Price Trend

According to the price monitoring of business associations, the ex-factory price of hydrochloric acid in Shandong Province was temporarily stable this week, quoting 130.00 yuan/ton, down 28.77% from the same period last year. Overall, the hydrochloric acid market was stable this week, with the hydrochloric acid commodity index of 34.21 on July 19.

II. Market Analysis

(1) Products:

This week, the quotation of hydrochloric acid market manufacturers is temporarily stable and the overall market is low. Dezhou Shihua hydrochloric acid quotation is 100 yuan/ton, the quotation is temporarily stable; Wenshui synthetic hydrochloric acid quotation is 200 yuan/ton, the quotation is temporarily stable; Jinan Yuanfei hydrochloric acid quotation is 200 yuan/ton, the quotation is temporarily stable; Dezhou Meihua hydrochloric acid quotation is 60 yuan/ton, the quotation is temporarily stable.

(2) Industrial chain:

The price of liquid chlorine in the upstream market has risen, which will give some support to hydrochloric acid. The downstream dyes, calcium chloride and chloroethane still buy hydrochloric acid on demand in the early stage. The hydrochloric acid market as a whole is still weak. By-product acid shocks the market. The pressure of hydrochloric acid shipment is high. The quality of by-product hydrochloric acid produced by TDI, chloropropene, propylene oxide and methane chloride is relatively good. For the purpose of shipment, each manufacturer has the situation of inverted freight shipment. Overall, the difficulty of delivery of hydrochloric acid is still a major problem.

3. Future Market Forecast

After the adjustment in June, the capital reflux of each factory is in good condition, the equipment has been repaired and the production capacity has increased. Business analysts believe that the upstream liquid chlorine is good in the near future, but the downstream demand for rare earth and fuel is still general, and by-product acid shocks the market. Business analysts believe that the late hydrochloric acid market is still more vulnerable to consolidation.

Price Trend

The domestic toluene Market recovered slightly this week, with a weekly decline of about 1.13%, due to the weakening global economic outlook and the decline in crude oil, according to the business associations’data.

II. Analytical Review

1. Products: Toluene market prices were stable from the beginning of the week to the middle of the week. Driven by the drop in oil prices in the latter half of the week, prices began to recover. At present, the mainstream prices in East China are around 5400-5450 yuan/ton. According to the feedback from traders, the shipment is not smooth this week. Compared with last week, port inventory has dropped by nearly 5,000 tons, but it still has 32,000 tons.

2. Industrial chain:

Upstream, crude oil, this week’s strong rebound in oil prices, compared with last week, this week’s spot Brent fell 8.98%, Brent futures fell 7.43%, WTI futures fell 8.09%, Dubai futures fell 5.69%.

Downstream, PX market, downstream PTA by the impact of summer parking overhaul, strengthening PTA goods less favorable, PTA market price is strong; TDI market, East China TDI market inquiries light, real single transaction downturn, follow-up market delivery is the main.

3. Future Market Forecast

Toluene analysts from Business, Social and Chemical Branch believe that next week we need to focus on the US-Iraq situation, the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations, and the fluctuation of demand for crude oil in the global economic outlook. Taken together, the toluene market is expected to continue to pull back slightly next week.

On July 17, the fluorite commodity index was 110.53, unchanged from yesterday, down 13.30% from the cyclical peak of 127.49 points (2019-01-03), and up 124.61% from the lowest point of 49.21 on December 18, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

According to statistics, the domestic fluorite price trend is temporarily stable, the average domestic fluorite price is 3150 yuan/ton as of the 18th day. Recently, the domestic fluorite plant started normally, the mine and flotation plant in the field started normally, the supply of fluorite in the field is slightly tight, and the price of hydrofluoric acid in the downstream is rising recently. For the fluorite market, the price trend of fluorite market is on demand. Rise. Recent downstream installation start-up situation is general, fluorite spot supply is normal, terminal downstream pick-up situation improved, resulting in rising market price trend. As of the 18th, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Inner Mongolia was 2900-3100 yuan/ton, the mainstream of 97 fluorite wet powder in Fujian was 3000-3300 yuan/ton, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Henan was 2900-3200 yuan/ton, and the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Jiangxi was 3000-3300 yuan/ton. The price trend of fluorite remained high.

The price trend of hydrofluoric acid in the downstream of fluorite is temporarily stable. As of 18 days, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid is 12080 yuan/ton. The fluctuation of the market price of hydrofluoric acid has a positive impact on the upstream fluorite market. However, the recent start-up of hydrofluoric acid plant is general. The demand for fluorite has weakened and the price of fluorite has oscillated. Recent downstream refrigerant product installations started at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid product price trend is stable. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions are cool, R22 refrigerant facility starts at 60%, R22 market facility start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main manufacturer of bulk water out of the factory offer price is between 18,000-19,000 yuan/ton, but the manufacturer does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipped. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery quotation is general. Domestic market price trend of R134a shocks, production enterprises equipment start-up rate remains low, refrigerant market demand is general, manufacturers mainly export. But the on-site transaction price does not change much. Businessmen buy on demand. Generally speaking, the downstream industry is in a general market. In addition, the fluorite market supply is normal. Fluorite prices are stable temporarily. Business analyst Chen Ling believes that the fluorite market price may remain volatile.

Price Trend

According to business association monitoring data, organosilicon DMC rose again this week, up 400-800 yuan/ton. This week, the DMC mainstream offer was raised to 17 200-17 800 yuan/ton, while the real mainstream offer was 17 000-17 500 yuan/ton.

II. Market Analysis

Product: This week, the domestic price of silicone DMC is rising again. The quotation of Shandong province is around 17400-18000 yuan/ton. The quotation of Hubei province is around 17000 yuan/ton. At present, many single enterprises adjust the starting rate. The overall starting rate is reduced to five or six levels. Most enterprises have tight inventory and tight production schedule. Some enterprises began to have equipment maintenance plans in mid-early July.

Industry chain: Influenced by the rise of silicone DMC, the related products of industry chain, such as silicone oil and silica gel, have also increased their quotations. Silica gel enterprises have raised the price of raw rubber and 107 gel slightly. The overall adjustment range is about 300 yuan/ton. The domestic price of silicone oil has increased by 500-1000 yuan/ton. The price of silicone oil in foreign enterprises has been mainly reduced by small and medium margins. The price gap of domestic silicone oil has been reduced.

3. Future Market Forecast

Business analysts believe that: late July or usher in the peak season of silicone DMC industry, downstream demand continues to grow, or prices continue to rise.

On July 15, the phthalic anhydride commodity index was 58.39, unchanged from yesterday, down 51.39% from the peak of 120.13 points in the cycle (2012-02-28), and up 20.59% from the low of 48.42 points on January 21, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date).

Recently, the domestic market price of phthalic anhydride has slightly declined. The market price of phthalic anhydride in eastern China has shocked. The downstream factories are still in need of purchasing. Inventory of factories is still under pressure. High-end transactions are blocked. The mainstream of on-site neighbouring source negotiation is 5900-6100 yuan/ton. The mainstream of naphthalene source negotiation is 5400-5500 yuan/ton. Mainstream quotation ranges from 5900 to 6000 yuan/ton, market prices remain volatile, and the quotation of enterprises is not high downstream, purchasing on demand is the main, wait-and-see mentality is strong, domestic phthalic anhydride plant is stable, phthalic anhydride spot supply is normal, phthalic anhydride price fluctuation.

Recently, the domestic price of phthalic anhydride upstream product Sinopec o-phthalic acid is 5900 yuan/ton. The import price of o-phthalic anhydride in the port area has risen, and the quotation has risen. Recently, the market of o-phthalic anhydride in the port is general, and the port stock is low. Upstream raw materials mixed xylene price shocks, phthalic turnover is general, port phthalic inventory is low, phthalic external quotation is higher, import phthalic cost shocks, the actual transaction price is detailed, upstream price trend shocks, phthalic anhydride market price slightly declines. Downstream DOP raw material phthalic anhydride price shocks, isooctanol prices fell, DOP costs fell. DOP price trend is temporarily stable, DOP downstream demand is general, customer purchasing enthusiasm is general, downstream PVC market volatility is stable, DOP market mainstream transaction price is about 7650 yuan/ton, downstream price trend is temporarily stable, and phthalic anhydride market price is expected to remain volatile in the later period.

On July 14, the fluorite commodity index was 110.53, unchanged from yesterday, down 13.30% from the peak of 127.49 points in the cycle (2019-01-03), and up 124.61% from the low of 49.21 points on December 18, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

According to statistics, the domestic fluorite price trend is temporarily stable, the average domestic fluorite price is 3150 yuan/ton as of the 15th day. Recently, the domestic fluorite plant started normally, the mine and flotation plant in the field started normally, the supply of fluorite in the field is slightly tight, and the price of hydrofluoric acid in the downstream is rising recently. For the fluorite market, the price trend of fluorite market is on demand. Rise. Recent downstream installation start-up situation is general, fluorite spot supply is normal, terminal downstream pick-up situation improved, resulting in rising market price trend. As of the 15th, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Inner Mongolia was 2900-3100 yuan/ton, the mainstream of 97 fluorite wet powder negotiations in Fujian was 3000-3300 yuan/ton, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Henan was 2900-3200 yuan/ton, and the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Jiangxi was 3000-3300 yuan/ton. The price trend of fluorite remained high.

The price trend of hydrofluoric acid in the downstream of fluorite is temporarily stable. As of the 15th day, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid is 12080 yuan/ton. The fluctuation of the market price of hydrofluoric acid has a certain positive impact on the upstream fluorite market. However, the recent start-up of hydrofluoric acid plant is general. The demand for fluorite has weakened and the price of fluorite has oscillated. Recent downstream refrigerant product installations started at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid product price trend is stable. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions are cool, R22 refrigerant facility starts at 60%, R22 market facility start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main manufacturer of bulk water out of the factory offer price is between 18,000-19,000 yuan/ton, but the manufacturer does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipped. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery quotation is general. Domestic market price trend of R134a shocks, production enterprises equipment start-up rate remains low, refrigerant market demand is general, manufacturers mainly export. But the on-site transaction price does not change much. Businessmen buy on demand. Generally speaking, the downstream industry is in a general market. In addition, the fluorite market supply is normal. Fluorite prices are stable temporarily. Business analyst Chen Ling believes that the fluorite market price may remain volatile.

Price Trend

According to the monitoring data of business associations, the market price of diammonium phosphate has been running steadily this week. At the beginning of the week, 64% of diammonium phosphate in China was exported at an average price of 2500 yuan/ton, and at the end of the week, the average price of diammonium phosphate was 2500 yuan/ton, which was stable compared with last week.

II. Market Analysis

Product: This week, the domestic market price of diammonium phosphate has maintained stable operation. At present, 64% of diammonium in Hubei is quoted at 2400-2600 yuan/ton, 64% of diammonium in Shandong is quoted at 2400-2500 yuan/ton, and 64% of diammonium in Yunnan is quoted at 2700 yuan/ton.

Industry chain: In terms of raw materials, the domestic phosphate ore market maintains stable operation, and some areas fluctuate slightly. Phosphoric acid enterprises start stable, spot supply is tight, raw material inventory is urgent, the supply is difficult to find, the high offer of the holder. Domestic liquid ammonia market rose slightly, with prices rising to varying degrees in East China, North China and Northwest China.

3. Future Market Forecast

According to analysts of business association diammonium phosphate, the demand is low in the off-season of diammonium phosphate. Exports have been reduced by international pressure. From the point of view of supply, the price of raw materials has increased steadily. It is expected that the price of diammonium will remain weak and stable in the later period.

Trade Name: Phenol

East China Market (July 11): 7600 yuan/ton

Main points of analysis: The domestic phenol Market is further promoted or maintained stable. Holders in East China Phenol Market continued to report high in the morning, intermediary inquiries tended to be cautious, downstream terminal market sentiment did not drive, trading atmosphere remained general. Business associations expect that the domestic phenol market will continue to be competitive today, and the market price of phenol in East China will refer to 7,500-7,600 yuan/ton.

On July 8, the fluorite commodity index was 109.21, unchanged from yesterday, down 14.34% from the peak of 127.49 points in the cycle (2019-01-03), and up 121.93% from the low of 49.21 points on December 18, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

According to statistics, the domestic fluorite price trend is temporarily stable, with the average domestic fluorite price of 312.5 yuan/ton as of the 9th day. Recently, the domestic fluorite plant started normally, the mine and flotation plant in the field started normally, the supply of fluorite in the field is slightly tight, and the price of hydrofluoric acid in the downstream is rising. For the fluorite market, the price trend of fluorite market is on demand. Rise. Recent downstream installation start-up situation is general, fluorite spot supply is normal, terminal downstream pick-up situation improved, resulting in rising market price trend. As of September 9, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Inner Mongolia was 2900-3100 yuan/ton, the mainstream of 97 fluorite wet powder negotiations in Fujian was 3000-3300 yuan/ton, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Henan was 2900-3200 yuan/ton, and the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Jiangxi was 3000-3300 yuan/ton. The price trend of fluorite remained high.

The price trend of hydrofluoric acid Market in downstream fluorite is rising. The domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid is 12080 yuan/ton as of the 9th day. The price fluctuation of hydrofluoric acid market has a positive impact on the upstream fluorite market. However, the recent start-up of hydrofluoric acid plant is general, the demand for fluorite is weakened, and the price fluctuation of fluorite is running. Recent downstream refrigerant product installations started at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid product price trend is stable. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions are cool, R22 refrigerant facility starts at 60%, R22 market facility start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main manufacturer of bulk water out of the factory offer price is between 18,000-19,000 yuan/ton, but the manufacturer does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipped. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery quotation is general. Domestic market price trend of R134a shocks, production enterprises equipment start-up rate remains low, refrigerant market demand is general, manufacturers mainly export. But the on-site transaction price does not change much. Businessmen buy on demand. Generally speaking, the downstream industry is in a general market. In addition, the fluorite market supply is normal and the price of fluorite is rising. Chen Ling, an analyst of business associations, believes that the price of fluorite market may remain volatile.

Price Trend

Market Analysis of Potassium Carbonate Products

(Photo Source: Business Association Commodity Analysis System)

According to the data monitored by business associations, the price of potassium carbonate has been running weakly this week. The overall price has not changed much, falling by about 50 yuan/ton, or 0.38%. As of July 5, the average tax-bearing price of domestic light potassium carbonate mainstream manufacturers was 6,600 yuan/ton, and the market has declined.

II. Analysis of Influencing Factors

Products: This week, the market of potassium carbonate is not warm, the trading atmosphere is cold, while downstream purchasing is just in demand, resulting in the weak price of potassium nitrate. During the overhaul period of the plant, the start-up rate is at a low level, the purchasing market momentum at a low inventory level is general, and the weak quotation operation is the main factor. According to the statistics of business associations: on July 5, the quotation range of domestic industrial potassium carbonate mainstream factory is about 6450-6700 yuan/ton (quotation only for reference). The quotation varies according to the purchasing situation.

3. Future Market Forecast

Potassium carbonate analysts believe that in the short term, the price of potassium carbonate is dominated by weak consolidation, while in the long run, the market still needs to wait and see, mainly affected by demand-side dominance.