Price Trend

According to the monitoring data of business associations, the market price of diammonium phosphate has been running steadily this week. At the beginning of the week, 64% of diammonium phosphate in China was exported at an average price of 2500 yuan/ton, and at the end of the week, the average price of diammonium phosphate was 2500 yuan/ton, which was stable compared with last week.

II. Market Analysis

Product: This week, the domestic market price of diammonium phosphate has maintained stable operation. At present, 64% of diammonium in Hubei is quoted at 2400-2600 yuan/ton, 64% of diammonium in Shandong is quoted at 2400-2500 yuan/ton, and 64% of diammonium in Yunnan is quoted at 2700 yuan/ton.

Industry chain: In terms of raw materials, the domestic phosphate ore market maintains stable operation, and some areas fluctuate slightly. Phosphoric acid enterprises start stable, spot supply is tight, raw material inventory is urgent, the supply is difficult to find, the high offer of the holder. Domestic liquid ammonia market rose slightly, with prices rising to varying degrees in East China, North China and Northwest China.

3. Future Market Forecast

According to analysts of business association diammonium phosphate, the demand is low in the off-season of diammonium phosphate. Exports have been reduced by international pressure. From the point of view of supply, the price of raw materials has increased steadily. It is expected that the price of diammonium will remain weak and stable in the later period.

Trade Name: Phenol

East China Market (July 11): 7600 yuan/ton

Main points of analysis: The domestic phenol Market is further promoted or maintained stable. Holders in East China Phenol Market continued to report high in the morning, intermediary inquiries tended to be cautious, downstream terminal market sentiment did not drive, trading atmosphere remained general. Business associations expect that the domestic phenol market will continue to be competitive today, and the market price of phenol in East China will refer to 7,500-7,600 yuan/ton.

On July 8, the fluorite commodity index was 109.21, unchanged from yesterday, down 14.34% from the peak of 127.49 points in the cycle (2019-01-03), and up 121.93% from the low of 49.21 points on December 18, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

According to statistics, the domestic fluorite price trend is temporarily stable, with the average domestic fluorite price of 312.5 yuan/ton as of the 9th day. Recently, the domestic fluorite plant started normally, the mine and flotation plant in the field started normally, the supply of fluorite in the field is slightly tight, and the price of hydrofluoric acid in the downstream is rising. For the fluorite market, the price trend of fluorite market is on demand. Rise. Recent downstream installation start-up situation is general, fluorite spot supply is normal, terminal downstream pick-up situation improved, resulting in rising market price trend. As of September 9, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Inner Mongolia was 2900-3100 yuan/ton, the mainstream of 97 fluorite wet powder negotiations in Fujian was 3000-3300 yuan/ton, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Henan was 2900-3200 yuan/ton, and the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Jiangxi was 3000-3300 yuan/ton. The price trend of fluorite remained high.

The price trend of hydrofluoric acid Market in downstream fluorite is rising. The domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid is 12080 yuan/ton as of the 9th day. The price fluctuation of hydrofluoric acid market has a positive impact on the upstream fluorite market. However, the recent start-up of hydrofluoric acid plant is general, the demand for fluorite is weakened, and the price fluctuation of fluorite is running. Recent downstream refrigerant product installations started at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid product price trend is stable. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions are cool, R22 refrigerant facility starts at 60%, R22 market facility start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main manufacturer of bulk water out of the factory offer price is between 18,000-19,000 yuan/ton, but the manufacturer does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipped. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery quotation is general. Domestic market price trend of R134a shocks, production enterprises equipment start-up rate remains low, refrigerant market demand is general, manufacturers mainly export. But the on-site transaction price does not change much. Businessmen buy on demand. Generally speaking, the downstream industry is in a general market. In addition, the fluorite market supply is normal and the price of fluorite is rising. Chen Ling, an analyst of business associations, believes that the price of fluorite market may remain volatile.

Price Trend

Market Analysis of Potassium Carbonate Products

(Photo Source: Business Association Commodity Analysis System)

According to the data monitored by business associations, the price of potassium carbonate has been running weakly this week. The overall price has not changed much, falling by about 50 yuan/ton, or 0.38%. As of July 5, the average tax-bearing price of domestic light potassium carbonate mainstream manufacturers was 6,600 yuan/ton, and the market has declined.

II. Analysis of Influencing Factors

Products: This week, the market of potassium carbonate is not warm, the trading atmosphere is cold, while downstream purchasing is just in demand, resulting in the weak price of potassium nitrate. During the overhaul period of the plant, the start-up rate is at a low level, the purchasing market momentum at a low inventory level is general, and the weak quotation operation is the main factor. According to the statistics of business associations: on July 5, the quotation range of domestic industrial potassium carbonate mainstream factory is about 6450-6700 yuan/ton (quotation only for reference). The quotation varies according to the purchasing situation.

3. Future Market Forecast

Potassium carbonate analysts believe that in the short term, the price of potassium carbonate is dominated by weak consolidation, while in the long run, the market still needs to wait and see, mainly affected by demand-side dominance.

On July 4, the ammonium nitrate commodity index was 103.51, which was the same as yesterday. It was 12.59% lower than the peak of 118.42 points in the cycle (2019-01-15), and 33.79% higher than the low of 77.37 points on October 31, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2013-02-01 to date).

Recently, domestic ammonium nitrate market price trend is temporarily stable. Affected by environmental protection control, domestic ammonium nitrate plant shuts down more, domestic ammonium nitrate plant starts less, but recently with the warming of the weather, the influence of northern air limitation disappears. In addition, due to the complete shutdown of domestic downstream civil explosion industry, domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers have more stockpiles. Domestic prices are declining. As of the 5th day, the domestic ammonium nitrate market price negotiation was between 1900 and 2050 yuan/ton. Affected by environmental protection, manufacturers in many areas are now forced to limit production or stop production for maintenance and accept environmental protection inspection. The price trend of ammonium nitrate in the field is temporarily stable.

Recent domestic nitric acid price fluctuation, as of the 5th day, the market price is 1793.33 yuan/ton. The fluctuation of nitric acid price has a negative impact on the ammonium nitrate market, and the price trend of ammonium nitrate is stable. The domestic liquid ammonia Market in the upstream is stable, the market performance is weak, the market turnover is still acceptable, and the quotations of most manufacturers are stable. The price quotation of manufacturers in the northern region is maintained in the range of 2850-3600 yuan/ton. The price quotation in the northwest region is around 2750-2900 yuan/ton. The inventory pressure of manufacturers is not high. Normal shipment, rational purchasing of downstream manufacturers and declining price of raw materials in the upstream have a negative impact on the ammonium nitrate market. The price trend of ammonium nitrate Market is temporarily stable. At the end of the peak season of the downstream civil explosion industry recently, the demand for ammonium nitrate has weakened and the stocks of ammonium nitrate manufacturers have increased, but the liquid ammonia market is on the rise again. The ammonium nitrate Market is shaking at a low level because of the bad market. Ammonium nitrate analysts believe that the recent upstream raw material market price shocks, but the downstream demand is not good, ammonium nitrate market prices are expected to maintain shocks in the later period.

On July 3, the hydrofluoric acid commodity index was 109.26, unchanged from yesterday, down 22.20% from the peak of 140.43 points in the cycle (2018-02-21), and up 103.88% from the low of 53.59 points on November 30, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

According to statistics, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid rose slightly on July 4. Up to now, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid is 12070 yuan/ton. The domestic start-up rate of hydrofluoric acid is less than 60%. Enterprises reflect the shortage of spot supply of hydrofluoric acid in the field at present. Recently, the situation of goods in the field has improved. Because of the high raw material fluorite, some hydrofluoric acid plants The market price of hydrofluoric acid has risen with the increase of the ex-factory price. At present, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiations in the southern region is about 11500-12500 yuan/ton, while the price of hydrofluoric acid in the northern market is about 12000-12500 yuan/ton. Domestic hydrofluoric acid market prices increased, spot supply decreased slightly, but demand did not change very much, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid Market rose.

Recent downstream refrigerant products start at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid product price shocks. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions have improved, R22 refrigerant plant surface started at 60%, R22 market device start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main production enterprise bulk water factory offer price is between 18,000-19,000 yuan/ton, but the production enterprise does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipment. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery market has increased. The domestic market price trend of R134a is not good, the start-up rate of production enterprises remains low, the refrigerant market demand is general, and the manufacturers mainly export their products. However, the on-site transaction price has not changed much. Businessmen purchase on demand. Recently, due to the shortage of supply, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market has risen.

Refrigerant market turnover is general, refrigerant industry equipment start-up rate remains low, for upstream hydrofluoric acid market demand is normal, but the hydrofluoric acid spot supply is tight, Business Analyst Chen Ling believes that the hydrofluoric acid market may continue to rise slightly.

I. Lithium hydroxide price trend:

According to the data from the business associations’list, the average price of lithium hydroxide is 83500 yuan per ton as of July 1. The market of lithium hydroxide is mainly stable, while the quotation of industrial lithium hydroxide in some areas has been slightly reduced. At present, the mainstream quotation of domestic industrial lithium hydroxide is around 80000-88000 yuan/ton, down 0.99% compared with last Monday (June 24).

II. Market analysis:

Product: Lithium hydroxide market price slightly reduced. At present, Shanghai Yulun industrial grade lithium hydroxide is quoted at 88000 yuan/ton, Zigong Tongfarong industrial grade lithium hydroxide is quoted at 80000 yuan/ton, and Shanghai Oujin industrial grade lithium hydroxide is quoted at 82500 yuan/ton. The specific price is one-sided.

Industry chain: the upstream lithium carbonate market demand is weak, lack of obvious good support, low-end negotiation focus, strong willingness to ship factories, market prices in some areas slightly fell, downstream users just need to purchase.

3. Future market forecast:

According to business associations, the domestic industrial lithium hydroxide Market in the short term will be mainly stable.

On June 30, the ammonium nitrate commodity index was 103.51, which was the same as yesterday. It was 12.59% lower than the peak of 118.42 points in the cycle (2019-01-15), and 33.79% higher than the low of 77.37 points on October 31, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2013-02-01 to date).

Recently, the price trend of domestic ammonium nitrate Market is temporarily stable. Affected by environmental protection control, domestic ammonium nitrate plant shuts down more, domestic ammonium nitrate plant starts less, but with the warming of the weather recently, the influence of northern air limitation disappears. In addition, due to the complete shutdown of domestic downstream civil explosion industry, domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers have more stockpiles, and the price trend in the field declines. As of the 1st day, the domestic ammonium nitrate market price negotiations in 1900-2050 yuan/ton, affected by environmental protection, so now many manufacturers in many areas are forced to limit production or stop production and maintenance for environmental protection inspection, the price trend of ammonium nitrate on the site is temporarily stable.

Recently, the domestic nitric acid price trend is temporarily stable, the market price is 1800 yuan/ton on the 1st day. The rising trend of nitric acid price has a positive impact on the ammonium nitrate market, and the price trend of ammonium nitrate is stable. The price trend of upstream raw material liquid ammonia has slightly declined. As of the 1st day, the price quoted by manufacturers in the northern region has maintained in the range of 3000-3400 yuan/ton, while the price quoted in the northwest region is above and below 290-3000 yuan/ton The decline of raw material price has a negative impact on ammonium nitrate market, and the price trend of ammonium nitrate Market is temporarily stable. At the end of the peak season of the downstream civil explosion industry recently, the demand for ammonium nitrate has weakened and the stocks of ammonium nitrate manufacturers have increased, but the liquid ammonia market is on the rise again. The ammonium nitrate Market is shaking at a low level because of the bad market. Ammonium nitrate analysts believe that the recent upstream raw material market price shocks, but the downstream demand is not good, ammonium nitrate market prices are expected to maintain shocks in the later period.

Price trends:

II. Market analysis:

Domestic market: Since mid-June, the external market of pure benzene has continued to rise, especially in the United States, which has greatly boosted the market mentality. This week, the price of pure benzene has risen 50-200 yuan for three consecutive days, with a weekly increase of 6.5%. Downstream hydrobenzene enterprises followed the rise, and the ex-factory price generally increased by 100 to 200 yuan. On the supply side, Shandong Province has a relatively large capacity limit this week. The coke enterprises in Hebei and some parts of Shanxi Province have a 30-50% production limit. The output has declined, and the tender sentiment is strong. As of Friday, the quotation range of crude benzol for processing in Shanxi Province is 3400-3450 yuan/ton, up by 150 yuan/ton; and the quotation range of crude benzol for processing in Shandong Province is 3650-3700 yuan./ About 200 yuan per ton.

Industry Chain: Crude Oil: This week’s oil price shocks rose, compared with last week’s overall rise. US crude oil was close to $60 per barrel due to the sharp decline in US crude oil stocks and the negative impact of the decline in refined oil stocks. Pure benzene: Domestic pure benzene prices continued to rise this week. At the beginning of the week, the price of pure benzene rose 50-200 yuan for three consecutive days, sustained by the good downstream styrene market last week and the decline of pure benzene port stocks. Beginning on Thursday, as most contracts have been completed, the market is not hot to catch up with, the wait-and-see atmosphere is strong, and the pure benzene market recovers flat.

3. Trend forecast:

In recent years, the operating rate of hydrobenzene enterprises has been relatively stable, some units have been started one after another, but the demand for crude benzene has not been substantially increased. The pressure of crude benzene is relatively high, the future market of hydrobenzene is limited, and high consolidation is dominant.