According to the monitoring data of business society, as of September 14, the average price of organosilicon DMC market quotation in mainstream areas was 38333 yuan / ton. Compared with September 10 (organosilicon DMC reference average price of 37966 yuan / ton), the average price increased by 370 yuan / ton, an increase of 0.97%. Compared with September 1 (organosilicon DMC reference average price of 37500 yuan / ton), the average price increased by 833 yuan / ton, an increase of 2.22%.

With the rising price of raw metal silicon, the cost support of organosilicon DMC has been strengthened. At the end of last week (10th), the ex factory price of organosilicon DMC of a large monomer factory in Shandong rose to 38200 yuan / ton, and the price reference of other sporadic offer factories was 37500-38000 yuan / ton. The supply of organosilicon DMC continues to be tight, and some factories have suspended receiving orders.

At the weekend, Shandong large factory raised the ex factory price of silicone DMC again by 500 yuan / ton, and the quotation of the factory rose to 38700 yuan / ton. The shortage of goods in the field is common. On the 13th of this week, Shandong big factories did not stop rising, and continued to increase the ex factory price of silicone DMC to 39300 yuan / ton. So far, the high-end price of silicone DMC exceeded 39000 yuan / ton, with an average price of 38333 yuan / ton as reference. Most other factories did not report the closing of orders, and the closing of orders in the field and the suspension of orders showed widespread restrictions on sales.

Upstream, at the weekend, Shandong large factory raised the ex factory price of silicone DMC again by 500 yuan / ton, and the quotation of the factory rose to 38700 yuan / ton. The shortage of goods in the field is common. On the 13th of this week, Shandong big factories did not stop rising, and continued to increase the ex factory price of silicone DMC to 39300 yuan / ton. So far, the high-end price of silicone DMC exceeded 39000 yuan / ton, with an average price of 38333 yuan / ton as reference. Most other factories did not report the closing of orders, and the closing of orders in the field and the suspension of orders showed widespread restrictions on sales.

Future trend forecast of silicone DMC Market

At present, the domestic silicone DMC market is strong and operating at a high level. With the increase of cost pressure, the production operation rate is general and the spot supply is tight. The silicone DMC analysts of business society believe that in the short term, the domestic silicone DMC market will still operate at a high level. In the long term, after the high-end cost pressure is transmitted from top to bottom to the downstream of the terminal, the downstream may have to operate at a lower range, Under poor conduction, the silicone DMC market may fall from high.

According to the data of business agency, from September 6 to 133, the price of MTBE increased from 5800 yuan / ton to 6100 yuan / ton, with a price increase of 5.17% during the week, a price increase of 7.33% month on month and a year-on-year increase of 65.61%.

At the beginning of last week, the trend of international crude oil was mixed, and the market mentality fluctuated with it. The MTBE market rose steadily and slightly, with an increase of 50-150 yuan / ton. At the beginning of this week, crude oil production in the Gulf of Mexico recovered slowly after the hurricane. At present, the offshore crude oil production capacity of nearly 1.4 million barrels / day is still suspended, and the international oil price is rising. The raw material methanol market rose sharply, and the strong futures led the national long sentiment. The domestic MTBE market rose sharply again by about 100-300 yuan / ton, breaking the 6000 yuan / ton mark.

With the advent of the double festival, it is expected that the demand for gasoline will continue to increase in the near future. In addition, traders and some downstream businesses replenish in advance, it is expected that the demand for MTBE will continue to increase in the short term. In addition, the overall domestic spot supply is limited, which supports businesses to continue to push up the MTBE market.

In terms of external trading, as of the closing on September 10, the closing price of Asian MTBE market decreased by US $4.20/t compared with the previous trading day, and FOB Singapore closed at US $700-702 / T. The closing price of European MTBE market increased by US $12 / T compared with the previous trading day, and FOB ara closed at US $783.75-784.25/t. The closing price of MTBE market in the United States decreased by US $3.16/t compared with the previous trading day, and FOB Gulf FOB closed at US $762.26-762.61/t (214.72-214.82 cents / gallon).

region ., Country, closing price, up and down

Asia FOB Singapore $700-702 / ton – 4.2 USD / ton

U.S.A FOB Bay 762.26-762.61 USD / ton – USD 3.16/t

Europe FOB ARA 783.75-784.25 USD / ton USD 12 / ton

In terms of enterprises, Shi dashenghua’s MTBE quotation increased by 200 yuan / ton to 6150 yuan / ton compared with last Friday. The 400000 T / a mixed alkane dehydrogenation co production 350000 t MTBE unit of Shandong Shenchi Chemical Co., Ltd. started normally, MTBE was increased by 120 yuan / T, and the quotation was 6000 yuan / T. The MTBE quotation of Lihua Yijin Petrochemical was increased by 50 yuan / ton to 6150 yuan / ton. The 350000 T / a mixed alkane dehydrogenation unit of Dongming Qianhai chemical started normally, and the MTBE quotation was increased by 300 yuan / T to 6150 yuan / T compared with last Friday.

Jinjiu peak season is expected to continue to rise, but due to the poor overall economic situation, the uncertain trend of crude oil and the instability of the epidemic situation. Business agency MTBE analysts believe that the domestic MTBE market may rise and collate in the short term.

1、 Price trend

According to the bulk data list of business society, the average price of domestic phosphoric acid on September 10 was 8700 yuan / ton, an increase of 883 yuan compared with the price at the beginning of the week, an increase of 11.3% during the week and an increase of 80.62% compared with the same period last year.

2、 Market analysis

The phosphoric acid market continued its upward trend this week, with an increase of about 11% during the week. The market focus shifted significantly upward, and there were few low-end prices. The enterprise limited voltage load. This week, the price of yellow phosphorus continued to rise, up to about 30000. The cost support was strong, which boosted the phosphoric acid market. The enterprise quotation was mostly around 8000-9000 yuan / ton. Now the highest price is 9900 yuan / ton, and the sword finger is 10000 yuan, which is much higher than the level in the same period last year, and there is no downward trend. At present, the central environmental protection supervision team is in Sichuan. The manufacturers’ start-up is low, the shortage of goods is intensified, and the wet process phosphoric acid has almost no inventory. It is sold with production, the number of enterprises closing and stopping reports is increasing, and many early orders are mainly issued, and the wait-and-see mood is not reduced. According to the monitoring of the business community, the quotation in Jiangsu is 8900-9000 yuan / ton, that in Hebei is 9200 yuan / ton, that in Hubei is about 8000-9000 yuan / ton, that in Shandong is about 9500-9800 yuan / ton, that in Guangzhou is about 8800 yuan / ton, and that in Sichuan is 8100-9900 yuan / ton. The price of phosphoric acid in various places has increased significantly.

Phosphate rock: this week, the overall domestic phosphate rock market performance was high and stable, the supply of phosphate rock in mines was still tight, and some mining enterprises in Guizhou were in short supply, so they did not receive new orders and suspended external quotation. Under the high price, the overall trading atmosphere of phosphate rock market was OK. At present, under the high price of phosphate rock market, the downstream demand could be supported. Therefore, Phosphorus ore analysts of business society believe that in the short term, most of China’s phosphorus ore market will be consolidated and operated stably for the time being.

Yellow phosphorus, the price of yellow phosphorus continued to rise this week, the voltage load of enterprises was limited, and the production capacity was lower than that of last week. Yellow phosphorus manufacturers mainly issued early orders, the spot supply was tight, and some manufacturers temporarily stopped making external quotations. Up to now, Yunnan yellow phosphorus has been reported at about 35000 yuan / ton; The mainstream quotation in Sichuan is about 33000-35000 yuan / ton; The mainstream quotation in Guizhou is about 32000-35000 yuan / ton. Yellow phosphorus mainly issued early orders this week, with limited new orders, sporadic replenishment in the downstream, and acceptable acceptance of high priced yellow phosphorus pesticide enterprises.

3、 Future forecast

Phosphoric acid analysts of the chemical branch of business society believe that at present, the price of raw materials continues to be high, the phosphoric acid market is actively following the rise, the enterprise starts at a low level under cost pressure, the tight supply on the site is intensified, and the price of phosphoric acid has risen to a high level. It is expected that there will be an increase in the expectation in the short term, and it is necessary to pay careful attention to the price trend of raw materials.

Recent price trend of calcium carbide

As can be seen from the above figure, the factory price of calcium carbide in Northwest China fell this week. This week, the average ex factory quotation of mainstream calcium carbide manufacturers in Northwest China decreased from 5450.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 5400.00 yuan / ton at the end of the week, down 50 yuan / ton, down 0.92%, up 96.47% year-on-year compared with the same period last year. Overall, the calcium carbide market fell this week, and the calcium carbide commodity index was 141.48 on September 3.

The environmental protection inspection is completed, and the supply of calcium carbide increases

From the manufacturer’s quotation, the ex factory price of calcium carbide in Northwest China fell this week: oviganone quoted 5450 yuan / ton of calcium carbide this weekend, which was temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week; Inner Mongolia Zoomlion’s quotation for calcium carbide this weekend is 5400 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week; Ningxia Xingping calcium carbide quoted 5350 yuan / ton this weekend, down 150 yuan / ton compared with the beginning of the week.

From the upstream and downstream industrial chain of calcium carbide, the ex factory quotation of blue carbon continued to rise in the upstream raw material market this week. The quotation of Shenmu small materials this weekend is 1730 yuan / ton, which is 80 yuan / ton higher than that at the beginning of the week; The quotation of Sinoma this weekend is 1730 yuan / ton, which is 80 yuan / ton higher than that at the beginning of the week; The quotation of bulk materials this weekend is 1780 yuan / ton, which is 100 yuan / ton higher than that at the beginning of the week. The price of upstream raw materials continued to rise and the cost support was good, which had a positive impact on the price of calcium carbide.

In the downstream market, the ex factory price of PVC rose slightly this week. The quotation of PVC this week increased from 9325.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 9400.00 yuan / ton at the end of the week, an increase of 0.80%, an increase of 43.02% over the same period last year. The PVC price rose slightly this week, the market situation was good, the PVC maintenance was completed, and the downstream had a good enthusiasm for calcium carbide procurement. On the whole, the PVC market this week had a positive impact on the price of calcium carbide.

Calcium carbide production increased, supply exceeded demand, and fell slightly in the future

In mid and early September, the calcium carbide market fluctuated slightly and mainly fell. The price of raw material blue carbon continues to rise, and the cost of calcium carbide is well supported. The downstream PVC market is rising and the demand is good. The environmental protection inspection in Inner Mongolia was completed, and the output of calcium carbide increased. It is predicted that the price of calcium carbide in Northwest China may fluctuate slightly in the middle and early September.

This week, the lead market (8.27-9.3) fluctuated and fell. The average price of the domestic market was 15358.33 yuan / ton last weekend and 14933.33 yuan / ton this weekend, down 2.77% this week.

On September 4, the lead commodity index was 90.88, the same as yesterday, down 32.18% from the highest point of 134.01 in the cycle (November 29, 2016), and up 21.77% from the lowest point of 74.63 on March 19, 2015（ Note: the period refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now).

This week, the Shanghai lead 2110 contract hit a low of 14865 yuan / ton in recent five months, with four consecutive negative days. At the weekend, the market rebounded slightly due to the correction of the US index. There is still a large difference in inventory at home and abroad. As of September 3, there were 52550 tons in LME lead warehouse, which broke the low of 52250 tons in recent 13 years in the week. The domestic inventory in the previous period rose to 195435 tons, continuing to hit a new high.

Under the shock of the spot market this week, the main bank rose slightly on Friday, and the social inventory of lead ingots still rose as a whole. The operating rate of the smelter is temporarily stable. At present, it is still dominated by long order customers. The inventory in the plant is normal and the performance of individual orders is poor. The downstream peak season is still expected, and the performance has not improved significantly this week. At present, the consumption of lead-acid battery market is stable, and the lead ingot is mainly purchased on demand.

According to the price monitoring of the business community, in the list of commodity prices rising and falling in the 35th week of 2021 (8.30-9.3), there are 7 kinds of commodities rising month on month in the non-ferrous sector, including 2 kinds of commodities rising by more than 5%, accounting for 9.1% of the monitored commodities in the sector; The top three commodities were silicon (11.11%), magnesium (9.88%) and titanium concentrate (2.11%). A total of 10 commodities fell month on month, and the top three products were praseodymium neodymium alloy (- 1.99%), lead (- 1.97%) and praseodymium neodymium oxide (- 1.07%). The average rise and fall this week was 0.83%. The nonferrous metal market fell more or rose less this week.

At present, most downstream purchases are based on demand. Under the environment of no improvement in downstream consumption and high social inventory of lead ingots, it is expected that the price of lead ingots will still fluctuate.

Trade name: urea

Latest price (September 6): 2493.33 yuan / ton

On September 6, the ex factory quotation of urea in Shandong increased by 6.66 yuan / ton, or 0.27%, compared with the quotation on September 3, and 45.53% compared with the same period last year. The prices of upstream coal and liquefied natural gas have increased slightly recently, with strong cost support. From the perspective of demand: the demand increases, the agricultural demand begins to prepare fertilizer, the industrial demand rises, the demand for urea in the downstream compound fertilizer and rubber plate plants increases, and the operating load rate of melamine enterprises remains at a high level. Most of them follow up with the acquisition and use of an appropriate amount. In terms of supply, urea has entered the centralized maintenance period. There are maintenance plans in Shandong, Shanxi, Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia, and the daily output of urea has declined. On the whole, the urea cost support is strengthened, the downstream demand is increased, the urea supply is reduced, and the supply is in short supply.

In the future, the ex factory price of urea in Shandong is expected to rise slightly: the average price quoted by the manufacturer is about 2550 yuan / ton.

1、 Price trend

2、 Market analysis

According to the data of business agency, the domestic potassium sulfate market continued to be weak in early September, and the spot price was mostly reduced. As of September 3, the average price of 50 particle samples of domestic potassium sulfate was 4200 yuan / ton, a decrease of 2.33% compared with the average price at the beginning of the week and an increase of 57.01% year-on-year.

The long-term rising market in the early stage led to the high price of potassium sulfate. The rising trend of the potassium fertilizer market has weakened in recent two months and gradually turned into a weak market. At the end of last month, the mentality of operators was unstable, and the spot of potassium sulfate was under pressure. In terms of industry load, the market pressure is diverted by reducing the operating rate. The operating rate of processing potassium sulfate plant continues to decline and is currently stable at less than 50%. In terms of potassium chloride, the overall market is deadlocked and volatile. In the short-term market, under the influence of supply and demand and raw materials, the potassium chloride market is dominated by high-level consolidation. The upstream support is general, and the profitability of potassium sulfate enterprises is poor at present. In terms of terminal demand, it remained low, the market momentum was poor, businesses gave up profits and sold at a low price. At present, the ex factory reference price of 52% potassium sulfate powder of Shijiazhuang hehe Chemical Co., Ltd. is reported as 4300 yuan / ton. The ex factory reference price of 52% potassium sulfate powder of tripartite chemical group is 4100 yuan / ton.

3、 Future forecast

The potassium sulfate analyst of business agency believes that the domestic potassium fertilizer market continued to weaken in early September, and the market of raw potassium chloride is general. The cost support of domestic potassium sulfate is poor, and the low load of enterprises buffers the market pressure. There is a serious lack of follow-up by end users, most of them have a bearish mentality in the future, and the weak phenomenon of supply and demand in the industry is obvious. It is expected that the price of domestic potassium sulfate may continue to be adjusted weakly in the near future.

In August, the market of nitrile rubber continued to rise. According to the monitoring of business society, the price of nitrile rubber was 22200 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month and 23400 yuan / ton at the end of the month. At the end of the month, it increased by 5.41% compared with the beginning of the month.

The supply side of domestic nitrile rubber is basically stable, the enterprise inventory is small, the ex factory price of nitrile increases, and the demand side just needs support. It is understood that the ex factory price of domestic Lanhua nitrile increased significantly in August. As of August 31, Lanzhou Petrochemical n41e reported 21000 yuan / ton, 3305e reported 22100 yuan / ton and 3308e reported 23200 yuan / ton. Traders’ offers rose.

In August, the price of raw butadiene fell, the price of acrylonitrile fluctuated in a narrow range, and the cost side was slightly empty. According to the monitoring of business society, as of August 31, the price of butadiene was 10565 yuan / ton, down 6.6% from 11312 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month; Acrylonitrile in East China port was quoted around 14600 ~ 15000 yuan / ton in August.

Future forecast: NBR analysts of business society believe that the golden nine silver ten is coming, and the NBR enterprise itself has little inventory pressure. It is expected that the price of NBR may rise again in the later stage.

1、 Price trend

According to the monitoring data of business agency, the average ex factory price of domestic ammonium sulfate was 1175 yuan / ton on August 1 and 1117 yuan / ton on August 31. The price of ammonium sulfate fell by 4.89% this month.

On August 31, the ammonium sulfate commodity index was 93.51, down 2.1 points from yesterday, down 12.02% from the highest point of 106.28 points in the cycle (2012-05-24), and up 155.14% from the lowest point of 36.65 points on June 23, 2014（ Note: the period refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now).

2、 Market analysis

The ammonium sulfate Market was stable in the first ten days of this month. The demand for coking grade ammonium sulfate weakens and the market price weakens. The demand for hexyl ammonium sulfate is acceptable, and it just needs to be purchased in the downstream. The price of ammonium sulfate began to fall in late this month. The coking grade market was poor, and the enterprise reduced the price slightly. The supply and demand of Hexian ammonium sulfate is balanced, and the downstream is purchased on demand, and the market is generally stable. For coking grade ammonium sulfate this month, the mainstream factory quotation of ammonium sulfate in Shandong is 1050-1150 yuan / ton, that in Hebei is 1050-1150 yuan / ton, that in Shanxi is 950-1050 yuan, and that in East China is 1100-1200 yuan / ton.

At the beginning of this month, the market of downstream compound fertilizer changed little. At the end of this month, the price of compound fertilizer fell steadily due to the weak raw material market and weak cost support. As the price of urea fell this month, the negative situation appeared, and the market of compound fertilizer was affected. At present, the downstream of the compound fertilizer market mostly takes a wait-and-see attitude.

3、 Future forecast

Ammonium sulfate analysts of business society believe that due to the current off-season sales of ammonium sulfate, the market demand is weak and the range is adjusted in a narrow range. The downstream mainly purchases on demand, with obvious wait-and-see attitude and reduced supply. It is expected that the price of ammonium sulfate in next month will be dominated by consolidation and operation, and it is recommended to pay attention to the change of terminal demand.