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In 2021, the price of aluminum fluoride soared, and the risk of market decline increased

The price of aluminum fluoride soared unilaterally in 2021

 

PVA 1788 (PVA BP17)

According to the data of business agency, the price of aluminum fluoride soared unilaterally in 21 years. As of December 31, the average price of domestic aluminum fluoride quotation was 14366.67 yuan / ton, a record high in the cycle (the cycle refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now). Compared with the average price of aluminum fluoride quoted on January 1 at the beginning of the year, it soared by 56.73%; The market of aluminum fluoride soared in the past 21 years, and the risk of future decline increased. It can be seen from the 21-year aluminum fluoride trend chart that the 21-year trend of aluminum fluoride is obvious, which can be divided into two parts: the first half of the year and the second half of the year: the aluminum fluoride market fluctuated and adjusted slightly in the first half of the year; The aluminum fluoride market soared all the way in the second half of the year.

 

The market of aluminum fluoride fluctuated and adjusted in the first half of the year

 

According to the monitoring of the business community, the price of aluminum fluoride fluctuated and fell in the first half of the year, the market of aluminum fluoride was weak in the first half of the year, the prices of fluorite and hydrofluoric acid first rose and then fell in the first half of the year, and the overall prices of fluorite and aluminum fluoride fluctuated and fell slightly. The price of raw materials fell, the cost of aluminum fluoride fell, and the price of aluminum fluoride fell in the first half of the year.

 

The price of aluminum fluoride soared all the way in the second half of the year

 

PVA

According to the monitoring of the business agency, the price of aluminum fluoride soared all the way in the second half of the year, the price of raw materials fluorite and hydrofluoric acid rose sharply, the price of fluorite rose by 8.21% in the second half of the year, the price of hydrofluoric acid rose by 40% from July to the end of November, and the cost of aluminum fluoride soared; The price of electrolytic aluminum in the lower reaches reached new highs repeatedly. In mid October, the price of aluminum reached a 10-year high. The strong performance in the lower reaches obviously supported aluminum fluoride. In addition, due to the impact of film restrictions, the start-up of aluminum fluoride enterprises was low, and the price of aluminum fluoride soared all the way. After November, the price of raw materials fluctuated and fell, the cost of aluminum fluoride decreased, the high price of aluminum fluoride remained stable, and there was a great risk of future decline.

 

Market overview and forecast

 

The aluminum fluoride industry analyst of business agency believes that the aluminum fluoride market soared all the way in 21 years. In the first half of the year, the price of raw materials fluctuated and fell slightly. In the second half of the year, with the sharp rise in the price of raw material fluorite hydrofluoric acid, the price of aluminum fluoride soared all the way to a record high. However, since late November, the prices of fluorite and hydrofluoric acid began to fall, and the cost of aluminum fluoride decreased. Although the short-term high price of aluminum fluoride remained stable, the risk of future decline increased. After the festival, the price of aluminum fluoride fell. It is expected that the high decline risk of aluminum fluoride price in the future is large, and the price of aluminum fluoride in the future is expected to fall.

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In 2021, the PE market experienced ups and downs, and the overall price focus shifted upward

In 2021, the domestic polyethylene spot market showed an “m” trend as a whole. The three varieties fluctuated frequently during the year, and the market fluctuated from high to low, but the increase was greater than the decrease. The three varieties rose in varying degrees, among which LLDPE increased significantly compared with the other two varieties. Looking back on 2021, there were two prominent highs in the polyethylene spot market, respectively in March and October, and also ushered in the highest point of the year in October. Overall, the trend of polyethylene spot market in the second quarter and the end of the year is weak, as shown below.

 

According to the monitoring data of business agency, the average price of LLDPE in East China market was 7883.33 yuan / ton on January 1 and 8710.00 yuan / ton on December 31, with an increase of 10.49% during the year. The lowest point of the year occurred on January 13. The average price of LLDPE in East China market was 7750.00 yuan / ton, and the highest point occurred on October 19. The average price of LLDPE in East China market was 9983.33 yuan / ton, with a maximum amplitude of 28.82%.

 

According to the monitoring data of business agency, the average price of LDPE in East China market was 11125.00 yuan / ton on January 1 and 11825.00 yuan / ton on December 31, with an increase of 6.29% during the year. The lowest point of the year occurred on June 17, the average price of LDPE in East China market was 9425.00 yuan / ton, the highest point occurred on October 13, the average price of LDPE in East China market was 13975.00 yuan / ton, and the maximum amplitude was 48.28%.

 

According to the monitoring data of business agency, the average price of HDPE in East China market was 8166.67 yuan / ton on January 1 and 8800.00 yuan / ton on December 31, with an increase of 7.76% during the year. The lowest point of the year occurred on January 18. The average price of HDPE in East China market was 8000.00 yuan / ton, and the highest point occurred on October 12. The average price of HDPE in East China market was 10133.33 yuan / ton, with a maximum amplitude of 26.67%.

 

PVA 1799 (PVA BF17)

It can be seen from the monthly k-column chart of business society that the polyethylene market will go up for 5 months and down for 7 months in 2021. Among them, the increase was relatively obvious in February and September, and the decrease was relatively small in January and July.

 

Looking back on 2021, there were two roller coaster trends in the polyethylene spot market during the year, with ups and downs. They ushered in high points in March and October respectively, and also reached a new year high in October. Let’s look at it quarterly.

 

In the first quarter, the polyethylene spot market was low first and then high. At the beginning of the year, the polyethylene market continued the decline at the end of 2020. It was mainly weak before the Spring Festival, but the overall decline was small. Until after the Spring Festival, the polyethylene market rose one after another. During this period, the petrochemical inventory was low, which brought some benefits to the market supply side. In addition, the extremely cold weather in the United States impacted the operation of local oil refining and related chemical production units, and the chemical production fell into a state of paralysis. Affected by this, crude oil and plastic raw materials rose one after another, even the plastic futures market rose, and the spot market followed up.

 

In the second quarter, the three varieties of polyethylene in the spot market fell sharply. After experiencing the sharp rise in the first quarter, the positive factors in the polyethylene spot market in the second quarter were insufficient, and the collective entered the decline channel. Among them, LDPE fell the most obviously, with a decline of 16.58% in the second quarter. After the plastic raw material market rose in the first quarter, it returned to rationality and fell rapidly, and the raw material support was not available. In addition, the second quarter was in the off-season of demand, and the support brought by terminal demand was limited. Agricultural film was mainly started in stages, with a small amount of production, and most other enterprises shut down. Packaging film enterprises also had limited operating rate, less raw material consumption, and low procurement enthusiasm of downstream factories. Merchants actively sell goods for profit, but the effect is not ideal. The downstream mentality is cautious and wait-and-see, the mood is obvious, and the market real offer trading is limited. Until the end of the second quarter, the international oil price continued to rise, which brought obvious support to the polyolefin industry chain, and the polyethylene spot market ushered in a stop rising market.

 

In the third quarter, the polyethylene spot market was weak first and then strong. At this stage, the LDPE market showed a continuous upward trend, with a certain deviation from other varieties. HDPE and LLDPE showed a low trend first and then high trend. The three varieties showed obvious strength, mainly in September. LDPE rose as much as 3000 yuan / ton in the third quarter. The third quarter coincided with the golden ninth, the raw material market rose again, the cost side support was strong, and the Liansu futures market rose strongly. In addition, the polyethylene spot market ushered in the traditional peak demand season, during which there were many maintenance enterprises, the import volume decreased, and the sharp rise of coal production reduction under the influence of the dual control policy supported the continuous rise of the polyethylene market.

 

PVA

In the fourth quarter, the heat of polyethylene spot market decreased significantly, the continuous rising power was insufficient, and the price fell. As can be seen from the trend chart, after the 11th National Day holiday, coal continued to rise sharply, and the polyethylene spot market continued its upward trend in September. There is still a week of rising market, which also reached a high point in the year during this period. However, in the later stage, with the intervention of coal prices, the recovery of polyethylene maintenance enterprises and the production of new production capacity, the market supply increased and the demand gradually decreased. The polyethylene spot market began to decline in mid October and continued its weakness until the end of the year. During this period, LLDPE was greatly affected by the futures market and fluctuated frequently. HDPE is relatively stable and has maintained a sideways consolidation trend since November.

 

It can be seen from the comparison trend chart of business and social periods that the trend of the spot market in the plastic period in 2021 is not different, but also presents an “m” trend. In addition to the fact that the futures trend is stronger than the spot trend at the end of the year, the trend is relatively unified, the highest point appears in October, and then begins to fluctuate and fall.

 

On the whole, this year’s macro factors, strong cost and decline in import volume have brought positive support to the polyethylene spot market. The trend is stronger than that in 2020, and the prices in the same period are also higher than that in 2020. At present, although the cost support at the raw material end still exists and the petrochemical inventory is relatively low, there are few maintenance enterprises in the market, the terminal demand is weak, and the three major polyethylene spot varieties have entered the horizontal consolidation stage. In the later stage of the Spring Festival, the downstream factories gradually opened the holiday mode, and the demand was further reduced. The operators were cautious and had a strong bearish mood. It was difficult for the three polyethylene varieties to rise sharply in the short term, or continue to oscillate in a narrow range. In 2022, the polyethylene spot market may still be dominated by strong shocks, with a gentle trend compared with 2021. In addition, the new high-pressure production capacity is limited, the market supply is tight, and the price may still remain high.

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Tight supply, dichloromethane prices rebounded sharply in December

In December, many domestic methane chloride plants were overhauled one after another, and the supply side changed from loose to tight, driving the price of dichloromethane higher. Raw material methanol fell sharply, limiting the rise of dichloromethane.

 

PVA 1788 (PVA BP17)

According to the monitoring of business agency, the price of dichloromethane bulk water in Shandong was 4362 yuan / ton in early December and 5972 yuan / ton at the end of the month, up 36.91% compared with the beginning of the month.

 
According to the business agency, there were many shutdown and maintenance of domestic methane chloride units in December, the overall operating load decreased, and the supply side was tight.

 

PVA

In December, the price of methanol fell sharply, and the cost was dragged by dichloromethane. According to the business agency, as of December 31, the price of methanol was 2375 yuan / ton, down 14.26% from 2770 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month.

 

Future forecast: dichloromethane analysts of business society believe that as of the end of December, the operation of methane chloride unit has rebounded slightly, coupled with weak demand and low cost; Overall, the dichloromethane market may decline slightly in the short term.

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Caustic soda prices rose slightly in December

1、 Price trend

 

PVA 1799 (PVA BF17)

According to the monitoring data of business society, the price of caustic soda rose as a whole in December. At the beginning of the month, the market price in Shandong was 842.5 yuan / ton, and at the end of the month, the average market price in Shandong was 1000 yuan / ton, with a price increase of 18.69% and a price increase of 106.19% over the same period last year. On December 30, the caustic soda commodity index was 144.96, down 1.8 points from yesterday, down 45.39% from the highest point 265.47 in the cycle (2021-10-27), and up 122.64% from the lowest point 65.11 on October 9, 2020. (Note: the period refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now)

 

2、 Market analysis

 

Caustic soda prices rose overall this month. From the beginning of the month to December 19, it operated relatively smoothly, with prices rising from December 19 to 25 and falling from December 25 to December 31. At present, liquid alkali shows a downward trend. The price of caustic soda in Shandong is weak, and the mainstream ex factory price of 32% caustic soda is 940-1020 yuan / ton. The mainstream market price in Hebei is about 900-1050 yuan / ton. Near the end of the year, the enterprise has sufficient inventory in the near future and the shipment mentality has increased, but the downstream alumina procurement sentiment is pessimistic and the intention to store goods is general.

 

PVA

According to the price monitoring of the business community, in the price rise and fall list of chlor alkali industry in the 51st week of 2021 (12.20-12.24), there were 1 kind of rising commodity, 3 kinds of falling commodities and 1 kind of rising and falling commodity. The main commodities rising were: caustic soda (13.07%); The main commodities falling were calcium carbide (- 2.40%), light soda ash (- 0.90%), PVC (- 0.36%). The average rise and fall this week was 1.88%.

 

Business analysts believe that recently, the mainstream price in Shandong market is about 940-1020 yuan / ton. Downstream enterprises have weak demand for alumina procurement, and there is no significant increase in alumina demand. Market turnover is average. It is expected that the follow-up weak market operation of caustic soda is mainly based on the downstream market demand.

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The price of chlorinated paraffin fell in December when the off-season came (12.1-12.31)

1、 Price trend

 

PVA 1788 (PVA BP17)

According to the monitoring data of business society, the price of chlorinated paraffin fell this month. On December 1, the average ex factory price of domestic chlorinated paraffin 52 was 7266 yuan / ton, and on December 31, the average ex factory price of domestic chlorinated paraffin 52 was 6375 yuan / ton. The price of chlorinated paraffin fell by 12.27% this month.

 

2、 Market analysis

 

This month, the operating rate of domestic chlorinated paraffin enterprises decreased and the unit operated normally. The price of liquid chlorine, the raw material of chlorinated paraffin, fell steadily. At present, the market situation turns weak, manufacturers generally ship goods, and most enterprises reduce prices. The start-up of chlorinated paraffin enterprises is low, and the supply is reduced. Downstream on-demand procurement, reduced trading volume and weak market trading atmosphere. As of December 31, the ex factory quotation of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Anhui was about 6300 yuan / ton, that in Northeast China was about 5600 yuan / ton, that in South China was 5600-6500 yuan / ton, that in Shandong was 5200-6000 yuan / ton, and that in East China was about 6100-6300 yuan / ton.

 

PVA

In terms of raw liquid wax, the liquid wax market is generally stable this week, with a good trading atmosphere and a balance between supply and demand. In the short term, the market will run smoothly. In terms of raw liquid chlorine, the price of liquid chlorine decreased this month, the manufacturer has more inventory, and the enterprise is under pressure to reduce the price. The cost is not enough to support chlorinated paraffin.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

According to the chlorinated paraffin analyst of business society, the demand side of chlorinated paraffin continues to weaken and the price continues to fall due to the current off-season demand for chlorinated paraffin. The price of raw liquid chlorine fell and the cost support of chlorinated paraffin weakened. Take a small amount of goods downstream and just need to purchase. It is expected that the price of chlorinated paraffin will be weak and stable in the short term. It is suggested to pay attention to the changes of raw materials and demand side.

 

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The resistance of downstream enterprises intensified, and the price of PA66 fell

Price trend

 

PVA 1788 (PVA BP17)

According to the bulk list data of business society, the domestic PA66 market fell in December, and the spot prices of various brands fell significantly. As of December 30, the average ex factory price of PA66 adhesive injection molding sample enterprises of business society was about 36500 yuan / ton, with an increase or decrease of – 5.19% compared with the average price at the beginning of the month.

 

Cause analysis

 

Industrial chain: upstream, domestic adipic acid is short both in cost and supply and demand this month, and the price of raw materials is lower. The supply is affected by the expected temperature rise of plant restart, dragging down the market price. Adiponitrile has not improved much. The loss of production capacity of large international factories and the shortage of overseas transportation capacity are still affecting the market, and the supply shortage has not improved. Due to the high dependence on imports of adiponitrile, most domestic PA66 enterprises have operated at a low production load for a long time.

 

PVA

The upstream raw material adipic acid is weakly stable, the change of adiponitrile is limited, and the cost end support of PA66 is weakened. At present, there is no change in the operating rate of the industry compared with the previous period, the tight pattern of adiponitrile remains unchanged, and the operating rate of domestic PA66 industry continues to be low. Due to the shortage of inventories in various ports, the impact of international health events, the lack of overseas systematic transportation capacity, and the long-term shortage of domestic arrival, the boost effect of the recent rise of remote upstream crude oil has also been flattened. In terms of demand, buyers follow up slowly with goods, there is great resistance to high price goods, the seller’s mentality is loose, and the offer is weak.

 

Future forecast

 

Business analysts believe that the spot price of PA66 fell in December. The shortage of adiponitrile at the raw material end did not improve, and the adipic acid market fell. PA66 enterprise has a low overall load due to lack of raw materials, and the supply side supports the spot. However, downstream users have a deep resistance to high price sources, and the trading atmosphere on the floor is poor. It is expected that PA66 may continue to operate in a weak adjustment in the near future.

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DMF prices rise and fall in 2021, breaking the 10-year history

In 2021, DMF is a year of steady and ups and downs. The price of dmf1 at the beginning of the month is 7833.33/t, which is also the lowest price of the year. As of December 29, the price of DMF is 15900 yuan / T, and the price is almost doubled. In 2021, the price of DMF continues to rise. The annual highest point is in mid and late October, and the price reaches 18700 yuan / T, breaking the historical price of nearly 10 years, DMF increased by 102.98% in the whole year, up to 8000 yuan / ton. In 2021, DMF’s effective capacity was about 900000 tons, and the overall operating rate reached 80%.

 

PVA 1799 (PVA BF17)

In the first quarter, the DMF price continued to rise, from 7833.33 yuan / ton at the beginning of January to 10616.67 yuan / ton at the end of March. The overall price increased by 35.53%, reaching 2783 yuan / ton. In January, the domestic DMF market quotation was strong, and the negotiated price increased slightly. East China and North China increased in varying degrees, with an increase of about 100 yuan / ton. The reference price in East China market was 7850-8050 yuan / ton, The reference price in North China market is 8150-8250 yuan / ton, and the overall market negotiation focus is high. In February, the focus of the domestic DMF market is weak. The market wait-and-see atmosphere in South China is dominated, and there is a downward trend in East China. The prices of some manufacturers are reduced. Near the Spring Festival, the holiday atmosphere is getting stronger, and most enterprises have entered the closing work. The DMF price fell by 2.03% in early February, The decline was 200 yuan / ton. After the holiday, DMF started the upward trend in March. The focus of the domestic DMF market was high, the supply side was tight, and the inventory was low. The factory negotiated prices continued to rise. After the festival, the demand increased, and the downstream followed up actively. At the beginning of March, DMF East China market was 10000-10150 yuan / ton, and South China market was 10300-10500 yuan / ton, In late March, the price of DMF entered the high point of the roller coaster, the price of upstream methanol rose, most enterprises adjusted the price one after another, DMF followed up passively, followed by the rise until early April.

 

In the second quarter of April, DMF began to decline gradually from the high point of the roller coaster. In April, the market trend of DMF fluctuated. In the beginning of April, the price of DMF changed from a stable small rise to a continuous large rise. The enterprise quotation once reached 12000 yuan / ton, which is difficult to alleviate the shortage of supply. In the first ten days of April, the increase reached 8.9%, and the focus of the negotiation is rising, In late April, the price of DMF began to decline. The market price of DMF was uncertain before and after May Day. Before the festival, the price of DMF fell, from 11833.33 yuan / ton at the end of April to 11000 yuan / ton at the beginning of May. In May, the price continued its weak operation, showing a downward trend. The cost side support was general, and the overall market trend was weak and volatile.

 

In the third quarter, in July, DMF prices mainly operated stably. The average price quoted by enterprises was 12450.00 yuan / ton. The DMF market price was stable. Due to the excessive increase in the early stage, July was in the stage of digestion and consolidation. Compared with the same period in June, DMF prices rose by 12.84%. The overall market was still strong. DMF prices continued to operate at a high level in August. DMF manufacturers frequently raised high prices and prices continued to rise, Compared with the same period in July, the price of DMF increased by 16.51%, up to 16.51%, and the monthly increase reached nearly 2000 yuan / ton. At the end of July, the price of DMF fell slightly, and the price stabilized. The mainstream price range was about 15100 yuan / ton. In the first ten days of September, DMF maintained an upward trend, and the stable operation in the middle of September continued to the second ten days of September. The trend of DMF fell, and the downward trend ran, down 1600 yuan / ton compared with the same period in August.

 

PVA

The fourth quarter entered October. In the first ten days of October, the DMF market went up and the price continued to rise. The mainstream price range was 18000 yuan / ton. The supply side was tight, the procurement atmosphere was active, and the overall market was strong. The upstream methanol was in a continuous and stable state, which had little impact on DMF. In the middle of October, the DMF trend was stable, medium and strong, the price recovered slightly, and the DMF price trend declined in the second ten days of October, In November, the overall trend of DMF was downward, which was 15.43% lower than that in the same period in October, with a decline of 2700 yuan / ton. In addition to the lack of demand, DMF fell sharply in November, with great upward resistance in the market. In December, the trend of DMF was strong, and it was dominant in narrow range, which continued to the end of December and ended on December 29, In December, the overall price rose by 6%, or 900 yuan / ton. Compared with the same period in November, the price rose by 7.43%. Near the Spring Festival in 2022, the DMF market recovered again.

 

Upstream methanol: in the first half of the year, the upstream methanol market operated stably as a whole, the price in Guangdong increased slightly, and the cost support of DMF was stable. In February 2021, near the Spring Festival, the upstream methanol market was weak, and the market was weak as a whole. Changzhou was 2390-2410 yuan / ton, Zhangjiagang was 2400-2410 yuan / ton. There was a strong wait-and-see atmosphere, mainly in the northeast of South China, There was a slight rise in East China, the overall trend was flat, and the DMF market was weak and fell. In the second half of the year, methanol mainly operated stably in July, just needed replenishment, and the fluctuation was limited. In August, the trend of methanol rose, and the average price of production enterprises in Shandong rose from 2577 yuan / ton to 2615 yuan / ton. The methanol market in main regions mainly rose narrowly and slightly, the crude oil market rebounded, and it was difficult for coal prices to fall, In order to alleviate the cost pressure of methanol, the price of methanol rose at a constant speed and continued to be dominated by the stable operation of methanol in October.

 

In 2021, the price of DMF has been rising all the way. Moreover, in the middle and late October, the price of 17800 yuan / ton has set a new historical record for nearly 10 years. DMF is a universal solvent in the chemical industry. It can be seen in medicine, food, electronics and other industries, which is inseparable from our life. In 2021, the effective capacity of DMF is about 900000 tons, and the overall operating rate is 80%, It is expected that the price of DMF will increase in 2022. The Spring Festival in 2022 is approaching. At present, the price of DMF is an upward trend, the supply side is in short supply, the downstream goods are actively prepared, the procurement atmosphere is acceptable, and the price is strong. It may be maintained until the middle and early ten days of January.

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The market price of salicylic acid will rise steadily in 2021

1、 Price trend

 

According to the price monitoring of business society, on December 28, the average price of salicylic acid (industrial grade) mainstream manufacturers was 16833.33 yuan / ton, an increase of 2900 yuan / ton compared with 13933.33 yuan / ton at the beginning of the year, an increase of 20.81% during the year.

 

PVA 1799 (PVA BF17)

2、 Market analysis

 

In 2021, the salicylic acid market was supported by the rise of raw materials and double control of energy consumption, and the price rose steadily. In the first quarter, due to the rising price of raw material phenol, strong demand before and after the Spring Festival, increased enthusiasm for inquiry, good trading atmosphere, full opening of salicylic acid manufacturers, no pressure on inventory, traders actively entering the market, and prices continued to rise. In the second quarter, the price of raw materials continued to rise, supported by the cost of salicylic acid, but there were many changes in the international situation, which had a certain impact on the export of salicylic acid. Due to the limited power policy in some downstream areas in China, the operating load decreased slightly, and the price of salicylic acid began to decline slightly. In the third quarter, the demand in the off-season was expected to decrease, but the raw materials continued to rise. In addition, some salicylic acid enterprises stopped for maintenance, the cost supply support was strong, and the salicylic acid market rose. In the fourth quarter, the prices of raw materials phenol and liquid alkali rose. In addition, the downstream goods preparation started at the end of the year, and the demand gradually increased. The salicylic acid enterprises shipped well and the price rose. By the end of the year, the quotation of domestic salicylic acid industrial enterprises was mostly in the range of 14900-19200 yuan / ton, the quotation of pharmaceutical grade was mostly in the range of 24000-27000 yuan / ton, and the quotation of sublimation grade was mostly in the range of 19500-23000 yuan / ton.

 

According to the monthly increase and decrease from December 1, 2020 to November 30, 2021, the salicylic acid market generally shows an upward trend in 2021. From the above figure, it can be seen that salicylic acid has increased or slightly increased in seven months and decreased or stabilized in other months. The increase and decrease in October is the largest, the highest point of the whole year is December, the average price is 16833.33 yuan / ton, and the lowest point of the whole year is January 5, The average price is 13933.33 yuan / ton, showing a steady upward trend.

 

PVA

In terms of raw materials, the domestic phenol market fluctuated upward in 2021. Towards the end of the year, the mentality of the cargo holders was better, steadily pushing up the offer, and the focus climbed significantly. On December 27, the domestic phenol market continued to rise. East China negotiated a single day rise of 100 yuan / ton, with a reference of 9600-9700 yuan / ton. With the help of the centralized increase of the factory, the offer of the cargo holder further pushed up. The downstream is still just in need of follow-up, and the actual single delivery is limited.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

According to the salicylic acid analysts of business society, the salicylic acid market will rise steadily in 2021. In 2022, under the background of gradual economic recovery and the support of high costs, the salicylic acid market is still expected.

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In 2021, the price of potassium nitrate in Shanxi fluctuated and rose

According to the data monitored by the business society, at the beginning of the year, the quotation of Shanxi industrial grade first-class potassium nitrate was 4137.50 yuan / ton, and at the end of the year, the quotation of Shanxi industrial grade first-class potassium nitrate was 5866.67 yuan / ton, an increase of 41.79%. The lowest price of the whole year is the beginning of the year, and the highest price of the whole year is December 16, with the price of 5900 yuan / ton.

 

PVA 1799 (PVA BF17)

potassium nitrate

 

In 2021, the market of potassium nitrate in Shanxi rose violently. As can be seen from the above figure, the market of potassium nitrate in the whole year had an upward trend for 8 months and only fell for 3 months. The largest increase was 14.1% in June and 3.98% in September. The rise of potassium nitrate Market is mainly due to the fact that the trading market is in a state of supply exceeding demand. In order to control the supply of goods, large traders are reluctant to sell. The overall transaction in the market is slow and the market rises sharply. After August, the tight supply of goods in the market has eased. Among them, a small number of large traders ship goods, and potassium nitrate manufacturers ship goods according to orders. The potassium nitrate market began to show a wave line, which changes with the change of market inventory, and the overall market is still volatile and higher.

 

PVA

In 2021, the market of potassium chloride showed a trend of shock and rise. Throughout 2021, the available spot in the domestic potassium chloride market is in short supply. Although the production enterprises are fully engaged in production, the operating rate is slightly low and the self-sufficiency rate is insufficient. At the same time, the delivery of international potassium fertilizer suppliers is delayed and the arrival at the port is limited. Domestic inventory has been low and the market remains high. The strong market of potassium chloride supports the cost of potassium carbonate.

 

Recently, the domestic potash fertilizer market is weak and the market demand is light. It is expected that the price of potassium nitrate will mainly fall in the short term, and the long-term market still needs to wait and see. (the above prices are provided by major potassium nitrate manufacturers all over the country and sorted and analyzed by potassium carbonate analysts of business society. They are for reference only. Please contact relevant manufacturers for more price details).

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Vitamin market demand is light (12.20 ~ 12.24)

Price trend

 

PVA 1788 (PVA BP17)

According to the bulk list data of business society, domestic vitamin C remained stable this week, and the average price of food grade vitamin C was 47.33 yuan / kg, with no rise or fall.

 

According to the monitoring of business society, the domestic vitamin C market is running smoothly. At present, the mainstream price of food grade is 46-48 yuan / kg, and that of feed grade is 42-44 yuan / kg. Most production enterprises stop reporting, the market supply is sufficient and the demand is general.

 

Upstream: the corn price is weak. It is expected that the overall corn price will continue to be weak and downward during the middle and late December, but it does not rule out the interval rebound in some markets due to the impact of weather on transportation.

 

The price of vitamin a stopped falling and stabilized this week, and the average price of feed grade vitamin A was stable at 289 yuan / kg. The mainstream price of vitamin A is 275-20 yuan / kg, and the quotation in the European market is 71-74 euros / kg. Some traders stopped reporting and implemented a single negotiation, which increased the space for price negotiation.

 

PVA

The vitamin E market operated smoothly this week, and the average price of feed grade vitamin E was stable at 89 yuan / kg. The mainstream market quotation is around 85-90 yuan / kg, and the European market quotation this week is 10.8-11.5 euros / kg. Affected by the epidemic, the supply of vitamin E has decreased, the demand has weakened, and the production and marketing are weak.

 

Future forecast

 

Vitamin analysts of the chemical branch of business society believe that: Overall, the overall market of vitamins shows a steady downward trend. In the future, pay close attention to the opening and parking status and delivery of enterprises.

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