyethylene spot market during the year, with ups and downs. They ushered in high points in March and October respectively, and also reached a new year high in October. Let’s look at it quarterly.

In the first quarter, the polyethylene spot market was low first and then high. At the beginning of the year, the polyethylene market continued the decline at the end of 2020. It was mainly weak before the Spring Festival, but the overall decline was small. Until after the Spring Festival, the polyethylene market rose one after another. During this period, the petrochemical inventory was low, which brought some benefits to the market supply side. In addition, the extremely cold weather in the United States impacted the operation of local oil refining and related chemical production units, and the chemical production fell into a state of paralysis. Affected by this, crude oil and plastic raw materials rose one after another, even the plastic futures market rose, and the spot market followed up.

In the second quarter, the three varieties of polyethylene in the spot market fell sharply. After experiencing the sharp rise in the first quarter, the positive factors in the polyethylene spot market in the second quarter were insufficient, and the collective entered the decline channel. Among them, LDPE fell the most obviously, with a decline of 16.58% in the second quarter. After the plastic raw material market rose in the first quarter, it returned to rationality and fell rapidly, and the raw material support was not available. In addition, the second quarter was in the off-season of demand, and the support brought by terminal demand was limited. Agricultural film was mainly started in stages, with a small amount of production, and most other enterprises shut down. Packaging film enterprises also had limited operating rate, less raw material consumption, and low procurement enthusiasm of downstream factories. Merchants actively sell goods for profit, but the effect is not ideal. The downstream mentality is cautious and wait-and-see, the mood is obvious, and the market real offer trading is limited. Until the end of the second quarter, the international oil price continued to rise, which brought obvious support to the polyolefin industry chain, and the polyethylene spot market ushered in a stop rising market.

In the third quarter, the polyethylene spot market was weak first and then strong. At this stage, the LDPE market showed a continuous upward trend, with a certain deviation from other varieties. HDPE and LLDPE showed a low trend first and then high trend. The three varieties showed obvious strength, mainly in September. LDPE rose as much as 3000 yuan / ton in the third quarter. The third quarter coincided with the golden ninth, the raw material market rose again, the cost side support was strong, and the Liansu futures market rose strongly. In addition, the polyethylene spot market ushered in the traditional peak demand season, during which there were many maintenance enterprises, the import volume decreased, and the sharp rise of coal production reduction under the influence of the dual control policy supported the continuous rise of the polyethylene market.

In the fourth quarter, the heat of polyethylene spot market decreased significantly, the continuous rising power was insufficient, and the price fell. As can be seen from the trend chart, after the 11th National Day holiday, coal continued to rise sharply, and the polyethylene spot market continued its upward trend in September. There is still a week of rising market, which also reached a high point in the year during this period. However, in the later stage, with the intervention of coal prices, the recovery of polyethylene maintenance enterprises and the production of new production capacity, the market supply increased and the demand gradually decreased. The polyethylene spot market began to decline in mid October and continued its weakness until the end of the year. During this period, LLDPE was greatly affected by the futures market and fluctuated frequently. HDPE is relatively stable and has maintained a sideways consolidation trend since November.

It can be seen from the comparison trend chart of business and social periods that the trend of the spot market in the plastic period in 2021 is not different, but also presents an “m” trend. In addition to the fact that the futures trend is stronger than the spot trend at the end of the year, the trend is relatively unified, the highest point appears in October, and then begins to fluctuate and fall.

On the whole, this year’s macro factors, strong cost and decline in import volume have brought positive support to the polyethylene spot market. The trend is stronger than that in 2020, and the prices in the same period are also higher than that in 2020. At present, although the cost support at the raw material end still exists and the petrochemical inventory is relatively low, there are few maintenance enterprises in the market, the terminal demand is weak, and the three major polyethylene spot varieties have entered the horizontal consolidation stage. In the later stage of the Spring Festival, the downstream factories gradually opened the holiday mode, and the demand was further reduced. The operators were cautious and had a strong bearish mood. It was difficult for the three polyethylene varieties to rise sharply in the short term, or continue to oscillate in a narrow range. In 2022, the polyethylene spot market may still be dominated by strong shocks, with a gentle trend compared with 2021. In addition, the new high-pressure production capacity is limited, the market supply is tight, and the price may still remain high.

In December, many domestic methane chloride plants were overhauled one after another, and the supply side changed from loose to tight, driving the price of dichloromethane higher. Raw material methanol fell sharply, limiting the rise of dichloromethane.

According to the monitoring of business agency, the price of dichloromethane bulk water in Shandong was 4362 yuan / ton in early December and 5972 yuan / ton at the end of the month, up 36.91% compared with the beginning of the month.

 
According to the business agency, there were many shutdown and maintenance of domestic methane chloride units in December, the overall operating load decreased, and the supply side was tight.

In December, the price of methanol fell sharply, and the cost was dragged by dichloromethane. According to the business agency, as of December 31, the price of methanol was 2375 yuan / ton, down 14.26% from 2770 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month.

Future forecast: dichloromethane analysts of business society believe that as of the end of December, the operation of methane chloride unit has rebounded slightly, coupled with weak demand and low cost; Overall, the dichloromethane market may decline slightly in the short term.

1、 Price trend

According to the monitoring data of business society, the price of caustic soda rose as a whole in December. At the beginning of the month, the market price in Shandong was 842.5 yuan / ton, and at the end of the month, the average market price in Shandong was 1000 yuan / ton, with a price increase of 18.69% and a price increase of 106.19% over the same period last year. On December 30, the caustic soda commodity index was 144.96, down 1.8 points from yesterday, down 45.39% from the highest point 265.47 in the cycle (2021-10-27), and up 122.64% from the lowest point 65.11 on October 9, 2020. (Note: the period refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now)

2、 Market analysis

Caustic soda prices rose overall this month. From the beginning of the month to December 19, it operated relatively smoothly, with prices rising from December 19 to 25 and falling from December 25 to December 31. At present, liquid alkali shows a downward trend. The price of caustic soda in Shandong is weak, and the mainstream ex factory price of 32% caustic soda is 940-1020 yuan / ton. The mainstream market price in Hebei is about 900-1050 yuan / ton. Near the end of the year, the enterprise has sufficient inventory in the near future and the shipment mentality has increased, but the downstream alumina procurement sentiment is pessimistic and the intention to store goods is general.

According to the price monitoring of the business community, in the price rise and fall list of chlor alkali industry in the 51st week of 2021 (12.20-12.24), there were 1 kind of rising commodity, 3 kinds of falling commodities and 1 kind of rising and falling commodity. The main commodities rising were: caustic soda (13.07%); The main commodities falling were calcium carbide (- 2.40%), light soda ash (- 0.90%), PVC (- 0.36%). The average rise and fall this week was 1.88%.

Business analysts believe that recently, the mainstream price in Shandong market is about 940-1020 yuan / ton. Downstream enterprises have weak demand for alumina procurement, and there is no significant increase in alumina demand. Market turnover is average. It is expected that the follow-up weak market operation of caustic soda is mainly based on the downstream market demand.

1、 Price trend

According to the monitoring data of business society, the price of chlorinated paraffin fell this month. On December 1, the average ex factory price of domestic chlorinated paraffin 52 was 7266 yuan / ton, and on December 31, the average ex factory price of domestic chlorinated paraffin 52 was 6375 yuan / ton. The price of chlorinated paraffin fell by 12.27% this month.

2、 Market analysis

This month, the operating rate of domestic chlorinated paraffin enterprises decreased and the unit operated normally. The price of liquid chlorine, the raw material of chlorinated paraffin, fell steadily. At present, the market situation turns weak, manufacturers generally ship goods, and most enterprises reduce prices. The start-up of chlorinated paraffin enterprises is low, and the supply is reduced. Downstream on-demand procurement, reduced trading volume and weak market trading atmosphere. As of December 31, the ex factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Anhui was about 6300 yuan / ton, that in Northeast China was about 5600 yuan / ton, that in South China was 5600-6500 yuan / ton, that in Shandong was 5200-6000 yuan / ton, and that in East China was about 6100-6300 yuan / ton.

In terms of raw liquid wax, the liquid wax market is generally stable this week, with a good trading atmosphere and a balance between supply and demand. In the short term, the market will run smoothly. In terms of raw liquid chlorine, the price of liquid chlorine decreased this month, the manufacturer has more inventory, and the enterprise is under pressure to reduce the price. The cost is not enough to support chlorinated paraffin.

3、 Future forecast

According to the chlorinated paraffin analyst of business society, the demand side of chlorinated paraffin continues to weaken and the price continues to fall due to the current off-season demand for chlorinated paraffin. The price of raw liquid chlorine fell and the cost support of chlorinated paraffin weakened. Take a small amount of goods downstream and just need to purchase. It is expected that the price of chlorinated paraffin will be weak and stable in the short term. It is suggested to pay attention to the changes of raw materials and demand side.