Price Trend

Recently, the domestic butadiene market atmosphere is rather empty. As of April 23, the price of butadiene was 7895 yuan/ton, according to the monitoring of business associations.

II. Analysis of Influencing Factors

Products: Domestic butadiene market atmosphere is empty, Fushun petrochemical plant is restarted, supply resumes export, Liaotong chemical industry normal export, Northeast supply increases but transaction is not smooth, plus East China spot abundant, downstream wait-and-see and other downstream expectations, market focus downward. The delivery price in Shandong is 7750-7850 yuan/ton, and that in East China is around 7800-7900 yuan/ton. The main thing is to negotiate with each other.

Industry chain: downstream synthetic rubber, Qilu Styrene Butadiene Rubber 1502 price at 11 400 yuan/ton, Qilu Shun Butadiene Rubber market price at 11 500 yuan/ton, synthetic rubber market maintained finishing, but poor turnover, the overall trend of rubber industry chain is difficult to support the market of butadiene.

3. Future Market Forecast

Northeast plant restart, North spot supply increment, plus East China abundant supply, the domestic butadiene market supply side continues to bear pressure; Northeast supply transaction blockage led to downstream price expectations for the later period, wait-and-see, etc. mainly, market supply and demand weakness dragged down, business community butadiene analysts predict that the short-term domestic butadiene market continues to decline trend, it is recommended that attention be paid to the completion of the downward trend. Hand in the guidelines.

Price Trend

According to the data from the business associations’list, the price of domestic dry-process aluminium fluoride Market declined this week, with an average market price of 9,500 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week and 10,166 yuan/ton at the end of the week, which was 6.56% lower than that of last week.

II. Market Analysis

Aluminum fluoride prices remained stable this week: at present, the price of aluminium fluoride in Henan is 9200-9500 yuan/ton, while that in Shandong is about 9200-9500 yuan/ton. Zhengzhou Zerun Energy and Chemical Co., Ltd. quoted 8500 yuan per ton for aluminium fluoride, Shandong Luzeng Chemical Co., Ltd. for aluminium fluoride to 11500 yuan per ton, and Henan Zhongse Dongfang Shaoxing Industrial Co., Ltd. for aluminium fluoride to 9500 yuan per ton.

Industry chain: This week, the price of hydrofluoric acid rose slightly. Enterprises reported that the spot supply of hydrofluoric acid in the market has decreased, and the situation of on-site goods has improved recently. The start-up rate of hydrofluoric acid plants in some enterprises has declined, and the ex-factory price has risen slightly. However, the aluminium fluoride enterprises have not raised the ex-factory price, and still maintained a downward trend.

3. Future Market Forecast

Aluminum fluoride industry analysts from the business society chemical branch believe that the price of hydrofluoric acid, the upstream raw material, has risen steadily and moderately. Aluminum fluoride prices are also expected to rebound from the bottom next week.

Market Overview

According to the monitoring data of business associations, the price of dichloromethane in Shandong has fallen sharply in recent years. In early April, the average price of dichloromethane in Shandong Province was 3280 yuan/ton. As of April 19, the average price of dichloromethane was 2880 yuan/ton. The price of dichloromethane has been lowered by 400 yuan/ton, a drop of 12.2%.

quotations analysis

Products: After entering April, due to the continuing weak demand of downstream refrigerant market, the delivery situation of dichloromethane production enterprises in Shandong area is not good, resulting in a continuous decline in dichloromethane quotation, and the overall supply exceeds demand in the industry. At present, the quotation in Shandong is around 2880 yuan/ton, 3100-3450 yuan/ton in Jiangsu and 3350 yuan/ton in Jiangxi. In terms of start-up, at present, Jinling Chemical Plant is in full-load operation; Dongying Jinmao Full-load operation; Luxi Chemical Plant is in full-load operation; Jiangsu Science and Culture Plant is in normal operation; Jiangxi Science and Culture Plant is in normal operation, etc.

Industry chain: Upstream, the natural gas market as a whole continues to weaken, prices have been reduced to a low level, the intentions of enterprises to bid strongly, but the downstream demand is not obvious good, the overall supply of the market is sufficient, short-term domestic LNG market is still operating at a low level, currently about 3,570 yuan/ton; liquid chlorine market is high and volatile, but the overall downstream demand is limited, and enterprises are now reporting more than 500 yuan/ton. About. Domestic R410a market shocks and adjustments, the start-up rate of enterprises is low, the market demand of refrigerants downstream is weakened, mostly export orders.

Forecast for future market

Analysts of business association trichloromethane believe that the downstream market demand of domestic dichloromethane is weak, while the overall start-up of dichloromethane production enterprises is high, the spot supply is abundant and the stock is high, and the dichloromethane market is expected to remain weak in the near future.

Price Trend

According to the monitoring data of business associations, as of April 16, many manufacturers suspended their quotations and the domestic market for cyclohexanone was temporarily stable.

II. Market Analysis

Products: Cyclohexanone market is stable for the time being. Most of the manufacturers have few spot products. In addition, due to the early week, they do not offer much for the time being. The inquiries in the downstream chemical fiber market are still acceptable. Some manufacturers have good orders for chemical fibers. Solvent market just needs to be purchased. Low-price goods are scarce, and the overall market delivery atmosphere is good. The mainstream offer of cyclohexanone in North China market is delivered in cash at 10300-10500, the mainstream offer in East China market is delivered in cash at 10600-10800, and the mainstream offer in South China market is delivered in cash at 10900-11100.

Industry Chain: Pure Benzene: Eastern China Pure Benzene Shocks slightly due to the high pressure of shipment in the port reservoir area. In the morning, some spot sales in eastern China fell to 4350-4400 yuan/ton; in the afternoon, although spot offers were stable, there were sporadic low offers of 4200 yuan/ton; in the afternoon, prices in eastern China continued to be weak, and the market lacked obvious positive stimulus. Shandong Geotechnical Refining Center of gravity in 4200-4300 yuan/ton, the market is difficult to find low prices, but downstream just need to take goods, factory shipments are general. Caprolactam: The liquids spot market of caprolactam maintained a strong trend. Polymerization factories just needed to purchase. The demand atmosphere in the field was stable. In addition, the supply in the later period was still expected to decrease. The atmosphere in the field was still acceptable. The spot price of caprolactam liquids is around 14300 yuan/ton, which is accepted and delivered to the factory in the north. The spot price of caprolactam liquids is 1360 yuan/ton and it is remitted to the factory in the north. The solid market continues to be stable. The price refers to 14800-15000 yuan/ton remittance. Some low-end prices are below 14500 yuan/ton.

3. Future Market Forecast

Cost support is weak, manufacturers are not many spot, downstream chemical fiber market demand is still acceptable. Cyclohexanone analysts at business associations expect a strong short-term market for cyclohexanone.

Price trends:

According to statistics, this week’s domestic ex-factory price of p-xylene is stable, with an average weekend price of 8,400 yuan/ton, a temporary stabilization over the price of 8,400 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week, an increase of 12% over the same period last year.

2. Market analysis:

Products: This week, the domestic market price trend of p-xylene is temporarily stable, the domestic PX start-up rate maintains more than 70%, Huizhou refining and chemical plant stops, Fuhai start-up plant starts a line, Pengzhou petrochemical plant runs steadily, Yangtze petrochemical PX plant runs normally, Jinling petrochemical plant runs smoothly, Qingdao Lidong plant runs steadily at full load, Qilu petrochemical plant runs steadily, Urumqi petrochemical plant runs steadily. Starting at about 50%, Hengli Petrochemical Plant operates normally, domestic p-xylene supply is normal, recent international crude oil price shocks, domestic p-xylene market price trend is temporarily stable. The opening rate of p-xylene plant in Asia is more than 70% this week. The supply of PX in Asia is normal. The price of PX external market fluctuates this week. The closing price of this week is 1046-1048 US dollars/ton FOB Korea and 1065-1067 US dollars/ton CFR China. More than 50% of domestic products need to be imported. The closing price of PX external market remains fluctuant, and the price trend of domestic PX market is stable temporarily.

Industry Chain: Domestic crude oil prices have not changed much this week. As of November 11, the price of WTI crude oil futures market in May was $63.58 per barrel, Brent crude oil futures market in June was $70.83 per barrel, crude oil closing price shocks, which has a supporting effect on the cost of downstream petrochemical products. The price trend of PX Market is temporarily stable. This week, the downstream PTA market price trend slightly declined. As of the end of the week, the East China PTA market talks were around 6700-6800 yuan. This week, PTA prices fell. The upstream raw material PX market price trend was stable. This week, PTA plant start-up rate maintained about 80%, while downstream polyester plant start-up rate was about 90%, textile start-up rate in Jiangsu and Zhejiang increased to about 83%, downstream PTA and polyester products start-up rate increased to about 83%. Up, PTA price decline has a negative effect on the market price of p-xylene, and the market price trend of p-xylene is temporarily stable.

Industry: This week, the textile industry has been in a turbulent situation. The start-up rate of the textile industry has increased, the price of crude oil has risen slightly, and the market of raw material PX is stable.

3. Future market forecast:

Chen Ling, an analyst with business association PX, believes that crude oil prices have risen slightly in the near future, but PTA market prices have slightly declined, downstream textile industry start-up rate has not changed much, domestic p-xylene market supply is normal, and PX market prices are expected to remain volatile next week.

Price Trend

According to the data monitored by business associations (average price of SG5 manufactured by calcium carbide method), domestic PVC quoted 6300 yuan/ton on March 1, domestic PVC quoted 6445 yuan/ton on March 29, with a small price fluctuation ranging from 100 to 300 yuan/ton. This month, the fluctuation of PVC market is mainly upward.

II. Cause Analysis

Products: In early March, the weather warmed up, downstream infrastructure demand gradually recovered, and the spot market atmosphere of PVC was running smoothly. At the same time, the start-up rate of PVC manufacturers was about 60%, the supply was sufficient, and the overall market was relatively stable. In late March, the supply of goods in East China and North China was tight, the supply contracted and the demand was still acceptable, which led to a slight increase in the quotation of manufacturers. At the same time, PVC futures rose in late March, pushing up spot market prices, increasing 100-300 yuan/ton as a whole, and the mainstream domestic PVC quotation range was 6250-6650 yuan/ton as of March 29.

Raw material: The price of raw material calcium carbide in the upstream rose sharply this month, with an overall increase of 13.59%. Influenced by the support of raw materials, the price of PVC in the downstream rose by 2.30%. The demand in the downstream terminal increased, which led to the overall recovery of the market in the industrial chain and expected to be better.

Industry: On March 28, the rubber and plastic index was 733 points, unchanged from yesterday, down 30.85% from the peak of 1060 points in the cycle (2012-03-14), up 27.26% from the lowest point of 576 points on December 21, 2015. (Note: Cycle refers to 2011-12-01 to date) This month, commodity market consolidation is dominant, the overall trend of rubber and plastic industry is slightly shocked.

3. Future Market Forecast

The PVC market in March was in a recovery period and the market price was on the rise. It is expected that the demand side of infrastructure and real estate industry will gradually increase in the future, the overall stock of the market will be at a low level, the second quarter is expected to be good, and the future market is expected to oscillate upward, but the price rise will restrain the actual volume of demand side, downstream purchasing will be dominated by just demand, and supply-demand game dominates price trend. It is expected that the mainstream price of PVC 5 will be 6250-6800 yuan/ton.

Price Trend

The domestic butadiene market has been rising recently. As of March 26, the price of butadiene was 8,540 yuan per ton, according to business association monitoring.

II. Analysis of Influencing Factors

Products: The domestic butadiene market is rising, the Northeast supply transaction price is rising broadly, and the intermediary offer follows the upward trend. However, the downstream of the current high-price inquiry intention is low, and East China supply is still abundant, the market is temporarily difficult to have substantial transaction support, the atmosphere is relatively cautious. In terms of quotation, the offer delivered to Shandong is around 8600 yuan/ton, and East China refers to about 8600-8800 yuan/ton. The quotation is for reference only, and the actual single negotiation is the main method.

Industry chain: downstream synthetic rubber, Qilu Styrene Butadiene Rubber 1502 price in 11250 yuan / ton, Qilu Shun Butadiene Rubber market price in 11350 yuan / ton, synthetic rubber market remains weak finishing, the market is limited, short-term butadiene is still difficult to support significantly.

3. Future Market Forecast

Butadiene analysts in business associations expect that butadiene market will weaken in the short run. They suggest that attention be paid to the latest transaction guidance.

According to statistics, the domestic hydrofluoric acid price trend this week is stable and slightly low, the price at the end of the weekend is 10 775 yuan/ton, down 0.77% from the price at the beginning of the week of 10858.33 yuan/ton, down 28.84% from the same period last year.

Products: Hydrofluoric acid prices fell slightly this week, enterprises reflect the current on-site supply of hydrofluoric acid is adequate, recent on-site purchases are general, some enterprises have more hydrofluoric acid stocks, factory prices have slightly decreased, the recent start-up rate of hydrofluoric acid plant is higher, on-site supply is normal, the current mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiations in the southern region is 10,000-11,000 yuan/ton, the price of hydrofluoric acid in the northern market is generally low. The price ranges from 10500 to 11000 yuan per ton. Recently, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid has been slightly lower, but recently the downstream refrigerant industry has been gradually restarted, and the market price of hydrofluoric acid has fallen by a very limited margin. By the end of the weekend, the mainstream of domestic negotiations on hydrofluoric acid in Fujian was around 10,500 yuan/ton, the price of hydrofluoric acid in Shandong was 11,000 yuan/ton, that of hydrofluoric acid in Jiangxi was 11,000 yuan/ton, that of hydrofluoric acid in Inner Mongolia was between 10,000 yuan/ton, and that of hydrofluoric acid was mainly volatile.

Industry chain: The price trend of fluorite in the upstream of hydrofluoric acid is temporarily stable this week. The factory price of fluorite is 2920 yuan/ton by the end of the week. This week’s fluorite trend is shocking. The recent fluorite plant start-up has not changed much. On the whole, the supply of fluorite is normal, the price of fluorite has a rising trend. The rising price of raw materials in the upstream has a positive impact on the hydrofluoric acid market. The price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is positive. Shocks dominate, but the recent fluorite market has an upward trend, hydrofluoric acid market prices slightly lower. Recent upstream refrigerant industry market rise, upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand has increased, recent downstream refrigerant trading market has risen, hydrofluoric acid product price fluctuations. Recent upstream refrigerant market transactions, R22 refrigerant plant surface start-up in about 70%, R22 market device start-up rate slightly increased, the main production enterprise bulk water factory offer price is between 18500-19000 yuan/ton, but the production enterprise does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipment. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has risen, and the shipment market trend is general. The domestic market price of R134a has risen slightly, the start-up rate of production enterprises is general, the refrigerant market demand has increased, the manufacturers mainly export their products, but the on-site transaction price has not changed much, the merchants purchase on demand, and the upstream market demand for hydrofluoric acid has increased slightly. Aluminum fluoride prices of downstream products have been declining recently, with a weekend price of 11333.33 yuan/ton. The price trend has been lower. Recently, the market price of hydrofluoric acid has been slightly lower because of the bad market.

Industry: This week, the upstream raw material fluorite and hydrofluoric acid market equipment started normal, coupled with the upstream refrigerant industry trading market has risen, hydrofluoric acid market price shocks mainly.

Recently, domestic refrigerant plants have been restarted gradually. With the increasing demand for hydrofluoric acid market, the spot supply of hydrofluoric acid is normal, and the price of raw materials is on the rise. Chen Ling, a hydrofluoric acid analyst from the business association, believes that the market price of hydrofluoric acid will remain volatile next week, and the price of hydrofluoric acid will be around 11,000 yuan/ton.

Price Trend

According to the price monitoring of business associations, as of March 11, the average price of domestic methanol market was 2572 yuan/ton, and the domestic methanol market was in a general trading atmosphere.

II. Market Analysis

Products: Domestic methanol market trading atmosphere is general, regional trend is obvious. In the port area, futures shocks have fallen, and the stock pressures in the port are relatively high, which weakens the spot market. On the mainland market, some areas maintain high prices under the favorable factors such as spring inspection and environmental production restriction; partly due to the accumulation of some downstream goods, plus a larger increase in the previous period, the atmosphere of goods has weakened.

Freight: Domestic methanol freight has fallen slightly in recent days. The freight rates of Inner Mongolia North Line to North Shandong are 270-340 yuan/ton, which is 30 yuan/ton lower than that of earlier period; 300-320 yuan/ton from South Line to North Shanxi; 110-180 yuan/ton from Part Shanxi to North Shandong; 170-200 yuan/ton from Guanzhong to North Shandong and 130-210 yuan/ton from South Shandong.

Industry chain: formaldehyde: Shandong formaldehyde Market consolidation, under the influence of the two sessions and environmental protection, most downstream Linyi shut down, the market trading atmosphere weakened. Acetic acid: The domestic market of glacial acetic acid is stabilizing. Prices of individual enterprises are on the low side and goods are in good condition. Some acetic acid plants have been reduced in load and planned maintenance, and the supply has been reduced. Dimethyl ether: Dimethyl ether market continues to rise, the market atmosphere is still acceptable. The manufacturer delivers goods well and has a strong mentality of low-level inventory operation.

3. Future Market Forecast

Business Cooperatives Viewpoint: On the positive side, device: Mainland based on spring inspection and other factors, and under the influence of environmental protection policy, maintenance enterprises have increased, short-term partial supply or contraction; Spot supply: Mainland upstream enterprises maintain a low inventory, mostly foreign exchange, limited shipment; Environmental protection: Shanxi Province due to environmental protection production restrictions, supply has been tightened. Inventory: Port area inventory is still high, short-term difficult to digest; downstream demand: formaldehyde affected by the two sessions and environmental protection, partial downstream shutdown, reduced demand for raw material methanol; futures market: poor futures performance, leading to spot market decline; freight: local freight slightly fell, delivery costs reduced. Methanol analysts at business associations expect that short-term market growth will slow down, with partial or slight weakening. They also need to pay attention to on-site equipment maintenance and futures market changes.

On February 26, the rare earth index was 345 points, unchanged from yesterday, down 65.50% from the cyclical peak of 1000 points (2011-12-06), and up 27.31% from the lowest point of 271 on September 13, 2015. (Note: Period refers to 2011-12-01 to date).

The average price of Neodymium in rare earth metals is 390,000 yuan per ton, dysprosium metal is 1655,000 yuan per ton and praseodymium metal is 660,000 yuan per ton. The average price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide in rare earth oxides is 306,500 yuan/ton; dysprosium oxide is 1.26 million yuan/ton; praseodymium oxide is 397,500 yuan/ton; and neodymium oxide is 307,000 yuan/ton. The price of praseodymium and neodymium alloys in rare earth alloys is 392.5 million yuan per ton, and the average price of dysprosium and iron alloys is 1.24 million yuan per ton.

Recently, rare earth enterprises have just started construction, resulting in a cold trade in the large domestic rare earth market. Most commodity prices in the rare earth market are stable. Businessmen have increased their inquiries for dysprosium oxide and other products. The prices of dysprosium oxide and dysprosium ferroalloy have risen. However, the prices of Pd and Neodymium series products are poor and low. The price fluctuation of rare earth market is related to environmental protection supervision in the whole country. Rare earth production has its particularity, especially the radiation hazard of some products, which makes environmental protection supervision stricter. Under stringent environmental protection, rare earth separation enterprises in many provinces have stopped production, resulting in a decline in the market of rare earth oxides, making the price of rare earth products firm. Especially for some mainstream rare earth oxides, the supply performance is tight, the price trend of some commodities in the rare earth market is stable, the willingness of large enterprise groups to limit production in the near future, the market of rare earth has improved, but for the pricing of products, major manufacturers are cautious to wait and see. Recent rare earth export market is general, resulting in normal import volume, but due to limited turnover, because rare earth has been at a low level for a long time.

Recently, the State Environmental Protection Department began to check strictly, which has a great impact on the rare earth industry. The rare earth industry has a low start and the market is cold. Prior to this, six departments of Jiangxi Province, a major producer of rare earth, jointly issued a special action document on cracking down on rare earth blacks, and conducted special supervision from September 2018 to January 2019. Due to the increasingly obvious regulatory effect, the supply of raw ore resources in the upstream of the rare earth industry has shrunk, and the trading market of the rare earth industry has been cold.

Rare earth analysts of business associations expect that the recent domestic environmental stringent inspection efforts will not decrease, coupled with domestic restructuring of the order of the inhalation industry, will have a certain positive impact on the rare earth industry, but the rare earth industry turnover is cold, and the price of the rare earth market is expected to remain volatile in the later period.